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Simon Rosenberg Profile picture
Simon Rosenberg
@SimonWDC
Political Strategist, Commentator, Hopium Purveyor | NDN, DNC, DCCC, Clinton War Room, ABC News | Slava Ukraini! | Other places - https://t.co/Fy9PYAL934
Lenny Marlow Profile picture eDo Profile picture Oy Vey Profile picture BlueGlowAgave 🌻 Profile picture JT Styl Profile picture 41 subscribed
Apr 8 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
In other news it is now undeniable that there is a Russian fifth column operating in United States trying to destroy the country and the global democracy movement from within.

In the last week Kennedy made it clear he is seeking to become a leader of this fifth column. That MAGA is a Russian fifth column is now being openly discussed by Republican leaders themselves as they look on in horror at what has become of the party of Reagan.

Apr 6 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
With another roaring jobs report - 303,000!!! - my monthly jobs tracker now comes in at:

33.8m jobs = 16 yrs Clinton, Obama
15.2m jobs = 3+ yrs Biden
1.9m jobs = 16 yrs 2 Bushes, Trump

8 times more Biden jobs than last 3 R Presidents COMBINED. 1/ Image The rate of job growth has been 40 times higher under Biden than it was under the last 3 GOP Presidents. 40 times. Last month's 303,000 jobs would be 2 1/2 years of job growth under Republicans. 2/ Image
Feb 28 • 6 tweets • 2 min read
Morning after Michigan thread:
- Biden wins big, breaks 80%, uncommitted at a very modest 13%. Opposition to Biden foreign policy limited, but intense.
- Trump underperforms public polling again, 4th state in a row. Trump/RNC are struggling. More 👇1/

hopiumchronicles.com/p/bidens-succe… For Dems, big takeaway - there just isn't a big backlash in party against Biden's handling of Israel-Hamas:
- Uncommitted got 11% vs Obama in 2012, 13% vs Biden
- In Econ/YouGov Dems approve of Biden for pol 71-21, 18-29s year olds give good marks. 2/

hopiumchronicles.com/p/joe-biden-is…
Feb 21 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
Stop calling Trump a strong candidate. He
- isn't leading or favored in national polling 👇
- was outraised by Nikki Haley last month
- is burning through $$$$
- underperformed NH polls by 10-15 pts
- is losing all his court cases, badly
- his party is broke, struggling
- NY-3! The GOP = unprecedented shitshow:
- got beat in 2018, 2020, 2022, 2023, struggling in early 2024
- leadership ousted, dozens indicted
- broke, burning cash
- House Members abandoning ship
- flacking Russia disinfo, serially betraying the country
- nominee is bat shit crazy
Feb 14 • 11 tweets • 4 min read
As we await the results of NY-3 tonight, a reminder that the Democratic Party has been on a remarkable run of late.

More in my analysis below, and a few points here in a thread. 1/

hopiumchronicles.com/p/the-democrat… Dems have won more votes in 7 of past 8 Presidential elections, the best popular vote run of an American political party in history.

In the last 4 Pres elections, we've averaged 51%, Rs 46%. It's our best run since FDR's 4 elections 80+ yrs ago. 2/
hopiumchronicles.com/p/the-democrat…
Feb 2 • 10 tweets • 4 min read
Holy moly - a huge jobs report!

479,000 new jobs with revisions, average hourly earnings up 0.6 in a single month! Let's get to the mighty monthly jobs thread...

33.8m jobs = 16 yrs Clinton, Obama
14.8m jobs = 3 yrs Biden
1.9m jobs = 16 yrs 2 Bushes, Trump 1/ Image Jobs have been created at more than 40 times the rate under Biden as under the last 3 GOP Presidents.

Note that R Presidents averaged 120,000 jobs created PER YEAR for 16 yrs, while 353,000 were created LAST MONTH alone. 2/ Image
Feb 1 • 7 tweets • 2 min read
More 2024 warnings signs for the GOP - Trump spent $50m on legal bills in 2023 and spent more than he raised. Via @politico. Big yikes. Image Democrats have enormous fundraising advantages in the Senate battlegrounds. Republicans are struggling to raise money. Via @washingtonpost
Jan 16 • 6 tweets • 2 min read
The first stop Trump is making tomorrow, after his Iowa win, is a trial where the court has ALREADY determined he has committed sexual assault.

The Republican frontrunner is a sex offender. Full stop. How can a man like that lead anything? That is the story tomorrow. That a court has found that Trump committed sexual assault would make it impossible for him to be hired in almost any job in America. This is the question that needs to be put to voters in polling - do you want someone who tried to rape someone as your leader?
Jan 5 • 10 tweets • 4 min read
216,000 new jobs, beating expectations, 3.7% unemploy. rate, wage growth near 5% annualized - another really good jobs report!

Let the mighty jobs day thread begin...

33.8m jobs = 16 yrs Clinton, Obama
14.3m jobs = 35 months Biden
1.9m jobs = 16 yrs Bush, Bush, Trump 1/ Image Jobs have been created at more than 40 times the rate under Biden than under the last 3 GOP Presidents. Last month was almost two years of job growth under the Bushes and Trump. Econ track record of GOP since Cold War ended among worst in US history. 2/Image
Jan 4 • 13 tweets • 4 min read
Trump is weak, not strong.

