While there's little disputing that Liverpool are worthy title winners, I believed that they were a better team in 18/19. That led me down a rabbit hole, which ended up in ranking Liverpool's 69 league performances across both seasons. And, I think, just about proved me right ๐๐ฝ
I looked at two metrics to create an index of performances:
Match goal difference
Match xG difference
And adjusted it based on the quality and form of the opponent (per @21stClub model) & whether it was home or away. I somewhat arbitrarily weighted them 2:1.
Sep 28, 2019 โข 14 tweets โข 5 min read
Ten years, ago, FIFA began revealing the votes behind its Ballon D'or / Best awards. In that time, Messi and Ronaldo have dominated; I've taken a look at their rivalry through the prism of voting patterns. Thread!
Firstly, a quick one on how the voting works. Each country has three voters - the national coach, captain, and a media representative. They each submit their top three players for that year. (As we've seen with Egypt this year - not everyone remembers to do this or does it right)
Feb 7, 2019 โข 12 tweets โข 3 min read
Iโve seen that UEFA are looking to scrap the away goals rule. I think this is a bad idea; despite being a bit of an anachronism, it makes two-legged knockout football more interesting. Hereโs why! (thread โ all stats for the Champions League since 2003)
First, letโs reject the idea that the AGR encourages goalless first legs. First legs in the knockout stages have been 0-0 draws 10% of the time. This is the same rate of 0-0s as in group matches between teams who finish 1st and 2nd in their groups (9.6%).