Tanmay Saukur 🇮🇳 Profile picture
Hobby to write on Global affairs, Ancient World, Trade. - I try my best to write a balanced views through my articles.
Oct 6 19 tweets 4 min read
The Lost Alliance: Israel & Iran's Surprising Past Partnership!

There existed an alliance between both the Nations under The Shah Of Iran's Regime.

The thread covers on the topics of

- The Collaborations
- Economic Policies
- What went wrong with the Shah of Iran. 🧵 Image 1️⃣ The Collaborations:

In the 1960s both the nations cooperated against a common enemy. At that time, Iraq was a threat to both the nations.

Israel was under a border dispute & Iran viewed Iraq as a danger. This led to a secret collaboration with the help of The United States.
Oct 2 25 tweets 5 min read
Israel & US are allies! Massive Jewish lobby that controls US economy will always ensure 🇮🇱 has a free pass from the US.

As Indians became key contributors to the US Economy, What if our lobby takes a page from the 🇮🇱 lobby playbook?

Here, I explore the Perks & challenges. 🧵
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Before starting off, I'll give a brief on how powerful the Israel lobby is & what's the advantage it has over Indians. It is the "Money Power".

Most of the Billionaires in the US are Jews. They are investment bankers, tech giants, real estates, industrialists, hotel outlets.
Sep 29 24 tweets 6 min read
India's Chess Revolution: How Even Soviet Expertise led to Indian Success: 👇🏻

This thread will be on the rise of Chess once again in India, how Soviets influence played a key role. The game 1st originated in India itself more than 2K yrs ago but later Russia has produced more 🧵
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world chess champions and grandmasters than any other country.

Some notable names of Soviet represented players are given below:
-GM Akiba Rubinstein
-GM Mikhail Botvinnik
-GM Efim Geller
-IM Rashid Nezhmetdinov
-GM Tigran Petrosian
-Even GM Garry Kasparov.
Sep 22 18 tweets 4 min read
Sri Lanka 🇱🇰 is among the last countries to hold elections in 2024.

Trends suggests Marxist lawmaker Anura Kumara Dissanayake is leading & might eventually become the next President.

Who is New Delhi's preferred candidate & Will next 🇱🇰 President be pro 🇮🇳 or pro 🇨🇳?🧵

1/18
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Sri Lanka is at the center of an escalating geopolitical rivalry, with India and China engaging in an intense tug-of-war for dominance.

The top candidates in this game are

1) Ranil Wickremesinghe
2) Sajith Premadasa
3) Anura Kumara Dissanayake.

Let's analyze each of them 2/18
Sep 21 15 tweets 4 min read
RAW was formed on 21st September 1968 under the guidance of Mr RN Kao.

RAW's past missions were 1971 liberation war, Operation Blue Star, R&AW + Mossad were secret partners which worked on Pakistan's nuclear plant at Kahuta, counter-terrorism, secret visits to 🇮🇱 asking for 1/15
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Tech help in handling explosive devices, helping Israeli defence industry come to India. RAW worked on covert 1977 visit of Israeli Foreign minister Moshe Dayan to India.

R&AW sent it's officers for training to Israel after Indira Gandhi's assassination.

Moving on was 2/15
Aug 25 23 tweets 5 min read
Thread on Greater Europe 2.0 🧵

Let's expand our horizons & explore the other parts of Eastern & Central European nations whose strategic importance is growing. 🇵🇱 🇬🇷 🇭🇺 🇦🇹 🇷🇸

Despite being a part of the EU, NATO they have an Independent foreign policy approach, Global Outlook.
Image Those regions are gaining importance due to its:
1️⃣ Strategic Location: CEE connects Europe & Asia

2️⃣ Their nations economic growth is showing consistency such as Poland grew by 3%, Hungary by 4%, avg emerging European nations will grow by 1-3% whereas developed nations by 0.7%.
Aug 20 17 tweets 4 min read
India-Malaysia reset ties after experiencing a strain under the previous Malaysian regime. The Malaysian PM is on an official India visit, which witnessed positive outcomes. This time it's not to do purely with China's presence.

