"Bogleheads on Investing” podcast host; advice-only financial adviser; authored six books on index funds, ETFs & asset allocation; retired Marine fighter pilot.
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Jan 9 • 6 tweets • 2 min read
Index funds have existed for 50 years, and so have critics of indexing. Most concerns were empirical claims — predictions about market outcomes — and therefore testable over time. The following five are the principal criticisms that have not materialized in practice:
Claim #1:
If too much money flowed into index funds, prices would no longer reflect fundamental information because index investors do not analyze securities.
What actually happened:
Price discovery remains robust. Active managers, arbitrageurs, hedge funds, and other informed traders continue to set prices at the margin. Index funds can only accept prices; they do not determine them.
Why it didn’t materialize:
Price discovery does not require most investors to be active — only enough need to be active to exploit mispricing. Even a relatively small share of active capital is sufficient to keep markets informationally efficient.
Dec 20, 2019 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
1/4 The use of DFA and other factor funds are too often oversold by advisers. This active strategy is pitched as a "smart" indexing strategy, but the focus is not on indexing. It's on the decorations and the candles on a cake rather than the cake itself or even the icing.
2/4 The cake is a prudent asset allocation between broad market stock and bond index funds that have rock-bottom fees. The icing is the allocation to US stock, international stock, government debt, and credit. The decoration is factor investing, and the candles are alternatives.