Thread: How Bills Fans Will Stop at Nothing to Get Josh Allen His Charity MVP

No fanbase has been more hypocritical this season than the Bills. Let's count some of the ways based on the arguments I've seen for 3 months. 1. INTs/TOs matter again.

They never did when Josh had too many, but now that he's had a career-low INT%, they suddenly care about picks and turnovers, plays that damage stats like EPA/QBR. So it's a big boost for Allen that he's low in these plays for a change.

It's 2021 & you're making arguments that were debunked in the 2000s.

But I have time today.

So it's fine that Brady didn't elevate these draft picks much, but not fine that Peyton (late 1sts), Rodgers (2nd-rd WRs) & Mahomes (Kelce 3rd, Hill 5th) maximize the home grown talent?

https://twitter.com/CretsingerBen/status/1440644451655827464

Then your argument is to ignore the vast majority of Brady's career and do revisionist history on 2001-06 when the average Patriots offense was 9.3 in Pts/Dr, 11.5 in Yds/Dr?

And what, a guy like Corey Dillon didn't matter in 04? Or having a good OL to go along w/D-ST advantage.

I used 180+ yards and found 17 examples since 1970.

Only 2/17 went for over 100 yards in the playoffs.

Regular season totals: 164 catches, 3,488 yards, 25 TD, 13-4 record
Playoff rematch totals: 61 catches, 1,052 yards, 6 TD, 10-7 record

Ouch. That's 208.7 YPG to 61.9 YPG.

https://twitter.com/ScottKacsmar/status/1356767681475719171

Also, Don Beebe going off for GB w/220 yards vs. 49ers in 1996 is kinda hilarious. He had 1 catch for 2 yards in the playoffs, an easy win over the 49ers.

All I can say, after verifying it, is no team in the last 12 years has benefited more from DPI than the 2020 Bucs.

And the 2020 Chiefs are almost at the very bottom of that list of 384 teams.

https://twitter.com/ByTheRouletteEM/status/1356171396548882432

And they literally draw the referee (Cheffers) who calls it a lot on the road team.

Cheffers' crew had 13 dismissed DPI flags this year.

No other crew had more than 4 such plays. So if they see even a hint of it, they'll throw the flag even on completed passes.

Writing about the Lamar/Snead/weapons thing in BAL.

Seriously, how screwed up is the logic that having one great WR is going to magically make a QB good when 75% of his throws are going to other people? And the whole "he opens things up for everyone else" thing is incredibly overblown. If the game was actually played like that, defenses would just smother guys like Davante or Diggs with 2-3 defenders and literally open up the other guys.

Here's what always bugs me about drops, an unofficial NFL statistic.

Some passes that are inaccurate are still counted as drops when they really weren't, while other totally accurate throws that are in both hands, but the defender helps break it up makes it not a drop.

Huh? He still dropped the ball. You're just giving a reason for it.

If a kicker goes 17/24 on FGs with one blocked, that one block is still part of the 7 failed kicks. You're just adding context, which is fine, but it's still a miss as a drop is a drop.

Thread: The dumping on Ben Roethlisberger's 2020 is a pretty huge analytics failure.

How do you talk about the value and boost in the play-action passing game and completely ignore that the Steelers use PA on 8.1% of passes while the rest of the NFL is at 23.1%? Rams and Steelers have both played 10 games with almost equal number of passes thrown, yet the Rams have 134 play-action passes (36.0%) compared to 31 for the Steelers (8.1%).

Next lowest teams in PA attempts are Colts & Raiders (59), almost double PIT's 31 (source: @pfref).