What went wrong with the previous regime? 🧵 1/17 Image Mahathir Mohamad the former PM of Malaysia was more of Pro Pakistan. His stance on Kashmir, CAA proved it. He himself admits that Malaysia's ties with India strained due to his remarks on Kashmir. He criticized the creation of Israel, critic of US policies in Middle East. 2/17
Jul 25 8 tweets 2 min read
Modi's China policy won't succeed:

China is a way BIG Economy. It's global market share in world Solar panel is over 80%, a near monopoly. In early 2000s itself they invested Billions of $ in developing it's renewables manufacturing sector. It's already highly invested in Supply chains, innovative manufacturing techniques & most important 🇨🇳's active Govt Support. China boasts nearly four times the installed solar capacity of the US. Solar exports from China increased 34% in the first half of FY23. Infact 🇨🇳 is playing a Crucial role in accelerating the
Jul 20 25 tweets 5 min read
India-US cooperation is moving upwards, but New Delhi equally feels the pressure from Biden administration for India's approach towards Russia. 🇺🇸 main rival is China at present.

Where will 🇮🇳 benefit if Trump wins? Should India-US-Russia join hands indirectly to counter 🇨🇳? 🧵 Image Survey suggests that Trump is all set to beat Biden, the debate also gave us a live picture. At present India is balancing it's relations with Russia, but faces pressure from the West. Well, Trump claims when he comes to power he will put an end to the war.

If this happens then
Jul 10 22 tweets 4 min read
PM Modi concludes his 2 day visit to Russia. But this visit focused more on Economic Collaboration than on geopolitics, with no exceptional/hyped deals signed.

So what was the purpose of Modi's visit to Russia? What all did India achieve after this visit? All u need to know🧵 Image Modi landed in Russia on July 8th & was received by 🇷🇺 First Dy PM Denis Manturov, who is Sr to the Dy PM that received Chinese President Xi Jinping during his recent visit to Russia. This sends a strong signal about the importance Russia places on its relationship with India.
Jun 29 25 tweets 5 min read
India breathes a sigh of relief as it regains its strategic foothold in Sri Lanka, countering China's growing influence. FROM China's inroads into the island which India perceived it as a threat TO resurgence of India-SL ties, securing India's vital interests in the region. 🧵 Image India has ancient links with SL since the time of Ramayana, Ashoka, Lord Buddha. We are well connected with them. Coming to present day diplomacy in the 1990s-2000s Srilanka faced the LTTE group which demanded for a separate state, the Island faced a Brutal Civil War as well.
Jun 19 26 tweets 5 min read
Rishi Sunak, the 1st Indian-origin Hindu PM, sparked excitement but ending in disappointment for India.

Despite changes in Australia's leadership, India-Australia relations flourished. This thread explores Sunak's shortcomings and the enduring strength of India-Australia ties.
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Both UK & Australia saw a change in the leadership. From Boris Johnson to Rishi Sunak. Australia however saw a shift from Scott Morrison to Anthony Albanese.

Both the Nations have assured to strengthen ties with India however only Australia continues the consistency. Here's how
Jun 13 21 tweets 5 min read
PM Modi, freshly sworn in for his 3rd term, he extended invitations to world leaders from the Indian Ocean Region for his oath-taking ceremony.

But Why these leaders? and what does it signal about India's strategic priorities. All U need to know in this🧵 @WellSaidGuru Image The Indian Ocean region has been an important trade arena. Approx 80% of the world's oil passes through here & India heavily depends on Indian Ocean for their Trade, Naval bases. India's increased military presence underscores New Delhi's efforts for a strategic approach.
Jun 2 26 tweets 5 min read
The world is shifting to a Multipolar landscape led by India, Arab nations, China and Russia. This thread highlights the strategic actions each is taking to promote their national interests globally.
@EbrahimHashem @saudrahman27 @RnaudBertrand @DrSJaishankar Image Post Russia - Ukraine war, we saw the US pressurizing many nations including India. But this time it was something different, none of them easily agreed with the US. We have seen videos of Dr Jaishankar openly slamming the Western world, also Europe is right now in recession.
May 24 25 tweets 5 min read
India & China face off in an economic Chess match, but this time it's not just the Govt making strategic moves. Indian corporates are stepping up to counter China's influence. This thread explains the importance of India Inc. @hvgoenka @WellSaidGuru @BesuraTaansane Image China has surrounded India also both sides have clashed several times- Doklam, Galwan, Tawang. Now India is making moves to capture global supply chains. The Govt can't do it alone, this is where Industrialists play a key role & why we need to support Adanis, Ambanis, Mittals etc Image
Apr 9 26 tweets 6 min read
Good news! However, Indians should temper their excitement. China's economy is approximately 6x larger than India's and dominates the global supply chain.

