🚨 $RDDT Reddit pulled off the trifecta

Beat, raise, 40% EBITDA and the stock still got smacked on first read. If that confused you, this is the real plot 👇🧵

1) This was an ads-led beat.

Search upgrades + Reddit Answers + cleaner onboarding brought in more demand. The monetization engine is scaling, that’s the part the headline missed. 2/ So why the drop?

The narrative flinched at slower U.S. DAU. Investors pay up for U.S. monetization, so even small slips sting a rich multiple. $RDDT

David Gardner’s Rule Breaker Investing is one of the best investing books I’ve read in a long time. It’s hard to find books that actually add value—most of them are, frankly, shit.

What sets Gardner apart is he actually picked 100 baggers, unlike the others who dish out lessons but achieved nothing. Here are some of his 100 baggers: $TSLA $AMZN $NVDA $MELI $ISRG $NFLX

His rule is simple (as it should be). David Gardner’s Rule Breaker traits:

1) Top dog & first mover in an important, emerging industry
2) Durable competitive advantage (moat)
3) Strong past price appreciation
4) Excellent, founder-quality leadership/backing
5) Strong customer/consumer love (real evangelism)
6) “Too expensive” according to traditional/value media (often labeled overvalued)

Based on these traits, I looked for companies that check all the boxes under today’s conditions 🧵 1) Duolingo $DUOL — mobile, gamified learning at global scale

5-yr rev CAGR 45.9%
Price CAGR 22.0%
Forward P/E 82

Top dog & first mover: World’s most-downloaded education app; first to scale freemium, gamified language learning to huge MAU/DAU.

Sustainable advantage: Brand + data + AI features (Duolingo Max) deepen engagement and moat.
Strong past price appreciation: 2025 prints ATHs on beats and raised guide.

Excellent management / founder-led: Co-founder/CEO Luis von Ahn still driving the AI-first strategy.

Strong consumer appeal: 10M+ paying subs; growth across DAU/MAU and subs in 2025 updates.

Considered “overvalued”: Frequently discussed as trading at a premium vs. traditional valuation lenses.

Boring companies can be the best wealth builders.

Forget shiny products.

The real cheat code is management that shrinks your share count, tucks in niche deals, and reinvests at 20%+ returns.

Meet the 10 Capital Allocation MVPs quietly compounding in plain sight.

10 operators compounding via buybacks + tuck-ins + >20% 3 yr ROIIC

Playbook > product.

1) $TDG — TransDigm

Mission critical aircraft parts with pricing power, sold into long lived platforms.

Why they’re MVPs: They stay relentlessly per-share focused and keep doing bolt ons (e.g., Simmonds Precision from $RTX). The edge is small, monopolistic niches + ruthless cash return discipline. 2) $HEI – HEICO

FAA-approved aftermarket aircraft parts + specialty electronics; the definition of “serial tuck-ins.”

Why they’re MVPs: Keep consolidating niche aero/defense electronics (e.g., Gables Engineering). Repurchases are opportunistic; compounding comes mainly from dozens of small, high ROIC buys.

Stop buying “growth” that burns cash.

The real asymmetry is in SMID caps quietly scaling margins.

9 SMID caps that beat Q2 by a wide margin and showed revenue outgrowing opex / expanding operating margins (multi quarter trend in most cases).

Why it matters: this is where multiple expansion sticks, cash compounding is doing the heavy lifting, not vibes.

These are the under the radar rerate candidates 👇🧵 1/ $TMDX — TransMedics

What they do: organ-care systems (OCS) + a turnkey national organ procurement (“NOP”) logistics network.

Thesis: category creator with a network effect (clinics + pilots + aircraft). Mix shift to service/NOP throws off margin.

The print: Revenue $157.4M (+38% y/y); gross margin 61%; opex up 6% (60.0 vs 56.8), so operating income 3X to $36.6M; raised FY25 guide to $585–605M.

That’s real leverage and a guide up.

$NVDA is a $4T giant.
$POWL is < $4B.

Yet no hyperscale MW connects to the grid without $POWL 's switchgear.

AI isn’t just GPUs.
The bottlenecks are power, cooling, fiber, racks.

Hyperscalers will spend $7.9T on datacenters by 2030 and every dollar flows through gear from companies almost no one’s watching 🧵👇 1) $NVT (nVent) - busway, PDUs, enclosures, racks

Q2: +30% sales, FY25 guide lifted to +24–26% reported; backlog up 4X YoY.

Mgmt called out >20% organic growth in DC on AI builds. Watch busway attach rates per MW.

1/ Founder-Led, Aligned, Accelerating

Incentives > everything

There’s signal in skin in the game. Across decades, founder/family influenced companies have outperformed by 300–400 bps annually, and founder CEOs tend to invest more in innovation and long term bets, advantages that compound.

So I screened for: Founder/insider ownership >10% (or clear voting control) + accelerating (or reaccelerating) revenue.

Here are 7 I like now, I’ll drop 3 more if this hits 500 likes. Let’s go👇🧵 2/ $APP - AppLovin (adtech engines running hot)

Rev growth re-accelerated: +71% YoY in Q1’25 => +77% YoY in Q2’25 as AXON flywheel and ML bidding drove pricing & win rates. That’s step function momentum at scale.

Alignment: Co-founder/CEO Adam Foroughi is a reported 10% owner and (with a director) holds all Class B (20 votes/share).

Concentrated control = tight execution.

With model driven ad yield compounding and a founder who can move fast without a proxy fight, this is what durable operating leverage looks like.

🚨 The GOAT Stan Druckenmiller just reshuffled his portfolio in a big way.

He’s managed money through every market regime for 40+ years without a single down year.

This quarter, his portfolio shift says a lot about where smart capital is flowing next.

Here’s what he just bought and why 🧵 1/ Big picture

He rotated toward AI plumbing, select cyclicals/energy & transport, LatAm fintech/commerce, and a few asymmetric biopharma shots, plus money center/IB banks.

Positions are as of 6/30/25, lagged, long only, no shorts/hedges shown.

🚨Reddit $RDDT just posted one of the biggest blowout quarters of 2025.

+78% revenue. +84% ads. 90% gross margins. Stock up 20% 🔥

But the real story isn’t in the headline numbers, it’s in how Reddit is quietly rewiring its business. 👇🧵 1/ Let’s Start With the Numbers

Revenue: $500M (+78% y/y) vs $392M last Q
Ads: $465M (+84% y/y!)
Other: $35M (+24% y/y)

Profitability:
Gross Margin: 90.8%
Adj. EBITDA: $167M (33% margin!)
Net Income: $89M (18% margin)

Cash & Efficiency:
Operating Cash Flow: $111M
CapEx: 0.1% of revenue (incredibly asset-light)

User Growth:
DAU: 110.4M (+21% y/y)
Intl DAU: +32% (outpacing U.S. at +11%)

Huge quarter, wide beat but why?

$OSCR down 8% PM after multiple downgrades from the Street.

– Barclays initiates Underweight on policy risk
– Piper slashes PT to $18 on enrollment cliff fears

Market’s reacting to old headlines.

Here’s what a Bayesian lens says about the real risk and where the upside lies 🧵👇 1) Why the downgrade happened

Street finally priced in the June 2025 CBO score:
If subsidies expire and the HHS AV-rule hits, ACA enrollment drops –7.9M in 2026.

That’s triple the older –2.2M estimate.

$OSCR has 7% ACA share => potential –550k member loss.

Fair enough but that’s only one path.

Is it finally time for the Advanced Money Destroyer $AMD to strike?

Everyone’s watching $NVDA dominate AI training…

But the real war is just starting — in inference.

And that’s where $AMD might surprise everyone.
Here’s the $250B battleground no one’s pricing in 🧵 1. First, understand the split:

There are two AI chip markets:

- Training = model creation (bursty, FLOPS-heavy)
- Inference = model deployment (24/7, memory-heavy, cost-sensitive)

$NVDA dominates training.

But inference is up for grabs. $AMD

Calling $OSCR a “meme stock” just tells me you don’t do your homework.

It’s lazy. It shows you don’t understand the market, the business model, or what actually drove the mispricing. 🧵

https://twitter.com/Next100Baggers/status/1892579013366833157

1/ $OSCR isn’t hype. It’s a profitable ACA compounder:

- $9B revenue (+56% YoY)
- $25M net income
- 2M members (+41% YoY)
- SG&A down to 15.8%

And yet… it still trades at 0.4X 2025 sales.

🧵 the GOAT Stanley Druckenmiller —One of my favorite investors — just made major moves in Q1 '25.

He does trade often. But when he sizes up like this, it's not noise, it's signal.

Here are 8 names he just loaded up on — and what that tells us about where the puck is going👇 1/ $FLUT – Flutter Entertainment

📈 +1985% more shares
💰 $83.6M position
Druck doesn’t tiptoe.

He went all-in on Flutter, likely front-running a FanDuel spinout + the U.S. sports betting boom.

If sentiment turns, this rerates fast.