Global affairs writer/academic/ TV Host/Podcaster 🖊📚 📺 🎙️ Columnist @inquirerdotnet; Senior Lecturer @UPAsianCenter; Munich Security Conference YL;
Apr 15 • 12 tweets • 3 min read
NO TO "STRATEGIC GASLIGHTING":
1. It was CHINA's actions that FORCED the Philippines' hands, not the other way around;
2. ASEAN was just as "USELESS" when AQUINO took CHINA to international court, so stop invoking DUTERTE era as an EXCUSE;
3. LACK of CHINESE INVESTMENTS in the Philippines was MOST PRONOUNCED under DUTERTE, who fell for the "PLEDGE TRAP".
Let me explain 🧵
MARCOS initially wanted "NEW GOLDEN AGE" of bilateral ties with China, but failed to get any concessions, so he had to change strategy;
Yes, AUKUS will be big in coming decades but… the real deal (geographic factor alone) is the fast emerging JAPHUS alliance, as the
PHILIPPINES becomes a core element of a Japan-Phil-US trilateral alliance w/ immediate impact on TAIWAN… 🇹🇼🇵🇭🇯🇵🇺🇸🇦🇺 #Aukus#China
Both Senkaku 🇯🇵 & Mavulis 🇵🇭 are barely 100 nautical miles from Taiwan’s main shores..,
Mar 14, 2023 • 10 tweets • 2 min read
What do you think of the state of PHILIPPINE CINEMA and our entertainment industry?
Folks, let’s be constructive: kindly post suggestions, examples and case studies if ever too :)
Mar 14, 2023 • 6 tweets • 2 min read
“Integrated deterrence”: At once, two different trilateral alignments are coming together, namely AUKUS — Australia, US & UK — as well as the burgeoning JAPHUS — Japan, Philippines, and US — amid growing concerns over China’s designs over Taiwan and the broader First Island Chain
This was never about US alone taking on China, which enjoys operational advantages as a primarily regional superpower, but instead leveraging a network of allies and partners to keep Beijing’s ambitions in check…
Mar 25, 2019 • 5 tweets • 2 min read
FYI, the philippines IS NOT vulnerable to Chinese “debt trap” — namely, unsustainable debt-to-GDP ratio in loan commitments — as much as to serious concerns with (lack of) transparency, overreliance on Chinese labour, and “chimera” (pa-asa) in exchange 4 geopolitical concessions
Debt trap” means unsustainable debt-to-GDP borrowing ratio. As I always argued, I doubt the Chinese will really invest that much in PH. For summary analysis & detailed report see my piece for Sydney-based Lowy Institute here: lowyinstitute.org/the-interprete…