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TRSTN Profile picture
TRSTN
@TRSTNGLRD
I study Complexity and Nonlinear Dynamics | Physics and Philosophy undergraduate | Building UAVs for DARPA "Ancillary" | Creator of the Feigenbaum Projections
14 subscribers
Jun 16, 2024 • 18 tweets • 7 min read
I am about to prove to you that it's legitimately easy to achieve profitability, and the only thing holding you back is yourself:

1. You are not following Rules
2. You are not being consistent
3. You are not utilizing Risk-Management

Let's perform a Monte-Carlo Simulation...Image To do this, we will create an insanely difficult trading framework that I've spent 3 years and thousands of hours developing:

We will flip a quarter to assume ~50% Win-Rate

This makes things simple. Now, we know our accuracy, which is no better or worse than the average person
May 7, 2024 • 15 tweets • 6 min read
I have just hatched an entirely new idea:

I have spoken about “Attractor Reconstruction” in the Financial Markets for a long while now

One of the hardest parts is around creating a time-series that represents the parent system with little noise and zero loss of information… Image There are various routes one can take to achieve this, but many of them are computationally intensive or too difficult to run on a live market with low latency

In essence, the idea of Attractor Reconstruction is simple:

Quantify all emerging states of a complex system
Apr 9, 2024 • 10 tweets • 3 min read
In the way I understand it, Financial Markets exhibit characteristics of both random and orderly behaviors, in which I call “Market Intermittency”

To understand this effectively, we will engage in a thought-provoking brain-teaser that derives an important analogy: In a 1998 paper, Robert Engle and Jeffrey Russell presented evidence that clusters of trades seem to be largely information-based, while other clusters tended to be liquidity-based.

If market-makers understand the current probability of informed trading, then standard theory would suggest that the bid-ask spread should widen as said probability increases.

Consistent with this Theory, they found that intense clusters of trades tend to be liquidity-based when the spread is narrow (low probability of informed trading), and information-based when the spread is wide (high probability of informed trading)

Permanent price-impact was found to be large for information-based positioning, and low for liquidity-based positioning
Mar 19, 2024 • 10 tweets • 2 min read
Don’t let anybody tell you anything about how the Financial Markets work if they can’t explain to you this exact image

This is my own flow chart: Image An Investor can either place a Market Order or a Limit Order.

These are sent to Brokerages or Dealers, who then routes the order to a Dark Pool, ECN, or Exchange

This is done in-line with the NBBO

Whoever has the best price, as stated by Regulation NMS, the order is sent to
Feb 18, 2024 • 21 tweets • 5 min read
“Price-Sliding”:

There is a phenomenon in the Financial Markets in which you place an order, said order is altered, and then executed.

This is something that @I_Am_The_ICT has described occurs to him—so let’s investigate:

1. Is the phenomenon real?
2. If so, how does it occur? First and foremost, I’m writing a book entirely about this subject, so this is only a simplified overview of the phenomenon—it will be completely free, but it’s not released yet

If this is a subject that interests you, then stick around, as this is only the tip of the iceberg…
Jan 15, 2024 • 15 tweets • 4 min read
There is a reason behind this post, and I really want to fully explain it, because I think it’s extremely important

It’s not important only for belief, but it’s important for all forms of learning.

This post was a Case Study designed to incentivize deep thought

Let me explain: This is an opinion that I hold:

“You cannot fundamentally believe in something that you believe is impossible to define.”

Now—I am a believer in “God”, but I have my OWN definition for it.

I have a clear view of what I believe, and I have a clear view of what I do not believe
Dec 11, 2023 • 6 tweets • 2 min read
I’ve repeated myself 150 times now, so this will be the final time:

“HOW TO IDENTIFY INITIAL CONDITION PROPERLY”

Described in 4 simple images: Step 1: Find Consolidation

Is this the Initial Condition? No clue, it’s a consolidation… Image
Dec 3, 2023 • 5 tweets • 2 min read
The Feigenbaum Projections:
A tool for projecting DOW Theory, MMXM, Power of 3, Forex Master Pattern, Wyckoff, AMD, etc., dynamically across both axis.