- 35% to 40% of Rs not supporting him nationally
- Majorities of Rs not with him in the early states
- GOP has meaningfully splintered, keeps losing elections
- Olympian negatives, will make it near impossible for him to win
- New Hampshire Trump will not be able to withstand ads which remind us:
- courts have *already* determined he committed sexual assault, years long financial fraud, insurrection
- he's taken more money from foreign governments than any US politician in history, incl from China, as President 1/
Dec 30, 2023 • 6 tweets • 3 min read
2023 ending on an up note for @POTUS & Dems. A 🧵
- GDP growth 4.9%, best job market since 1960s, best recovery in G7
- Prices *fell* last month, gas/rents/crime rates falling
- Consumer sentiment, Biden/Dem polling improving 1/

hopiumchronicles.com/p/a-positive-u… As we head into 2024, would much rather be us than them:
- Joe Biden is a good President
- The country is better off
- The Democratic Party is strong
- And they have Trump
More in @MSNBC - "Biden's 2024 chances are much stronger than people realize" 👇2/

msnbc.com/opinion/msnbc-…
Dec 23, 2023 • 8 tweets • 3 min read
America is ending 2023 strong:
- prices falling, consumer sentiment rising
- stock market records highs
- GDP 4.9%, best job market since 1960s, strongest recovery in G7
- wage growth, new biz starts, prime age worker participation historically elevated 1/ America is ending 2023 strong:
- crime rates across US, rents and gas falling
- interest rates coming down in 2024
- oil and renewable production breaking records
- lowest uninsured rate in history
- $130b student debt relief
- deficit trillions less 2/

hopiumchronicles.com/p/a-positive-u…
Dec 21, 2023 • 6 tweets • 3 min read
2023 ending on upbeat note for Joe Biden/Dems:
- Economy booming, Dow breaking records
- Inflation, crime, rents, gas down
- Consumer sentiment rising sharply
- Nov elections were blue wave
- 15 polls now w/Biden tied/leading (below)
- GOP is an historic shitshow Need to be clear here - polling has improved for Dems in recent weeks:
- Biden now tied/leading in majority of independent polls
- Cong. generic has moved 2-3 pts towards Dems
- House battleground polling showing drop for Rs

Dec 15, 2023 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
There can no longer be any doubt that the Republican Party has become a dangerous Russian fifth column in the US, openly working Putin allied forces in Europe to undermine the West and collective American and European security.

We cannot look away, normalize this in any way. The simplest explanation for Trump's behavior going to back to his efforts at the 2016 Republican convention to block military aid to Ukraine is that he is a partner/agent/ally of the Russian government, and has been betraying his country for years.

cnn.com/interactive/20…
Dec 14, 2023 • 6 tweets • 2 min read
Let's review the encouraging economic news:
- GDP growth 5.2% q3, 3+% for Biden's 3 yrs
- US best COVID recovery in G7
- 14.1m Biden jobs 7 times last 3 R POTUS combined
- Best job market in almost 60 yrs, lowest peacetime unemployment rate since WWII 1/

Good economic news, continued:
- Dow breaks 37,000, hits all time high
- Interest rate cuts coming next year
- Inflation zero in October, 0.1 in Nov, well below Fed target rates
- Rents are coming down, gas/energy way down, groceries only rose 1.7% over last year 2/
Dec 8, 2023 • 11 tweets • 5 min read
A jobs day thread about the very strong US economy - 199,000 new jobs, unemployment rate down to 3.7%, 5.2% GDP growth, inflation zero last month, wage growth still strong - remarkable stuff. Here's my jobs tracker:

33.8m jobs - 16 years of Clinton, Obama
14.1m jobs - 34 months of Biden
1.9m jobs - 16 years of Bush, Bush and Trump 1/
Image We continue to see very elevated wage gains, new business starts and prime-age worker participation rates. Real wages firmly in positive territory, best time to find a job since the 1960s, uninsured rate lowest ever recorded. All sorts of good economic news now. 2/

Image
Image
Image
Nov 8, 2023 • 7 tweets • 2 min read
There are reports from all over the country this morning of Dems making big gains in local elections and school board races. Our win seems to have been broad and deep.

Dare we say blue wave? Starting a thread here which will try to capture breadth and depth of the Democratic wave of 2023 beyond what is best known.

We flipped a Trump +35 state house seat in NJ, and made gains in both legislative chambers, beyond what was expected. 2/

Nov 3, 2023 • 8 tweets • 3 min read
Monthly Jobs Report thread....150,000 new jobs, a middling report. After months of Fed rate hikes, mighty US economy has begun to slow. My tracker:

33.8m jobs = 16 yrs Clinton, Obama
14m jobs = almost 3 yrs Biden
1.9m jobs = 16 years 2 Bushes, Trump 1/ Image We've had a lot of good news of late:
- Strongest recovery in G7
- Inflation keeps coming down
- Q3 GDP 4.9%
- Median wealth up 37% fr 2020 to 2022
- Gas prices lower than a year ago
- Productivity gains enormous
- Record black/Hispanic new biz starts 2/

hopiumchronicles.com/p/the-us-econo…
Oct 8, 2023 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
At this critical moment the owner of this platform is not just spreading misinformation, but recommending accounts with a history of doing so. I've seen more misinformation, lying and anti-Biden propaganda in my feed over the past 30 hours than I have in a very long time. It's not good.
Oct 8, 2023 • 13 tweets • 4 min read
Short thread on Russia's support of Iran and Hamas....

The @Jerusalem_Post, October 5th:

"We have very good relations with Iran. And we will enhance them in every possible way," Russian President Vladimir Putin said.

jpost.com/international/… @Jerusalem_Post Hamas has been a regular guest in Moscow over the past few years.

One account from the fall of 2022 said that Hamas traveled to Russia "to solicit Russia’s views on his “new ideas” for confronting Israel."

Oct 7, 2023 • 7 tweets • 2 min read
Hamas' close ally Russia out with statements this morning calling for a "cease fire," essentially telling Israel to stand down. Wait to Putin-loving Republicans find out that Russia is a backer and ally of both Iran and Hamas.