Robert A. Pape Profile picture
Professor of Political Science, University of Chicago, specializing in security affairs. Founding Director, Chicago Project on Security & Threats (CPOST).
Feb 28 5 tweets 1 min read
Three historical lessons about bombing campaigns and regime change: Lesson 1: Air power rarely produces friendly regime change.
Since WWI, dozens of bombing campaigns have tried to coerce governments from the air. None installed leaders more cooperative with the attacker. Bombing can destroy targets. It does not reliably reshape politics.