This is based on the longtime Theory of Market Dynamics that claims Markets move in cycles of Accumulation & Distribution... What I claim is that not only does the Market contain a form of cyclical behavior, but it is also proportional to itself over time.

As explained in prior threads, price is Exponentially Expanding from some form of initial condition
Sep 15, 2023 • 15 tweets • 16 min read
Let’s talk Cannabis!

If you are not aware, while I do pursue the field of Physics, my main Career is within the Cannabis Industry.

I grew up in a Cannabis family and have spent most of my life working with and around Cannabis - be it Research, Lab work, Cultivation, etc…

I’m by no means an expert, being I’m still young and studying full-time, but I have a ton of both knowledge and experience in all areas of the industry, including building and running a Cannabis company…

There’s a lot to learn here!
Image First of all, I am NOT a Doctor and I have little training in the Medical field. I study Physics, and I have two main goals in life:

1. Bio-Tech Company focusing on R&D of the Cannabis genus

2. Propulsions Company focusing on the R&D of Exotic Propulsion Systems

This thread will specifically cover the first topic, and I hope to answer as many questions as I personally can.

However, if you have any questions regarding medical advice, please seek advice from a Doctor.
Aug 24, 2023 • 6 tweets • 3 min read
Free OHLC @tradingview Script:

In my prior video, I showcased a custom Script I had created that can be universally used to paint the HTF OHLC Candlesticks in the background of your current timeframe…

Video Link:
Script(s) Link: tinyurl.com/3fsn6cbn
tinyurl.com/4425u5ca

Image
Image First of all:

I would love to publish these scripts publicly, but @tradingview has deleted the scripts every single time I try to do so.

To them, it isn’t “unique” enough - so instead, here is the code…

TradingView PineScript Regulation is by-far the worst I’ve experienced.
Aug 15, 2023 • 5 tweets • 3 min read
I think this would be a good Top-Down Analysis lesson for Feigenbaum Projections:

$DXY: M -> D

Monthly (SMC):
SMC Analysis is showing price below 50%, raiding Liquidity, and sitting in a FVG.

We had Displacement lower, so I’d like to see that high hold, but we’ll cross that bridge when we get there.

My only current and immediate target is the FVG higher, with my anticipated target moving lower from there. Monthly (FP):
There are two perturbations on the Monthly each deriving the same targets.

Everything’s matching up with our SMC analysis above, and we’re currently sitting in +F1.

There are two immediate targets Price can go to from here - it can go higher to +F2, or it can go lower to our IC.

Remember, we designate each range as a target, not level.
Aug 6, 2023 • 23 tweets • 15 min read
The Feigenbaum Projections:
Framework #1 - Exponential Expansion
Use Case: PO3, MMXM, TheSTRAT
Version: Price

In the following thread, I would like to introduce my 5-Step framework for projecting exponential expansion.

It is the most accurate projection available - period.

I… https://t.co/2dCVDbyFc3twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
Image Theory:

Previously, I wrote an informal paper for my Twitter community regarding an Introduction to my Hypothesis, which can be found here:

Link:

To summarize, the Market can be defined as Network containing a complex interaction between participants… https://t.co/f0VGK2JWiJtinyurl.com/2s3ss596
twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
Jul 23, 2023 • 17 tweets • 5 min read
🧵 | It’s time for the 4th prerequisite of a Framework for projecting Exponentially Expanding Fractals, and we’ll now begin with the following:

Optimal Trade Entry

I’ve hinted at this topic in my prior thread on the 50% Principle, but let’s discuss it more in-depth… As stated prior, Ralph Nelson Elliott is considered to be the “Father of Technical Analysis”, creating many of the foundations of Price Forecasting in the late 1930s.

