Nassreddin šŸ‰ Ł†ŲµŲ± Ų§Ł„ŲÆŁŠŁ† Profile picture
22 y/o proud Dutch-Moroccan Muslim | MSc Poli Sci/Climate Change Governance, BA Middle East + Arabic Studies | Political analyst @EuropeElects for šŸ‡³šŸ‡±šŸ‡øšŸ‡ŖšŸ‡§šŸ‡Ŗ
Dec 7 ā€¢ 7 tweets ā€¢ 2 min read
As Syrian rebel forces are getting closer to Damascus, prepare yourself for the stories from freed prisoners you'll hear when this purple circle is liberated: Saydnaya Prison

Its nickname is 'Human Slaughterhouse' as the thingd we already know are beyond horrific

Some storiesšŸ§µ Image 8 years ago, Amnesty reported on prisoners being left without food for days, sometimes even weeks. People hare tortured and beaten for hours without break, sometimes every single day. Many die and are left to rot in crowded cells while others are alive with diseases spreading.
Nov 14 ā€¢ 5 tweets ā€¢ 1 min read
According to Geert Wilders, anti-semitism is part of the Moroccan DNA.

We need to remind him of the fact itā€™s the Netherlands whose Jewish community got decimated by 3/4 in WW2. While Moroccoā€™s King told the Nazis/Vichy ā€œthere are no Moroccan Jewsā€ to protect his Jewish subjects We need to remind him that most Jews who fled the prosecution in post-Reconquista Spain fled to Morocco. Even before that, Jews were living in Morocco for thousands of years together - even before Islam spread to North Africa - with the Amazighs/Berbers.
Nov 11 ā€¢ 7 tweets ā€¢ 2 min read
šŸ‡³šŸ‡±šŸ§µDutch right-wing parties have been going on for longer than I even live about Muslims not sharing ā€œDutch valuesā€. Since the 90s

But which ā€œvaluesā€?

Values of massively punishing 26K families for fraud they didnā€™t commit?

Values of supporting genocide committed by Israel? Values of giving billions of euros to a Tunisian dictator who uses this to hunt black migrants to the desert to die?

Values of saying that ā€œwomen should wear what they want to wearā€ but complain 24/7 when a woman chooses to wear a hijab and verbally attack her?
Oct 12 ā€¢ 22 tweets ā€¢ 7 min read
šŸ‡§šŸ‡ŖBELGIAN LOCAL ELECTIONS TOMORROW

Belgians will go to the polls electing 581 municipal and 10 provincial councils

This follows federal & regional elections in June. Regional govt's are already formed, but the federal govt not yet

Here's a thread on 10 things to look out foršŸ‘‡ Image
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1āƒ£Who wins Antwerp?

Most eyes are on Flanders' largest city Antwerp

Leader of Flemish-nationalist centre-right N-VA Bart de Wever has been mayor for 12 years. But he faces a major challenge from left-wing PVDA's mayoral candidate Jos D'Haese who's polling closely behind... Local election poll for Antwerp
Sep 9 ā€¢ 27 tweets ā€¢ 7 min read
šŸ‡ÆšŸ‡“Jordan is electing its 20th Parliament today/tomorrow on 10 September!

Tricky context: high unemployment, geopolitical pressure due to genocide in Gaza, widespread discontent and there's a new electoral system that should strengthen political parties

Here's a quick threadšŸ‘‡ Image āš ļøLet's start with DISCLAIMERS:

-King Abdullah II has major powers.
Directly: he can dissolve parliament, appoints the PM, ministers and mayors. He has veto power, may dismiss judges and commands the army.
Indirectly: through ties with businesses and obedient security forces King Abdullah II
Jul 8 ā€¢ 10 tweets ā€¢ 2 min read
šŸ‡«šŸ‡·I see a lot of misinformation about the programme of the French left-wing NFP alliance that just finished first.

Here's an overview of their key policies:

šŸ‡ŗšŸ‡¦Support military aid to Ukraine

šŸ‡µšŸ‡øRecognise Palestine as a sovereign state + support ICC/ICJ cases against Israel/Bibi Image šŸ‡ŖšŸ‡ŗSupport EU membership, push for green re-industrialisation of EU, support EU-wide taxes

šŸ’¶Minimum wage ā‚¬1600/month, 10% increase

šŸ—ļøReverse Macron's cuts on social housing by investing ā‚¬1.3 billion

šŸ„Restrictions on private healthcare providers to guarantee free healthcare
Jan 4 ā€¢ 25 tweets ā€¢ 7 min read
The Belgian prime minister who accidentally sang the FRENCH anthem when asked to sing the Belgian one is Yves Leterme

PM twice: from March till Dec. 2008 & from 2009 till 2011 of which 1.5 year in caretaker status!

