SmallcapGlobalValue Profile picture
Quantitative Ideas + Fundamental Research + Emotional Discipline + Consistent Effort = Alpha Factory; something like Walter Schloss, nothing like Bobby Axelrod.
Jan 26, 2020 41 tweets 15 min read
THREAD: As a PM my main task is stock selection but at times like this I must take on events. This is my attempt on understanding the virus in live fashion, mostly I will ask questions out loud in order to know what answers I seek. Most important Q how big/bad can this get? 2/ Natural Factors to consider; natural transmission rates (how easily the virus spreads or is transmitted), incubation periods (long), symptoms are hidden (latent reaction), and then mortality rates...so far early imperfect data on all of these seem to point to a big problem