Sina Toossi Profile picture
senior fellow @CIPolicy | tweets mostly on Iran, US foreign policy, Middle East | bylines in @ForeignAffairs, @ForeignPolicy, @Guardian, and elsewhere.
Nov 3 8 tweets 7 min read
👇Reports from BBC Persian & other sources indicate that this incident involving a young Iranian woman was a tragic mental health crisis.

After removing her underwear, she was detained & reportedly taken to a psychiatric facility.

Per BBC Persian:

"Two eyewitnesses, who were present during the incident, shared details with BBC Persian that differ from accounts of an altercation with security. They said the girl ‘unexpectedly entered several classrooms holding a mobile phone, as if she was recording students.’ According to them, an instructor, upset by her unauthorized entry, sent a student to ask her intentions. However, one witness reported that upon encountering students, she ‘started screaming.’

One of the witnesses told BBC that when they reached the courtyard, they saw the girl had undressed. According to these witnesses, there was ‘no confrontation between the girl and security.’ However, they only witnessed the girl’s unexpected entrance into classrooms. They said they are unaware of what transpired before she entered the classrooms or what occurred between her exit from the building and her undressing in the courtyard.

These eyewitnesses arrived after she had removed her clothes in the courtyard. According to them, the girl told students inside the building, ‘I came to save you.’ A social media user on X, who appears to be a university student, posted that she said, ‘I came to save you.’

University and Iranian Media Response

Amir Mahjoub, the Public Relations and Protocol Manager of Azad University, denied any confrontation between the girl, whom he referred to as a student, and university security in a post on X. Mahjoub stated that he was present at the police station after her arrest and reported, ‘Her physical condition was confirmed as fully stable by emergency responders.’

Mahjoub then explained:

‘Investigations reveal that due to a mental health issue, she began filming her classmates and instructor, prompting objections. This has happened before. When faced with protests from students and security, she quickly reached the courtyard and acted disrespectfully... What actually transpired indicates that her indecent behavior was not due to hijab enforcement but resulted from students and security objecting to her unauthorized filming and photographing, violating the privacy of students and instructors.’

Iranian media, including ISNA, also reported that this ‘student,’ after filming students, faced objections and subsequently undressed in response to these objections. They cited Azad University, stating that ‘this student is under severe psychological distress and has been transferred to a treatment facility.’”

Link: bbc.com/persian/articl… 2/ A fellow student who witnessed the incident tweeted yesterday, "I hadn’t even been able to digest the "foursome" yet when suddenly a girl was completely naked in the middle of Science and Research :))"

(the "foursome" refers to a separate viral incident😄)

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Oct 20 23 tweets 9 min read
🧵A very important piece: an Israeli outlet reports severe morale loss and exhaustion among soldiers, with many now refusing to serve.

Based on interviews with soldiers and families across units, it's described as a "suppressed but growing phenomenon."

ha-makom.co.il/idf-droppings/Image
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2/ The piece opens with a striking anecdote:

In September, the Nahal Brigade began its 11th round of combat in Gaza, but out of a platoon of 30 soldiers, only 6 showed up—the rest claimed medical exemptions.

"I call it refusal and rebellion," says the mother of one soldier. Image
Oct 13 10 tweets 3 min read
🚨🧵Today, Hezbollah launched its most devastating attack on Israel since the war began, targeting the elite Golani Brigade base south of Haifa, causing over 70 casualties.

Exact numbers of dead & wounded are unclear due to Israel's strict censorship on reporting such attacks.


2/ Israeli media reported that a drone struck the base undetected, with no sirens sounding before it hit the dining hall, where soldiers & officers were reportedly present.

Initial reports suggested Chief of Staff Herzi Halevi was there, but Israeli sources have denied this. Image
Oct 10 7 tweets 4 min read
🧵Fmr Israeli General Itzhak Brik gives a scathing critique of Israel's war strategy, warning that Netanyahu is leading Israel to "collapse."

He says Israel is stuck in unwinnable wars of attrition, & calls for diplomatic solutions w/ Hezbollah & Hamas.

maariv.co.il/journalists/op… 2/ Brik warns, "Even conquering territories in Lebanon won't stop the war of attrition, as the IDF will eventually withdraw. Hezbollah will continue launching missiles at Israel from even greater distances than the areas we capture." Image
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Oct 8 20 tweets 8 min read
🧵We need an English-language exposé on Reza Pahlavi's monarchist movement.

He's like an Ahmed Chalabi on steroids, serving Netanyahu's agenda.

With little organic support, he's boosted by social media manipulation as vocal opposition against him grows daily, even in diaspora. 2/@thomasjuneau rightly calls out Reza Pahlavi's idea that there "won't be a power vacuum when the Islamic Republic falls" as delusional.

Pahlavi, son of the overthrown Shah, clearly hopes Israel will magically topple the Iranian govt, & he will take over
Oct 1 10 tweets 4 min read
🧵 on the rapid developments after Iran's missile attack on Israel.

