Joe Orrico Profile picture
Host of No Expert Fantasy Football || #ETNSZN || @FantasyPros Ranker and Contributor || @UVA Alum
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Jun 11 14 tweets 6 min read
Drafting a Fantasy Football Team around ELITE RBs:

(League Winning Strategy) Why prioritize RB early in 2024 fantasy football drafts?

- Avoid RB dead zone (Rounds 4-6)
- WR value available in Rounds 4-6
- Easy to secure a Top QB & TE
- Very few elite RBs

RBs in Tiers 1 & 2 provide a massive advantage.

Let's draft around them:

Jun 2 8 tweets 4 min read
Top 12 Running Back Rankings and Tiers for Fantasy Football 2024: Tier 5

12. Derrick Henry
11. Isiah Pacheco
10. De’Von Achane

- 6 straight 10+ TD seasons
- Gus Edwards: 13 TDs last year in BAL

- Remains KC RB1
- Three down role
- 70%+ snaps in playoffs

- Boom/Bust
- 1st in Yards per Carry
- 1st in Yards B4 Contact Image
Jun 1 10 tweets 4 min read
Early MUST DRAFT Value Picks for 2024 Fantasy Football: Rachaad White (RB13 ADP)

The disrespect is crazy.

Amongst all RBs in 2023, White ranked
⁃ 3rd in % of Team High Value Touches
⁃ 4th in Total Receptions
⁃ 2nd in Total Snaps

Draft ahead of Jacobs, Henry, Pacheco.

Irving and Tucker are irrelevant.

Nov 29, 2023 12 tweets 3 min read
Building a MONSTER Roster for Fantasy Football Playoffs:

(League Winning Strategy) Running Back:

RB is simple for fantasy playoffs.

Studs in great matchups win weeks- acquire them.

Volume can, but not always, overcome bad matchups.

Streamers in great matchups can be started over mid-tier RBs in bad matchups.

Stash high-end handcuffs.

RB SOS Weeks 13-17: Image
Sep 12, 2023 11 tweets 3 min read
Prioritize These Waiver Adds Ahead of Week 2 Fantasy Football: Joshua Kelley

- 15.1 Fantasy Points Week 1
- 48% Snaps
- 17 Touches
- 5.69 Yards per Carry (ELITE)

Austin Ekeler is dealing with an ankle injury…

Ekeler’s status is currently “unknown” for practice this week.

Even with a fully healthy Ekeler, Kelley is the priority RB add.
Aug 24, 2023 12 tweets 4 min read
The BEST Picks You Can Make in Fantasy Football Drafts:

(Undervalued Players) Garrett Wilson

Wilson averaged 17.29 FPts per Game with Mike White and Joe Flacco at QB.

17.29 would’ve been good for WR8 last season.

Now, in Wilson’s second year with Aaron Rodgers at QB…

He goes as WR10 in drafts?

Garrett Wilson is one of the best picks you can make. Image
Aug 23, 2023 9 tweets 3 min read
SLEEPERS to Target in Your Fantasy Football League:

(At Every Position) Brock Purdy

2022 Advanced Stats (Wks 13-18)
+ Rank Amongst QBs:

Completion Percentage: 68% (6th)
Catchable Percentage: 86% (1st)
Pass Attempts / TD: 12 (1st)
QBR: 108.0 (1st)

Purdy averaged 18.1 FPts in his six full games last season.

Good for QB9 overall during that stretch. Image
Aug 15, 2023 15 tweets 5 min read
My FAVORITE Player to Draft in Every Single Round:

(Fantasy Football 2023) Round 1

Saquon Barkley

Healthy Weeks 1-10:

⁃ 83% Team Snaps
⁃ 86% Team High Value Touches

Both were first amongst all NFL RBs.

Saquon can lead the position in receptions + touches inside the opponent’s 10 yard line (HVTs) again.

Aug 12, 2023 10 tweets 3 min read
The ONLY Draft Guide You Need:

(For Fantasy Football 2023) A Strategy For Every Round 1 Pick:
Aug 11, 2023 14 tweets 4 min read
Jahmyr Gibbs is a Top 10 Fantasy Football RB:

(2023 LEAGUE WINNER) Jahmyr Gibbs

- 21 Years Old
- Early Declare
- Ideal Breakout Age (18)
- 12th Overall Pick to DET
- 99th Percentile Speed (4.36)

Compared to fellow Rookie Bijan Robinson…

Gibbs is faster and a better receiver (17% career market share of rec yards)

Gibbs Top Comps: CMC & ETN. Image
Aug 10, 2023 13 tweets 4 min read
How To Approach RBs with MASSIVE Question Marks

⁃ Jonathan Taylor
⁃ Josh Jacobs
⁃ Breece Hall
⁃ JK Dobbins
⁃ Javonte Williams
⁃ Alvin Kamara

In Fantasy Football Drafts: For all my #BuyTheDipBros out there…

In best ball drafts, yes, take some shots and draft these guys at massive discounts.

