I assess nuclear use by Russia in, on, over, b/c of Ukraine is—ceteris paribus, short- to mid- term—very unlikely.
Twitter RUMINT probs isn’t how we’d learn, either.
2/n
I’ve been reading redacted proceedings of 1969 Tactical Nuclear Weapon Symposium held at Los Alamos.
Hoooooooollllllyyyyyyyu fuck, that is some bonkers shit.
Like, USA ARMY EUROPE saying a report showed it needed 12k nukes for a “tactical” nuclear war in Europe.
Dec 12, 2018 • 8 tweets • 6 min read
2/n
1972 US NUWEP/NSTAP
1) foundation of US nuclear policy (& nulear deterrence generally) is to slaughter civilians.
Thus weapon assignment (but not use order) priority focused on being able UNDER ALL CIRCUMSTANCES to kill more cities & people than Soviets could (NSDM 16)
3/n
1972 US NUWEP/NSTAP:
2) 1st priority in actual US use of nuclear weapons has traditionally been damage limitation.
Thus notice that in 1972 ALL SIOP ATTACK OPTIONS included and begin with “Task Alfa”: attacking weapons, C3, air defense.
3/n