The coming hours & days will be crucial in determining if a regional war erupts.

Iranian missiles reportedly hit several military targets, including Tel Nof Airbase south of Tel Aviv, as seen in this video. 2/ Netanyahu, in his first statement regarding the Iranian attack: "Iran made a big mistake this evening and will pay the price. The Iranian regime does not understand our insistence on defending ourselves and responding to our enemies. We will strike back."
Sep 25 10 tweets 5 min read
🧵on the latest in the Israel-Lebanon conflict from today:

This graphic from an Israeli analyst shows Hezbollah's increasing missile range into Israel.

Today also saw a reported Hezbollah strike on a target in Tel Aviv for the first time.

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2/ Hezbollah announced it fired a Qadir-1 ballistic missile at Mossad HQ on the outskirts of Tel Aviv at 6:30 AM local time.

This clip from Israel's Channel 13 captures the moment sirens blared across Tel Aviv.

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Sep 22 24 tweets 9 min read
🧵Hezbollah has escalated its attacks, targeting the strategic port city of Haifa & expanding its missile range across northern Israel.

This surge, significant in terms of number & kinds of missiles fired & damage caused, follows a week of Israeli airstrikes & assassinations.





2/ As hundreds of thousands take shelter and the region shuts down, a local official in Haifa district warned: "I feel the equation is shifting. It would be a serious escalation if we end up in the same situation as the north."

ynet.co.il/news/article/r…
Sep 5 5 tweets 2 min read
🧵Tensions between Russia & Iran have risen after Russian FM spokesperson Maria Zakharova confirmed support for the Zangezur corridor, a route that would link Azerbaijan to Nakhchivan and Turkey, potentially cutting off Iran's border with Armenia and access to the Caucasus. Image 2/ The dispute highlights the one-sided nature of the Iran-Russia relationship. Despite Iran's objections, Russia has consistently supported the establishment of the Zangezur corridor since 2020.
Jun 9 5 tweets 2 min read
🧵The list of Iran’s approved candidates for the June 28 presidential election has been released, with some surprising and interesting developments.

Out of 80 registered candidates, only six were approved.

But it could turn out to be a competitive election...>>> Image The list of approved candidates for Iran’s June 28 presidential election:

1. Mostafa Pourmohammadi: Former Minister of Justice in Hassan Rouhani's first-term administration and Minister of Interior in Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's first-term administration. Politically, he has leaned more towards the moderate camp, but he has been implicated in the 1988 mass executions of leftist and MEK political prisoners.

2. Saeed Jalili: A hardliner and former secretary of the Supreme National Security Council, Jalili led nuclear negotiations and is the candidate for Jebhe-Paydari, Iran’s most conservative faction.

3. Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf: Currently the parliamentary speaker and a perennial presidential candidate, Ghalibaf has been positioning himself as a leader of the traditional conservative camp, making this his best shot at the presidency.

4. Alireza Zakani: The mayor of Tehran and a conservative, Zakani played a significant role as an “attack dog” for Raisi during the 2021 presidential race.

5. Amirhossein Qazizadeh Hashemi: The only official from Raisi’s administration approved to run, Hashemi is the head of the Martyrs Foundation.

6. Masoud Pezeshkian: A reformist MP and former Minister of Health under Khatami, Pezeshkian has the backing of the main political body of reformists. His success depends heavily on high voter turnout.
Apr 10 17 tweets 8 min read
🚨BREAKING:

-Iran has reportedly halted all air traffic to and from Tehran.

-Flight radar shows significant reduction in passenger aircraft over western Iran & Israel.

Potential Iranian retaliatory strikes against Israel in the coming hours?


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Some Iranian outlets report that a NOTAM (Notice to Airmen) or no-fly status has been declared over Tehran; it seems that this declaration might be in line with a military exercise to confuse Israel for Iran's retaliatory operations.

The announcement shows different colors. Yellow indicates the possibility of missile and rocket encounters, purple denotes drones, and red signifies gunfire.Image
Feb 9 15 tweets 3 min read
🧵I attended this very insightful discussion on a new book by about the impact of sanctions on Iran.

I have yet to read it (very much looking forward to doing so), but here’s a thread on some insights from Narges Bajoghli and @vali_nasr that stood out to me from yesterday >>> 2/

- Biden missed an opportunity to revive the nuclear deal with Iran when he came to power in Jan 2021.

-Biden thought that he could use the maximum pressure campaign to get Iran to fully comply with the deal first, and then offer sanctions relief.
Jan 16 14 tweets 3 min read
🚨Iran's Missile & Drone Strikes: A Strategic Escalation in the Middle East?

The region is on the brink of a major conflict, as the Gaza war rages on & Iran launches a series of missile & drone attacks against targets in Iraq & Syria.

