Prof. Surajit Ray Profile picture
Prof. in Statistics @UofGlasgow | Adv board @NewtonGateway | #COVID19, Medical Imaging, radiotherapy planning research | Dad | views own |๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ
Jan 7
๐ŸงตAfter some delay ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ case numbers for finer age-grp are out today. Even before start of school, they look shocking:

First,

test positivity is above 72% for all age 5-17

i.e. nearly 3 out of 4 tested are +ve

@Parents_Utd @LCKScotland @SafeEdForAll_UK @dgurdasani1 Some may argue this is due to testing bias, but look at the sheer rate of infections even before start of term

Some are equivalent to the peak autumn infection levels

@doctorshaib @Dr2NisreenAlwan @AlisonGeorge10
@VictimOfMaths @theAliceRoberts @ProfColinDavis
Read 5 tweets
Jan 5
1/3
A quick ๐Ÿงต on increase in ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ cases since 1st July '21
(below 10%).
๐Ÿ˜ฒ number of people infected.
Current % infected as of 3rd Jan '22:
0-14: 20%
15-19: 30%
20-24: 28%
25-44: 23%
@Parents_Utd @jburnmurdoch @dgurdasani1 @SafeEdForAll_UK @BBCNews @doctorshaib @LCKScotland Image 2/3
In the last 5 months of '21,
most of it overlapping with school term

more than
๐Ÿ‘‰16% of 0-14 yrs were infected
๐Ÿ‘‰ 20% of 15-19 were infected

15-19-year-olds are the highest infected group
Read 4 tweets
Nov 22, 2021
๐ŸงตToday both BBC and Skynews was bragging about the UK strategy of opening up early on 19th of July resulting in a relatively better situation than Germany, Netherlands and Austria - but at what cost?
Look at the cumulative death rate
@Parents_Utd @SafeEdForAll_UK @dgurdasani1 Since 19th July
UK had over 15,000 deaths,
whereas Germany had 7000 deaths
and Netherlands and Australia had around 1200 deaths each

Have we lost all sense of perspective!

@doctorshaib @Dr2NisreenAlwan
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Oct 5, 2021
๐Ÿงต1/

HUGE RISE IN hospital admission in children in ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ณ๓ ฃ๓ ด๓ ฟ.
๐Ÿ‘‰3 age groups each showing the highest level of hospital admissions in the whole pandemic
๐Ÿ‘‰ All moving โ†—๏ธ - a result of the huge number of cases we had over the last month.
@Parents_Utd @dgurdasani1 @SafeEdForAll_UK 2/

Age 12-17 -> 5 times the previous peak in Feb
Age 5-11 -> 3 times the previous peak in Feb

All increasing at a very fast rate.

Zooming in on the more recent time starting from 3 admissions in May we are now at 42 admissions between 2-17

Data from opendata.nhs.scot/dataset/covid-โ€ฆ
Read 6 tweets