Otto Kolbl Profile picture
Researcher @unil on health issues (now #covid19), related media reporting; German Interior Min. COVID-19 task force (currently inactive).
Aviva Gabriel Profile picture 1 added to My Authors
May 22, 2022 7 tweets 3 min read
Our latest about early circulation of SARS-CoV-2: a critical research review, published in the British Medical Journal Global Health. About time we talk about the "reluctance" of a major share of the academic community to accept this hypothesis. 1/6
gh.bmj.com/content/7/3/e0… Why the reluctance to accept early circulation? Probably because it requires accepting another hypothesis, namely that earlier variants of SARS-CoV-2 were less contagious or less virulent and outbreaks could therefore go unnoticed. What evidence do we have? 2/6
Dec 19, 2021 10 tweets 4 min read
Peng Shuai being interviewed by Singapore media Zaobao:
zaobao.com.sg/realtime/china…
She is obviously surprised by the interview which takes place in bad acoustic and light conditions. She answers all questions regarding recent events. #WhereIsPengShuai? In Shanghai. 1/ Peng Shuai states that she never accused anybody of sexually assaulting her. Actually, you just have to read the post from Nov. 2 attributed to her to see that there is no such accusation. It was made up by journalists like @EmilyZFeng (NPR), @stevenleemyers (NYT) etc. 2/
Aug 23, 2021 13 tweets 4 min read
My latest: When did SARS-CoV-2 start to circulate among humans and where? Western media, experts and even WHO say: In Wuhan, probably in December or November 2019, in October at the earliest. However, peer-reviewed research tells another story. 1/13
researchgate.net/publication/35… First positive PCR test in sewage: 27 Nov. 2019 in Florianópolis, Brazil, followed by three months (!) of virtual constant RNA concentration. This virus spread slowly and went unnoticed. It took time to reach 0.1% prevalence necessary for PCR detection. 2/
pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33714813/
Apr 27, 2021 16 tweets 3 min read
Throat spray Povidone-Iodine or hydroxychloroquine are efficient as prevention against COVID-19: A peer-reviewed randomized study with >3000 participants in a migrant home in Singapore with high incidence: Control group incidence 70.0% after 42 days. 1/
sciencedirect.com/science/articl… After compensating for var. factors, throat spray povidone-iodine decreases risk of infection by 60-64%, i.e. by more than half; hydroxychloroquine by 61-66%; both signif. p<0.0125. Vit. C + zinc by 55-58% (compared to only vit. C), according to study not signif. (see below). 2/
Nov 2, 2020 10 tweets 7 min read
Massives Infektionsgeschehen in Schulen? Lösung:
1) Vogel-Strauss-Politik
2) Schulen schliessen und Zukunft der Kinder zerstören
3) Masken u. sich einen TRITT IN DEN ARSCH geben: Schulen, Eltern usw. mobilisieren für Bau von Lüftung mit Wärmeaustauscher, Schutzvorrichtungen usw. Lüften Problem 1: horizontaler Luftzug (Fenster öffnen) verringert Aerosole, vergrössert Risiko durch Tröpfcheninfektion. Lösung: Vertikaler Luftzug, wie in Labors. Luft strömt an der Decke aus, wird am Boden durch Abwasserrohre mit Löchern wieder abgesaugt.
Oct 15, 2020 24 tweets 5 min read
COVID-19: What information do we need to get out urgently?
In-depth analysis of media reporting and social media has revealed that crucial information which would allow us to develop a more efficient COVID-19 policy did not reach the public and decision makers. 1/24 As a result, some experts, organizations and activists who are opposed to efficient government measures in general can spread incorrect information about the virus and possible measures, with significant disruptive impact. 2/24
Aug 4, 2020 10 tweets 3 min read
Claiming that IFR "is between 0.5 and 1.0%" is incorrect and only helps advocates of herd immunity. IFR with optimal healthcare (!) is between 0.5 and 1.0%. IFR without is much higher.
@C_Althaus @marcelsalathe @itosettiMD_MBA @EckerleIsabella
Providing IFR estimates if hospital capacity is overwhelmed is not difficult. French data is available with hospitalizations, ICU and deaths according to age group. Even if we "only" consider that without hospital care, all ICU patients would die, IFR in young people skyrocket.