Some thoughts on the Iranian strikes 🧵>>>

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2/ These strikes, which Iran claims are in retaliation for Israel's recent assassination of a commander in Syria & ISIS suicide bombings in Iran, have raised the stakes in the regional power struggle & sent a clear message to its adversaries.
Dec 3, 2023 4 tweets 2 min read
This is insane! Mike Pompeo has gone all-in on the Iranian MEK cult, & delivers a scathing critique of Iranian monarchists who he says “failed to gain any traction during the uprising over the past year” & “collaborate with the IRGC." To any serious observer, it is obvious that the Iranian diaspora opposition is in total shambles. Figures like Reza Pahlavi, Masih Alinejad, & the MEK have groveled at the feet of the likes of Pompeo, Netanyahu & Trump, who couldn’t care less about human rights or democracy.
Nov 22, 2023 10 tweets 3 min read
9 prominent Iranian political prisoners write a letter denouncing Israel’s “massacre of the people in Gaza” & calling for solidarity with Palestinians.

They say Iran’s “Women, Life, Freedom” movement must oppose war & oppression in any form.

(THREAD)👇
akhbar-rooz.com/224294/1402/09…



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2/ The prisoners say, “The monster of indifference will be the Achilles’ heel of our revolutionary movement.” They warn that ignoring the suffering of others will only strengthen ruling forces & make change impossible. They urge Iranians to stand with the Palestinian people.
Nov 21, 2023 9 tweets 2 min read
From behind bars, Hassan Saeedi, an Iranian labor activist, speaks out for peace & justice in Palestine. He urges an immediate halt to the Gaza war & the Israeli occupation. He also coveys the support of a major independent labor union in Iran.

A 🧵>>>

akhbar-rooz.com/224156/1402/08… 2/ Saeedi, who is being imprisoned in Tehran's notorious Evin prison for his labor activism, says that Iran's labor movement "has always been and will continue to be a defender of workers, the oppressed, and the underprivileged people in the world."
Oct 16, 2023 9 tweets 3 min read
🚨 Iran’s FM Abdollahian warns of potential “preemptive action” by Iran & its allies in the “coming hours” in the region to counter Israel’s attacks on Gaza. This is a serious statement that signals a real possibility of Iran and/or Hezbollah joining the war against Israel.>>> Abdollahian says, “resistance leaders will not allow the Zionist regime to take any action it wants in Gaza & then leave Gaza & go to other resistance spheres."

In other words, he's saying Israel will target Iran & its allies after Gaza, and that it is better to confront it now.
Oct 12, 2023 8 tweets 2 min read
🧵Biden has abandoned an unwritten agreement he struck with Iran a month ago.

By breaking his word, he's jeopardized the fragile peace between the US & Iran & increased the risk of a massive regional conflict.>>> 2/ Criticism of the deal intensified in recent days after the deadly attack on Israel by Hamas.

Although US intelligence sources have downplayed Iran’s direct involvement in the attack, Biden faced pressure from hawks in both parties to abandon the deal.
Aug 29, 2023 59 tweets 27 min read
#رشته_توئیت هیچکس (@HichkasOfficial) اخیرا اظهارات تکان دهنده ای را در توییتر منتشر کرده است که از آمریکا برای انداختن بمب های اتمی بر روی ژاپن تحسین می کند و و او معتقد است که همین کار را بر علیه «کمونیست ها» نیز باید انجام می شد⏪.
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۲/ با آدمی که همچین تفکری دارد، بحث کردن فایده ای ندارد، اما ما همچنان می توانیم واقعیت های تاریخی را بررسی کنیم. آیا آمریکا واقعا در استفاده از بمب های اتمی علیه ژاپن دلایل موجه داشت؟
Aug 9, 2023 29 tweets 10 min read
🧵مقاله‌ای مهمی از @markcurtis30 در مورد کودتای ۲۸مرداد بر اساس اسناد محرمانه بریتانیا 👇

او نحوه توطئه انگلیسی‌ها با آیت‌الله کاشانی را فاش می‌کند و چگونه با استفاده از پول، «تبلیقات سیاه» وعملیات پرچم دروغین مصدق را به عنوان یک کمونیست لکه دار کردند و هرج و مرج ایجاد کردند. Image ۲/ بر اساس اسناد محرمانه بریتانیا، انگلیسی‌ها و آمریکایی‌ها در نظر داشتند آیت‌الله کاشانی را به عنوان یک رهبر وابسته در ایران پس از کودتا نصب کنند.

https://t.co/Yrn7Yr8BHddeclassifieduk.org/iran-1953-mi6-…
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Jun 18, 2023 11 tweets 3 min read
🧵The Saudi foreign minister's visit to Iran marks a historic moment in the long-standing rivalry between the two regional powers. But what does it mean for the US?

The US stands to benefit & better secure its regional interests by recalibrating its approach to the Middle East⏩ ImageImageImageImage 2/ Under Trump, the US reversed course on Obama’s diplomatic approach and adopted a “maximum pressure” campaign on Iran that reneged on the nuclear deal, imposed crippling sanctions, and increased political and military backing to Saudi Arabia and Israel.