Hereā€™s a thread on how disastrous Letermeā€™s premiership wasšŸ‘‡šŸ§µ
Former Belgian PM Yves Leterme Yves Leterme, despite a French sounding name, is a Flemish politician from the Dutch-speaking christian democratic party CD&V.

CD&V was once omnipotent in Flanders with 50%+ of the vote. By 2003, it had declined to 21%. Leterme became leader tasked to reverse the downward trend. Image
Nov 21, 2023 ā€¢ 37 tweets ā€¢ 10 min read
šŸ‡³šŸ‡±TOMORROW - 22 November - the Dutch will go to the polls in early elections to elect the lower house of parliament following a govt collapse in July.

And polls show a very tight FOUR WAY race and a very difficult govt formation.

In this thread Iā€™ll explain whatā€™s happeningšŸ§µšŸ‘‡ A board with the posters of all parties running in this election. On 7 July, the Rutte IV govt collapsed due to disagreements over asylum policies, after 18 months in office

13 year PM Rutteā€™s liberal conservative VVD demanded to restrict family reunifications of refugees

Social-liberal D66 and social-christian CU refused

And the govt fell Prime Minister Rutte after the collapse of his fourth government on 7 July
Nov 10, 2023 ā€¢ 22 tweets ā€¢ 5 min read
šŸ‡ŖšŸ‡ø Pedro SĆ”nchez will be reelected by parliament next week as Spainā€™s prime minister, forming his 3rd govt

Itā€™ll contain his own centre-left PSOE and left-wing Sumar, supported by a wide range of regional parties

Here are the policy agreements, some of which controversial
šŸ‘‡ šŸ§µ Spanish PM Pedro SĆ”nchez Despite polls predicting a right-wing PP+VOX majority for the 23 July elections, PP+VOX failed to do so

Catalan separatists became the kingmakers, with whom the very unionist right just cannot cooperate

And this is why SƔnchez is able to form govt despite his PSOE finishing 2nd Result of the 23 July elections: PP and VOX failed to get a majority allowing for SƔnchez to be able to form government.
Oct 24, 2023 ā€¢ 12 tweets ā€¢ 2 min read
šŸ‡³šŸ‡±Pieter Omtzigtā€™s new party ā€˜New Social Contractā€™ (NSC) finally released its electoral programme, titled: ā€˜Time for recoveryā€™

NSC (a split from CDA) is polling high with a chance to emerge as the Netherlandsā€™ largest party in next monthā€™s elections.

Here are the key pointsšŸ‘‡šŸ§µ Image šŸ›ļøINSTITUTIONAL REFORMS

-Instate a Constitutional Court

-Regionalised proportional representation like in Denmark/Sweden

-Introduce possibility of corrective referendums

-King should also pay taxes

-Reduce number of civil servants

-Frisian will be recognised in constitution
Oct 11, 2023 ā€¢ 9 tweets ā€¢ 2 min read
Dit slaat echt nergens op @gertjansegers leden van GL-PvdA keuren de aanslagen van Hamas niet goed. Nooit gedaan. Zo laag dat jij je laat leiden door Telegraaf-hetze.

Waar wij het over hebben is het lot van 1 miljoen kinderen die ieder moment kunnen sterven door het bombarderen. Waar wij het over hebben is het feit dat ziekenhuizen nu niet meer kunnen opereren om onschuldige vrouwen en kinderen te helpen die gewond raken. We hebben het over een hongersnood die NU ontstaat waarbij zoveel vrouwen en kinderen de dupe van worden.
Sep 5, 2023 ā€¢ 18 tweets ā€¢ 3 min read
šŸŸ¢šŸ”“Dutch GroenLinks-PvdA just revealed their electoral programme titled: Together for a Hopeful Future

The red-green alliance led by Timmermans have 4 priorities: increase trust in institutions, a fair green transition, fight poverty & a strong EU

Here are their key plansšŸ‘‡šŸ§µ Image šŸŒ±CLIMATE/ENERGY

-Cut CO2-emissions by 65% in 2030, 2040 CO2-neutral

-Invest heavily in insulating homes of lower & middle incomes

-Introduce a monthly ā‚¬49-ticket to use all forms of public transport outside rush hours

-Work towards local ownership of green energy production
Jul 22, 2023 ā€¢ 25 tweets ā€¢ 6 min read
šŸ‡ŖšŸ‡øTOMORROW Spain will vote in snap elections. Latest polls show a tight race, with the possibility of again new elections in Dec/Jan

But thereā€™s also a chance the far-right enters govt for the first time since the Franco dictatorship

In this thread I explain whatā€™s at stake šŸ§µ The current govt in Spain is led by PM Pedro SĆ”nchez, from centre-left PSOE. Heā€™s in a minority coalition with left-wing Sumar (an alliance of leftist parties) supported by various regionalist parties

This is the first coalition govt since Spain became a democracy in the 1970s Image
Jul 6, 2023 ā€¢ 29 tweets ā€¢ 8 min read
šŸ‡³šŸ‡±šŸ§µThe Dutch Rutte IV government might collapse over asylum in the next few days (tonight?)

