I’ve taken a look at Zenz’s new paper, “End the Dominance of the Uyghur Ethnic Group”: An Analysis of Beijing’s Population Optimization Strategy in Southern XJ. I have analysed his calculations and broadly get to the same numbers. This thread is a summary. papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf…
TLDR: Zenz makes predictions based on Central Government policies that do not exist against an extrapolation of possible growth rates from one region in XJ to show that, in the future, people may not be born when they may, in fact, have been born.
The absurdity of the main premise of this paper is mind-boggling. In order to generate more ‘Victims of Communism’, Zenz argues that between 2.6 and 4.5 million Uyhgur births will be prevented from happening, due to Chinese central government family planning policies, by 2040.
This is possibly the most ridiculous thing I've seen here in a long time. A map showing very little correlation, no consideration of population density and no attempt to discuss the actual nature/reason of the protest. Correlation does not equal causation.