A thread on how #China dominates and will really #India overtake China🧵 1/25 @Kanthan2030
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China's economy doubled from $8 Trillion in 2012 to $17.7 Trillion in 2021. In this phase India grew about 77% which is commendable. China is the world's Manufacturing superpower also the Nation's manufacturing wage is rising due to increased productivity. 2/25

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Mar 23 21 tweets 4 min read
Move over Vietnam! #Malaysia is also emerging as the unsung hero of the US-China trade war! Discover how this SE Asian powerhouse is strategically positioning itself as THE supply chain hub, redefining the game and catching everyone off guard! 🧵 1/21 Image According to MIDF, the nation ranked 12th, specifically for the output of computer, electronic and optimal equipment. The manufacturing sector continued to remain resilient post-pandemic to increase it's share to 24% including the exports also continued to regain it's share. 2/21
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Mar 9 25 tweets 5 min read
India has emphasized on "Re-globalization" & it has the advantage to be the next supply chain hub. The 🧵 includes
🔸️Govt initiatives
🔸️Trade policy
🔸️Why Dr Jaishankar is more required than PM Modi
🔸️Bilateral & other partnerships.
@WellSaidGuru @SirurS 1/25 Image India can be a key leader since it's heavily investing in Infrastructure, ramped up its focus on improving logistics with a 15-20% reduction in transport costs, the Logistics sector is expected to grow from $200 Billion to $320 Billion by 2025. Investments set to grow from 2/25
Mar 2 22 tweets 5 min read
India is currently engaging with the "Greater Europe" region. This time I'm not referring to London, Paris, Berlin or Rome but pertains to the Nordic-Baltic countries which highlights the significance & relevance of such interactions. 🧵 1/22
@YusufDFI @SirurS @WellSaidGuru
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Nordic-Baltic investors are optimistic about India’s growth prospects.
India's growing economy is seeking investments from the Nordic-Baltic regions, recent data shows India's exports to the region are growing Simultaneously, Indian markets are opening up to N-B products 2/22 Image
Feb 24 21 tweets 4 min read
I wish to see a new trilateral partnership between India 🇮🇳 Greece 🇬🇷 Armenia 🇦🇲 which is imperative for regional cooperation. The 🧵 includes
🔸️Purpose of the trilateral
🔸️benefits of the trilateral
🔸️Roadmap
@oulosP @AtreiLeonidas @WellSaidGuru @SiddharthtSingh 1/21
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🇬🇷 was one of the 1st countries to recognize the independence of 🇦🇲 & in 2023 🇬🇷 PM & 🇦🇲 PM held a meeting & showed solidarity with Armenia in Nagorno- Karabakh.
Armenia & Greece should consider a Strategic partnership. Since both nations show a great growth opportunity 2/21 Image
Feb 10 21 tweets 6 min read
🌎 witnessed US-China trade war, Russia Ukraine war where Europe is reducing reliance on trade with 🇷🇺. 2 countries & 1 region Gained with these conflicts. But has really the 🌎 witnessed decoupling of 🇺🇸 🇨🇳 trade & 🇷🇺 🇪🇺 trade?🧵 1/21
@SubramanianKri @sushantsareen @aparanjape
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Due to the 🇺🇸 🇨🇳 trade war-"Mexico & Vietnam Gained". Here's how: Recent studies show 🇺🇸 purchases of Mexican and Vietnamese goods across 2017-2022 correlate strongly with a declining Chinese share of US imports. No of Foreign manufacturing firms in 🇨🇳 declined to 24%
2/21