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Mark Blumenthal Profile picture
Mark Blumenthal
@MysteryPollster
Pollster. Consultant. Husband. Father. Cyclist. Formerly: SurveyMonkey, Huffington Post, https://t.co/FFguVAUHdQ. Writing again at https://t.co/wYGpZIRKFv, https://t.co/mDoWekBkzI
Jul 31, 2020 • 6 tweets • 4 min read
New: The weekly @TheEconomist/@YouGovAmerica surveys ask about voter enthusiasm in three ways, which allows for a reality check on the Trump-Biden "enthusiasm gap" 1/
today.yougov.com/topics/politic… There is a big gap (28 points) in expressed enthusiasm for Trump & Biden among their respective supporters... 2/
today.yougov.com/topics/politic…
Jul 10, 2019 • 12 tweets • 3 min read
We buried my Dad yesterday. He was 84. Ed Blumenthal was exceptionally tolerant, caring and progressive. He worked hard, was true to his word and proud of his heritage… [Thread] Unless you're family, you probably didn't have a chance to know him, partly because his long, agonizing descent into dementia started before the rise of social media…
Nov 6, 2018 • 8 tweets • 4 min read
Hard to believe it's been 14 years since I started the MysteryPollster blog and posted this widely shared exit poll post
mysterypollster.com/main/2004/11/e…
While much has changed, and mid-day exits no longer leak, the main thrust holds up well...
[THREAD] To wit: If you think there's some secret stash of inside data showing who's *really* winning what, think again. Even at or just after poll closing, exit polls won't tell you more (or with any greater certainty) than pre-election polls are telling you right now