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Mohal Joshi Profile picture
Mohal Joshi
@MohalJoshi
Host: @indiarisingmk podcast. Columnist/Podcaster. Interests: Geopolitics/Macroeconomics/Defense/Politics. Tweets are personal. RT's/Like's not endorsements.
Dec 1 • 13 tweets • 4 min read
🧵Thread : BRICS Currency and the Trump tweet

Yesterday President elect Donald Trump threatened nations that will move away from the Dollar. He also specifically called out the BRICS members against starting their new "BRICS Currency" and put out a threat to impose 100% tariffs on these nations if they dared to launch a "BRICS currency"

Post this tweet there was lot of brouhaha on Twitter and in social media about what this means and implications for nations such as India which is mostly overblownImage First of all the chances of a so called joint "BRICS currency" are almost nil.
Even the EU when they came up with a joint Euro currency they had a lot of hard negotiations among various disparate member states in Europe.
All the BRICS members are a collection of states across 4 different continents with no collective ethos binding them unlike the Euro adoption among countries of Europe which had connectivity, people and shared historical linkages.
Sep 29 • 28 tweets • 8 min read
Thoughts on Israeli offensive actions over the past couple of days 🧵 Israelis via precise PGM airstrike in Damascus, Lebanon took out the leader of Hezbollah: Hassan Nasrallah
Jul 16 • 17 tweets • 4 min read
Thread 🧵
Selection of JD Vance as Trump's V.P. candidate JD Vance who is currently serving as the US Senator from Ohio (from 2022) has a very brief history in electoral politics for someone who is a V.P. pick
Dec 19, 2021 • 26 tweets • 7 min read
1) Thread 🧵Omicron (update) 2) Looking at South Africa (SA) which has seen the biggest outbreak of Omicron: cases are starting to peak (at highest ever levels) while hospitalizations are much lower than previous Delta wave and deaths are at a very low level
Dec 3, 2021 • 12 tweets • 2 min read
Thread 🧵
Inactivated vaccines like Covaxin are better in this regard, as they provoke an immune response against the whole virus vs just the spike protein (for mRNA: Pfizer/Moderna and adenovirus vector vaccines: AstraZaneca/CoviShield/Sputnik) but.. [Contd.] From the experience so far with earlier variants (with ALL vaccine types) it has been seen that while there has been some level of "escape" against nAbs [neutralizing Anti bodies] evading T Cells has proven more challenging for these variants
Jan 19, 2021 • 10 tweets • 3 min read
1/n) This is one of the reasons why India never went with either F-16 of F/A-18 for MMRCA and will continue to have doubts over buying F-21/F-35/F-18 etc. 2/n) Sanctions (after Pokhran-2) or cutting off military aid in the past (see thread by Tanvi) meant that US could unilaterally cut of military supplies to toe their line
Jan 19, 2021 • 5 tweets • 1 min read
1/n) Thread
For quite some time we have been regularly subjected to hype around "Fortress" Gabba (Brisbane) where Australia had not lost a Test Match since 1988. 2/n) Hence it is worthwhile to look at Indian venues (which don't get the same type of media attention as Brisbane) where the Indian cricket team has not lost a test match in the past 20+ years.
Jan 18, 2021 • 7 tweets • 2 min read
1/n) Since some have created an over the top media frenzy over a journalist forecasting military action against Pakistan in Feb 2019, I humbly submit my post on Feb 14th in immediate aftermath of the Pulwama attack. 2/n) My point here is that (not only me but) scores of people who follow defense and strategic affairs very closely saw significant military action being undertaken by India in response to Pulwama attacks.
Jan 13, 2021 • 20 tweets • 4 min read
Thread:
With US having vaccinated 9M+ and India starting it's vaccination plan soon (Jan 16th) some have started scaremongering about vaccines via alarmist WhatsApp forwards, FB/Twitter posts and other social media platforms Most of the cases of severe reaction to vaccine have been mostly Anaphylaxis which is a severe, (in some cases potentially life-threatening allergic reaction) It can occur after exposure to allergen which can be peanut, shellfish, bee sting etc. or even contents of a vaccine.
Jan 11, 2021 • 8 tweets • 2 min read
1/n) Fantastic rearguard action by India to save the Test Match! Will be considered as one of India's best 4th innings fightbacks to save a Test Match!
#IndiavsAustralia 2/n) The fact that India avoided defeat was commendable considering
1) #2, #3 & #4 fast bowlers injured
2) #1 fast bowling all rounder not fit to play Test Matches
3) #2 spinner broke his thumb
3) Batsmen @ #6 tore his hamstring
4) #1 Batsman on paternity leave
#IndiavsAustralia
Nov 19, 2020 • 29 tweets • 8 min read
1 Thread on President-Elect Biden and his statements in the U.S. Senate in May 1998 post Pokhran 2 nuclear tests 2 (Then) Senator Biden attended a Committee on Foreign Relations hearing in the U.S. Senate on May 13 1998 (2 days after the initial nuclear tests in Pokhran on May 11 1998)
Nov 18, 2020 • 8 tweets • 4 min read
Thread

