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https://twitter.com/littmath/status/1769408478139785497ā¦subsequences, but HT subsequences appear across more of the sequences because they cannot be āpacked inā as efficiently. Thus, in a *finite* set of coin tosses, sequences w/HT are more likely to appear, even though the *expected* number of HH and HT subsequences is the same. 2/
https://twitter.com/cjwich/status/1678897459349553152ā¦and that their ostensible āattempts to recallā just happen to involve trying to establish that another academic, who is *not even a coauthor (!!)* supposedly collected the data for them. 2/
https://twitter.com/lymanstoneky/status/1253219512591106051Let me be blunt in response: this argument is just plain dumb. Just because the infections variable is measured with noise, doesn't mean an analysis employing it is useless. Furthermore, as I discussed before, *deaths are also measured with noise*.
https://twitter.com/lymanstoneky/status/1253219743042920449?s=20
https://twitter.com/lymanstoneky/status/1252795142026608640First off, @lymanstoneky asserts that no nationwide evidence from the US currently exists that lockdowns are effective. This is materially false. Here's our nationwide analysis showing lockdowns are associated w/dramatic declines in county infection growth rates in the raw data.