He became popular due to what he called “Elliott Wave Theory”, which describes the Market as moving in Waves…
Jul 19, 2023 • 21 tweets • 6 min read
🧵 | Today, we’ll be going over the third prerequisite, which has a large Historical context behind it:

The 50% Principle / Dealing Range

We’ll be discussing this topic through two lenses:

- The Retail Trader
- The Liquidity Provider

Let’s discuss it further… This Forecasting Theory has been taught and/or applied in dozens of different ways…

There are some who know it as “The 50% Principle”, and there are others who refer to it as the “Dealing Range”.

They are both describing the same thing from two different perspectives… Image
Jul 13, 2023 • 19 tweets • 7 min read
🧵 | It’s time for another prerequisite, and most of you are probably already familiar with this as well.

Points of Interest

There is a large set that falls under this category, but we’re only going to focus on the following:
- Gaps / Imbalances
- Orderblocks
- Breaker Blocks Before we dive into the phenomena around the Point of Interest, let’s first give a straightforward definition:

They are waypoints within a Trajectory.

This definition is a bit different than what most people define them as, but I’ve deconstructed them into something simple.

Image
Image
Image
Jul 8, 2023 • 21 tweets • 6 min read
For the first in the set of Prerequisites, we will begin with Liquidity:

This is one of the most fundamental and basic elements of the Market.

Most of you probably already know what this is, but this is for the side of my community who aren’t exposed to this terminology yet. https://t.co/zSqnzxljJd
First things first, it’s important to understand why Liquidity is important and cannot be neglected.

The definition of Liquidity is: “The availability of Liquid Assets to a Market or Company”.

The market is nonexistent if there is no Liquidity present - this is basic Economics.
Jul 5, 2023 • 10 tweets • 2 min read
🧵 | I understand that my community is fairly diverse compared to most communities around the “SMC” space.

I have followers from Science & Tech, TheSTRAT, ICT, Cycle Analysis, Breakout Traders, etc… I have reached a very wide audience, and I need to be cautious of this…

So… It is not my intention to become a “Trading Account” - I am a Science account and I will stick to the subject at hand.

Therefore, the Studies in which I am going to be providing soon will not be able to be comprehended by my audience if they are not analyzing from my POV.
Jun 13, 2023 • 24 tweets • 16 min read
Over the last year, I have been working heavily in the Research behind what determines a trajectory in Price within a Financial Asset

I’m happy to finally give you an informal Introduction to my work, and to do that, we must begin with the basics:

Paper: tinyurl.com/2s3ss596… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… However, the Paper is only Theory, and below, I will cover Evidence and Phenomena.

Matter of fact, I will be providing the largest collection of data I can provide on the subject, and I have amassed receipts for every claim.

Together, we will be individually sorting through… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
May 25, 2023 • 18 tweets • 7 min read
🧵 | It’s interesting, the relationship that Standard Deviations share with Chaos Theory & Nonlinear Dynamics.

ICT Standard Deviations:
2.5x & 4x

Feigenbaum Constants:
Alpha = -2.5029…
Delta = 4.669…

Malthusian Parameter:
R = 3.5699

You’ll love this.
Consider the following: ImageImage This thread was made for those with little Mathematical background. It’s designed to be easy to digest.

Please read through all, and do not forget the video towards the end!

It’s important to understand why something works, not just how it works or what makes something work.
May 17, 2023 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
Had this drawn out before work this morning:

Successfully projected not one, but two trajectories ahead on both X & Y Axis. One is luck - two can almost be likened to “Magic”.

Sensitive Dependence on Initial Conditions.

If you identify the Strange Attractor, the Orbits emerge. ImageImageImage Using the example of the Hénon Map, think of an Attractor as the “hidden structure” of the Markets. It is an algorithm of Nonlinear Control employed by Liquidity Providers to keep the markets stabilized. Image
May 7, 2023 • 12 tweets • 6 min read
Alright, I have too many questions... Before I begin, I want to start off by saying that I am still refining rules, and this is not *perfect* yet until I do so.

Let's discuss the characteristics of this framework below: There is a research paper called "Exploratory Trading" by Adam D. Clark-Joseph that delves into the HFT Strategy of Exploratory Trading & Momentum Ignition.

In prior threads, I have already defined as the true definition of the "Orderblock":