But in drafts for season-long managed leagues…

It’s a different story.

Reminder: you can’t win your league on draft day, but you CAN lose it.
Aug 9, 2023 15 tweets 4 min read
Fantasy Football Positional Draft RANKINGS and TIERS:

(with Player Previews) RB (PPR)

1. Christian McCaffrey

2. Saquon Barkley
3. Bijan Robinson

4. Tony Pollard
5. Austin Ekeler

6. Derrick Henry
7. Nick Chubb

8. Travis Etienne
9. Jahmyr Gibbs
10. Rhamondre Stevenson
11. Breece Hall
12. Najee Harris
Aug 8, 2023 11 tweets 4 min read
The BEST and WORST Fantasy Football Draft Picks:

(In Every Round) Round 1

Justin Jefferson
Christian McCaffrey
Ja’Marr Chase
Bijan Robinson
Saquon Barkley

Austin Ekeler

My preferred draft strategy is Hero RB…

Or I want the BEST WR.

Ekeler is great, but I don’t love his RB2 price.

Aug 7, 2023 14 tweets 5 min read
The ONLY Draft Strategy You Need for Fantasy Football 2023:

(HERO RB) You can run this Hero RB strategy from ANY draft position.

The main goal is to secure a monster RB in Round 1…

Then target an elite QB + TE, and stock up on WRs before even considering an RB2.

There is SO MUCH late RB value (see Rounds 8+)
Aug 5, 2023 12 tweets 3 min read
A Fantasy Football Draft Strategy for EVERY SINGLE First Round Player:

(Picks 1-12) Justin Jefferson

Aug 4, 2023 14 tweets 5 min read
Drafting a MONSTER Fantasy Team around Justin Jefferson:

(League Winning Strategy) Why Jefferson?

2022 Ranks Amongst All WRs

Targets: 1st
Air Yards: 3rd
Receptions: 1st
Touchdowns: 4th
EP per Game: 3rd
Receiving Yards: 1st

Finished as WR1.

% of Games as Top 5 WR: 60%
% of Games as Top 3 WR: 47%

Oh, he does this sh*t too:

Aug 3, 2023 11 tweets 4 min read
10 MUST DRAFT Players in Fantasy Football: Tony Pollard

Pollard ranked 4th amongst Top 24 RBs last season in Fantasy Points per Touch (0.980).

And 2nd in Yards per Carry (5.2).

He finished RB8 in 2022 despite playing less than 50% snaps in 8 games…

RB2 in Fantasy Points per Game (22.0) Weeks 8-16.

Top 5 RB. Image
Aug 2, 2023 13 tweets 5 min read
Drafting a LEAGUE WINNING Fantasy Team around Christian McCaffrey:

(Hero RB Strategy) Why CMC?

2022 Advanced Stats
+ Rank Amongst RBs:

Yards / Route: 2.0 (1st)
Targets / Game: 7.2 (2nd)
% of Tean Targets: 22% (1st)
High Value Touches / Snap: 0.15 (2nd)
% of Team High Value Touch: 85% (1st)

HVTs score the most Fantasy Points.

CMC is the clear RB1. Image
Jul 30, 2023 13 tweets 4 min read
Drafting an ELITE Fantasy Team with a Late First Round Pick:

(League Winning Strategy) Average ADP:

9- Bijan Robinson
10- Jonathan Taylor
11- Stefon Diggs
12- Nick Chubb
13- CeeDee Lamb
14- AJ Brown
15- Derrick Henry

All have Fantasy MVP ceiling.

With a late first round pick, you get two Top 15 players…

A massive advantage over other teams in your league.
Jul 27, 2023 13 tweets 3 min read
Drafting a MONSTER Fantasy Team around Bijan Robinson:

(League Winning Hero RB Strategy) Bijan Robinson is arguably the SAFEST RB in Fantasy Football.

- McCaffrey: age + injury risk
- Ekeler: age + regression
- Barkley: injury risk
- Taylor: PUP list?
- Chubb: receiving work?
- Henry: 1750 rush attempts
- Jacobs: not playing football
- Pollard: new OC + true RB1?
Jul 24, 2023 13 tweets 4 min read
Drafting a LEAGUE WINNING Team around an Elite QB:

(Allen, Mahomes, Hurts) Last season…

The Top 3 QBs scored 28.69 FPts/Game.
The Top 3 WRs scored 22.07 FPts/Game.
The Top 3 RBs scored 21.48 FPts/Game.

In 2023…

- Patrick Mahomes
- Josh Allen
- Jalen Hurts

Are clear favorites to lead the QB position, again.

Let's build around an ELITE QB: