Engineer & ex-commodity trader | Spotting 10–100X SMID caps before Wall St | Averaging 50% CAGR since ’12 | Free deep dives👇Opinions only. Not financial advice
Aug 20 • 9 tweets • 5 min read
1/ Founder-Led, Aligned, Accelerating
Incentives > everything
There’s signal in skin in the game. Across decades, founder/family influenced companies have outperformed by 300–400 bps annually, and founder CEOs tend to invest more in innovation and long term bets, advantages that compound.
So I screened for: Founder/insider ownership >10% (or clear voting control) + accelerating (or reaccelerating) revenue.
Here are 7 I like now, I’ll drop 3 more if this hits 500 likes. Let’s go👇🧵2/ $APP - AppLovin (adtech engines running hot)
Rev growth re-accelerated: +71% YoY in Q1’25 => +77% YoY in Q2’25 as AXON flywheel and ML bidding drove pricing & win rates. That’s step function momentum at scale.
Alignment: Co-founder/CEO Adam Foroughi is a reported 10% owner and (with a director) holds all Class B (20 votes/share).
Concentrated control = tight execution.
With model driven ad yield compounding and a founder who can move fast without a proxy fight, this is what durable operating leverage looks like.
Aug 16 • 15 tweets • 7 min read
🚨 The GOAT Stan Druckenmiller just reshuffled his portfolio in a big way.
He’s managed money through every market regime for 40+ years without a single down year.
This quarter, his portfolio shift says a lot about where smart capital is flowing next.
Here’s what he just bought and why 🧵1/ Big picture
He rotated toward AI plumbing, select cyclicals/energy & transport, LatAm fintech/commerce, and a few asymmetric biopharma shots, plus money center/IB banks.
Positions are as of 6/30/25, lagged, long only, no shorts/hedges shown.
Jul 2 • 7 tweets • 3 min read
$OSCR down 8% PM after multiple downgrades from the Street.
– Barclays initiates Underweight on policy risk
– Piper slashes PT to $18 on enrollment cliff fears
Market’s reacting to old headlines.
Here’s what a Bayesian lens says about the real risk and where the upside lies 🧵👇1) Why the downgrade happened
Street finally priced in the June 2025 CBO score:
If subsidies expire and the HHS AV-rule hits, ACA enrollment drops –7.9M in 2026.
That’s triple the older –2.2M estimate.
$OSCR has 7% ACA share => potential –550k member loss.
Fair enough but that’s only one path.
Jun 26 • 10 tweets • 4 min read
Is it finally time for the Advanced Money Destroyer $AMD to strike?
Everyone’s watching $NVDA dominate AI training…
But the real war is just starting — in inference.
And that’s where $AMD might surprise everyone.
Here’s the $250B battleground no one’s pricing in 🧵 1. First, understand the split:
There are two AI chip markets:
- Training = model creation (bursty, FLOPS-heavy)
- Inference = model deployment (24/7, memory-heavy, cost-sensitive)
$NVDA dominates training.
But inference is up for grabs. $AMD
Jun 20 • 5 tweets • 2 min read
Calling $OSCR a “meme stock” just tells me you don’t do your homework.
It’s lazy. It shows you don’t understand the market, the business model, or what actually drove the mispricing. 🧵