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Steven Shepard Profile picture
Steven Shepard
@POLITICO_Steve
Senior campaigns and elections editor and chief polling analyst for @politico.
Nov 11, 2022 • 4 tweets • 4 min read
New: There are 32 House races the AP hasn't called yet, but they aren't all created equal. My best (reported) guess about which way they're breaking, and whether Dems have any shot at the majority. politico.com/news/2022/11/1… Breaking it down, 2 of them are in D-vs.-D Calif. races, 2 GOP candidates have conceded, Dems are favored in 2 RCV tabulations. Then there are a dozen-plus other races where there's a clear favorite. politico.com/news/2022/11/1…
Sep 1, 2020 • 8 tweets • 2 min read
I don't usually do threads, but since we're talking about what Election Night will look like: We'll still have exit polls and AP Votecast, so news organizations will be able to project winners in uncompetitive states, even without actual votes tallied. This could actually be an important bulwark against some of the misleading results about which I'm seeing some warnings here. Even with the huge partisan split between in-person E-Day votes and mail/early votes, the media will be putting the decisive states in the right columns.