The govt was formed in January 2022 and is only 18 months ā€˜oldā€™

In this thread Iā€™ll explain why this collapse is kinda a long time comingšŸ‘‡ Itā€™s important to know that the previous govt, Rutte III, consisted of the same parties as now: VVD of Rutte, D66, CDA and CU.

However, it collapsed in January 2021 over the Child Care Benefits Scandal: 26K households were falsely accused and harshly punished for welfare fraud.
Mar 12, 2023 ā€¢ 26 tweets ā€¢ 10 min read
This Wednesday, the Netherlands will vote in provincial elections. And these are VERY important.

The Dutch Senate might become ungovernable.

Provinces might sabotage national policies.

And the national govt might even collapse.

In this thread, I'll try to explain it allšŸ§µ Image On Wednesday, the Dutch will elect the regional parliaments of 12 provinces and 3 Caribbean islands.

This level of govt is mostly responsible for spacial planning: environment, housing, agriculture, public transport etc.

But the provincial councils also elect the new Senate!
Dec 17, 2022 ā€¢ 11 tweets ā€¢ 5 min read
Mark Rutte is such a great prime minister. Probably the best PM the Netherlands has ever had! Letā€™s list his successes:

A scandal in which 26K households were severely punished for welfare fraud they didnā€™t commit, many were the result of racial discrimination at the Tax Agency. The Netherlands is at the moment facing one of the worst housing crises in the developed world after years of liberalisations. A VVD-minister (Rutteā€™s party) even invited foreign investors to speculate in our housing market.

However, Rutteā€™s party blames refugees for this crisis
Nov 2, 2022 ā€¢ 9 tweets ā€¢ 3 min read
Mette Frederiksen has done it! For the first time since 2007 a Danish prime minister is RE-ELECTED.

So what now? The left-of-centre red bloc has a one seat majority. But Frederiksenā€™s social democrats campaigned on forming a centrist government

Letā€™s have a look, Iā€™d say šŸ‘‡šŸ§µļæ¼ SCENARIO 1:

Frederiksen holds on to her promise anyway and forms a centrist govt

This could contain her Socdems, social-liberal Radikale, centrist Moderaterne and the two centre-right Venstre or Konservative parties.

HOWEVER, the latter two have said they REFUSE to do this.
Oct 30, 2022 ā€¢ 24 tweets ā€¢ 8 min read
THIS Tuesday, on 1 November, Danes go to the polls in snap parliamentary elections. And it's VERY close and reminds a lot of the Borgen story plot.

In this thread I'll explain how this snap election came about, what the parties are and what government we could expect.
šŸ‡©šŸ‡°šŸ—³ļøšŸ§µ Let's start in 2019: Socialdemokratiet (A-S&D) of Mette Frederiksen formed a solo minority government receiving support from:

ā€¢Radikale Venstre (B-RE), social-liberal
ā€¢Enhedslisten (Ƙ-LEFT), left-wing
ā€¢Socialistisk Folkeparti (F-G/EFA), green-left
Oct 29, 2022 ā€¢ 5 tweets ā€¢ 1 min read
Ipsos did a poll on how Swedish parties are viewed by voters, and itā€™s quite interestingā€¦

šŸŒ¹Socialdemokraterna (S-S&D)
51% - fit to govern
48% - knows how to let Sweden function well
46% - policies that work in reality šŸŸ¤Sverigedemokraterna (SD-ECR)
65% - wants big societal change
48% - clear what they want
45% - changes facts to their own benefit

ā“‚ļøModeraterna (M-EPP)
69% - stands by the rich
54% - understands business owners
45% - fit to govern
Oct 15, 2022 ā€¢ 5 tweets ā€¢ 1 min read
I think this map would be quite useful on where Swedish parties gained and lost in last month's election:

ā€¢Far-right SD's gains most in rural areas, especially in the industrial North

ā€¢Centre-left S made big inroads in urban areas, while remaining stable in the rest of Sweden ā€¢Liberal C had its greatest losses in rural areas. Painful as the party was founded as a farmers' interests party

ā€¢Left-wing V lost most in the industrial rural North. This is noteworthy as the party became less ambitious on climate in order to attract voters in that region
Oct 15, 2022 ā€¢ 4 tweets ā€¢ 1 min read
34% of the Swedish population was either born abroad or has a parent who was. One of the highest rates in the West. At this point, any wish to return to a homogeneous Sweden is just coping.

People have to get used and try to live TOGETHER. Not further segregate from each other. Reading through the right-wing government agreement, it feels like they're stuck in that coping. No measures to actually let people from different backgrounds live more next to one another. No measures to solve segregation in schools. Just proposed deportations that won't happen.