#COVID19India Daily deaths show a major bump. This is due to data reconciliation which is done through an audit/validation exercise. This is q normal in open democracies. It must be encouraged. We’ve seen this exercise before several times in the first wave too.
Daily cases continue to fall sharply - have now reached the level of first peak.
While we wait for immunologists, virologists etc. to tell us the reasons -- it is important to acknowledge the fact that India has significantly overcome the COVID19 contagion. Active cases have continued to fall steadily for 4.5 months (unlike elsewhere)
Daily cases were 95K in mid-September. They are down to 12K now (7 day moving averages).
Daily deaths were 1250 in mid September. They are down to 125 now.
How are active cases growing across countries? 1) Declining in India. 2) Rising in Europe: Spain, France, UK....& Russia. 3) Rising in Iran, Argentina...and lately Brazil. 4) US: an outlier (Recovery data not getting updated @JHUSystems ?)
Growth rate of active cases continues to be negative for third week in a row. Currently = -1.0%
This is a strong indication that India has surpassed a peak (and not plateauing at high levels of active cases).