1) Rezang La during 1962 India China war saw one of the most legendary “last stand” battles that the world has ever seen. Led by Major Shaitan Singh Bhati, 120 soldiers of the 13th Kumaon fought till the “last man last bullet”.

#RezanglaDay 2) They fought heroically in freezing temperatures at approximately 17,000 feet killing a reported 1300+ Chinese soldiers.

#RezanglaDay
Jun 25, 2020 • 12 tweets • 4 min read
Based on the article below (by @praveenswami) on Indian patrol routes along the LAC in Depsang I created some maps for the same.
Thread. This is the general map of the important locations mentioned by @praveenswami in his article on Chinese incursions into Depsang Plains
Apr 1, 2020 • 7 tweets • 2 min read
Thread (Update 31 March)
1 Updated modelling of COVID-19 "projected" case growth for USA & India based on data for the past few days. 2
USA: 189,785 actual vs 189,137 (my projected no) [~0.3% delta]
INDIA: 1,619 actual vs 1,524 (my projected no) [~6.2% delta]
Mar 30, 2020 • 7 tweets • 2 min read
Thread (Update 29 March)
1 Updated modelling of COVID-19 "projected" case growth for USA & India based on data for the past few days. 2
USA: 143,072 actual vs 147,701 (my projected no) [~3.1% delta]
INDIA: 1,139 actual vs 1,193 (my projected no) [~4.5% delta]
Mar 27, 2020 • 9 tweets • 3 min read
Thread (Update 25 March)
1 Updated modelling of COVID-19 "projected" case growth for USA & India based on data for the past few days. 2
USA: 86038 actual vs 85817 (my projected no) [~0.25% delta]
INDIA: 726 actual vs 764 (my projected no) [~5% delta]
Mar 23, 2020 • 7 tweets • 2 min read
Thread (Update 22th March)
1 Updated modelling of COVID-19 "projected" case growth for USA & India based on data for the past few days. 2 One of the very good days for my modelling where both USA & India numbers held up extremely well

USA: 35214 actual vs 35414 (my projected no) [~0.5% delta]
INDIA: 421 actual vs 418 (my projected no) [~0.7% delta]
Mar 16, 2020 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
Thread (Update 15th March)
1 Updated modelling of COVID-19 "projected case growth" for USA & India based on existing data for the past few days. 2 Here is the "future projection" for COVID-19 cases in the USA. Actual number of 3804 is very close to my "projected number" of 3854. This mean growth in cases continues at current pace (no slowdown yet)
Note: "Future projected" values are in black color/white font
Jan 20, 2020 • 6 tweets • 3 min read
1. Complete opposite of LS2019 where opposition having no credible challenger to project vs Modi wanted to make it a seat by seat election looking to take advantage of anger against incumbent BJP MPs 👇 2. Can BJP succeed in this strategy that opposition failed at in LS2019? i.e. Not make it personality contest vs Kejriwal as they are not projecting any one as CM and try to fight on a seat by seat basis?
Jan 6, 2020 • 11 tweets • 2 min read
1/n) Thread on India US relations in context of China. 2/n) India's deepening of its ties with US has been due to a result of the Great power competiton that USA faces from China.
May 28, 2019 • 5 tweets • 5 min read
2019 Elections: With all the votes finally tallied up BJP is at 37.4% vote share % (+6.1% vs 2014) while INC is at 19.5% (unchanged vs 2014).
@CrowdWisdom360 @politicalbaaba @c_aashish @ask0704 @CrowdWisdom360 @politicalbaaba @c_aashish @ask0704 NDA is at 44.8% vote share % which will make it the 4th largest (pre-poll alliance) vote share ever (only higher ones are 1977 51.9%, 1984 48.1% & 1957 47.78%)