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Election forecasting, political and economic analysis, and data-driven insights. Personal: @JasonCorley78 / https://t.co/pY4N7W9VOu
Feb 5 10 tweets 4 min read
🚨ANOTHER MEGA THREAD: USAID, Media Collusion & the “Shadow Campaign” That "Fortified" the 2020 Election🚨

TIME Magazine openly admitted there was a coordinated effort to manipulate the 2020 election—backed by elites, media outlets, NGOs, and corporate interests. The article was authored by Molly Ball:
@mollyesque. Link to article at end of thread.

And here’s the kicker: USAID, a taxpayer-funded government agency, has been bankrolling many of these same groups.

Let’s connect the dots in this must read 🧵👇Image 1️⃣ TIME Magazine’s Own Words: The “Shadow Campaign”

TIME’s Molly Ball described a “well-funded cabal” that worked behind the scenes to:
🔹 Pressure social media companies to censor election-related content
🔹 Use data-driven strategies to control election narratives
🔹 Change voting laws & influence public perception

Key Name: Mike Podhorzer (AFL-CIO political strategist)
🔹 The architect of the “shadow campaign”
🔹 Connected labor unions with corporate power to push election “reforms”
🔹 His network included progressive data firms & activist groups

This wasn’t organic—it was a highly coordinated, elite-backed operation.
Feb 5 9 tweets 4 min read
🚨 MEGA THREAD: USAID—A Leftist Slush Fund? 🚨

The U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID) claims to promote democracy and development, but a closer look reveals millions in taxpayer dollars flowing to media outlets, NGOs, and non-profits—almost all aligned with progressive, leftist causes.

It doesn’t stop there. Reportedly, 97% of USAID employee political donations go to Democrats.

Let’s break it all down. 🧵👇Image 1️⃣ Media Funding Under the Guise of "Democracy"

USAID funds "independent journalism" through initiatives like the Media Viability Accelerator (MVA)—but who actually benefits?

🔹 In Peru, USAID funneled between $32K-$200K to outlets like RPP, La Encerrona, Epicentro, Ojo Público, and La República—each accused of pushing progressive agendas.
🔹 Western media also receives USAID funds, raising questions about government influence on journalism.

Is this about independent journalism, or ensuring a particular political ideology dominates the narrative?
Oct 17, 2024 6 tweets 2 min read
🚨 Georgia Early Voting Update 🚨

We’re seeing a muted racial realignment with Black voters shifting toward Trump by 6-7 points compared to October 2020. But the bigger issue for Democrats? Turnout drops, especially among Black voters. 🧵 📊 Georgia Early Voting Breakdown:

Pre in-person: White voters: 65.4%, Black voters: 19.9%.
Day 1: White: 56.9%, Black: 30.3%.
Day 2: White rebounded to 59.8%, while Black turnout dropped to 27.6%.

This turnout shift could be critical for Dems.
Oct 16, 2024 6 tweets 2 min read
🚨 Electoral Signals: Change Election

When we start seeing Trump +5 in Georgia and Arizona (NYT/Sienna) or a +4 Trump poll out of Michigan, it’s a sign of an approaching national polling miss. The Rust Belt might not even be terribly competitive.

Let's break it down: 🧵 🔍 What these state margins mean:

+7 in Georgia? I can show you how that directly impacts Arizona and North Carolina.

And what happens in NC tells us what’s coming in Pennsylvania, which then shifts Wisconsin and Michigan.

We can connect all these dots.
May 17, 2023 10 tweets 2 min read
Thread: The Durham Report - Crimes & Those Responsible
1/ The Durham Report is an important document that sheds light on the various crimes committed against former President Trump during his tenure. Let's delve into some key findings & the individuals responsible for these acts. 2/ The report reveals a shocking abuse of power by high-ranking officials within the intelligence community, including the FBI and the Department of Justice. These individuals engaged in illegal surveillance, leaking sensitive information, and manipulating the justice system.
Nov 2, 2022 9 tweets 2 min read
Our forecast seems rosier than collective forecasts. We use fundamentals more so than polls (fundamentals= many things related to midterms in relation to this one) which in cases validates/dismisses polls based on yet another method and so on. Consensus seems 30+ & 3.

Cont'd... Yet, our process only gets us so far. It has to actually make sense within the realm of human behavior. We set out to find the expected swing our models showed. Virginia & NJ was the test bed to it all--our models/voting models & fundamentals validating the swing at 10-12 points. Image
Nov 1, 2022 9 tweets 2 min read
Read Cohn's tweet for context before you dig into these numbers. I have absolutely no comment on this bullshit. It's a waste of time. Percentage of Black electorate in GA (2020) 33%. Image
Apr 28, 2022 4 tweets 1 min read
1/ It's unfortunate that it has taken all of this economic and cultural calamity to wake people up. However, I can finally say with a great degree of confidence base on our #'s and most metrics we see. America is in the midst of political realignment. No caveats. 2/ Also, the political realignment will greatly benefit the right politically. This is a tide the Left or the government cannot control. It will be too large to sudue. People are recalibrating their priorities in terms of economic and cultural expectations. The opportunity