Taiki Maeda Profile picture
"The Humble Farmer" 🧑‍🌾 | Founder @HFAresearch 🐸 | Lad @0xSteadyLads 🌊 | Host @CryptoMarketWiz 🎙️ No ads/sponsors, just high quality crypto content 🫡
Sep 12, 2024 32 tweets 11 min read
While everyone is doomposting, I firmly believe that we are in the early innings of a DeFi Renaissance.

I believe the market is sleeping on DeFi which creates huge opportunities for those paying attention.

Here's why I'm betting on a $UNI fee switch ahead of the V4 upgrade. Image In this post I will discuss the following:

1) Why the DeFi Renaissance is Here
2) Why the Market is Overlooking the Probability of a $UNI Fee Switch
3) Explaining the Trade: Buying the Rumor on UniV4
4) Addressing your Potential Counterarguments

Let's dive in.
Jul 29, 2024 18 tweets 6 min read
I believe we are approaching a period of DeFi renaissance after 4+ years of extreme underperformance.

A lot of these DeFi OGs are now in the category of "high float, low FDV" coins with strong catalysts on the way.

Here's why I believe $AAVE @aave is poised to outperform Image This thread will be spread into two sections:
1) Addressing the elephant in the room: the AAVE/ETH pair has been bleeding endlessly for years, what makes me think the bottom is in?
2) What's the significance of the most recent AAVEnomics update with the $AAVE fee switch?
Jan 30, 2024 18 tweets 5 min read
The Midcurve Airdrop Fallacy

The mental hurdle that prevents people from picking up money on the floor.

Might be another long read but let's get started! 🧵 Image Everyone’s talking about airdrop farming. And how can you blame them?

Instead of paying $50 gas fees to swap assets on ETH mainnet, we’ve seen people turn $50 into $10,000 by staking $SOL with Jito.

Trojan horse for crypto adoption.
Jan 13, 2024 22 tweets 6 min read
Why $TIA is going to be this cycle's (3,3)

This is going to be a long read, but I hope it will be an entertaining one for those that are students of the laws of crypto ponzinomics, human greed, and market bubbles.

So let's get started! 🧵 This piece will be separated into 4 sections:
1) What is Celestia?
2) What's the narrative around $TIA?
3) What similarities does $TIA have and (3,3)?
4) What I'm doing to prepare for this
Dec 11, 2023 58 tweets 20 min read
I read "The Most Important Thing" by Howard Marks so you don't have to.

Here are some excerpts from the book I found interesting. I'll also share some personal takeways and how it applies to the crypto markets. Image Marks' approach to value investing is centered around the concept of “second-level thinking,” which means that investors should think differently than the market and look for opportunities where others do not.

He runs Oaktree Capital Management which had an AUM of $164B in 2022. Image
Dec 4, 2023 29 tweets 14 min read
I read "Best Loser Wins" by Tom Hougaard so you don't have to.

I'll share some interesting excerpts, personal takeaways, and thoughts on how they apply to the crypto markets. Image The book focuses on the fact that in markets, 90% of traders lose money. So the author says, "Why don't we study what errors the 90% makes, and do the opposite?"

This is of course easier said than done. But let me dive deeper from quotes in the book.
Dec 1, 2023 18 tweets 6 min read
I read "Trading in the Zone" by Mark Douglas so you don't have to.

Here are some excerpts from the book I found interesting and personal takeways I took from it.

And how it applies to the crypto markets. Image The book focuses on the most common mental blocks that a lot of traders get into. I like books that focus on
investor psychology since there are a lot that can be applied to other markets, like crypto. Image
Nov 21, 2023 23 tweets 7 min read
After sleeping on it, I'm actually extremely bullish @Blast_L2

It's the culmination of the DeFi/RWA-driven thesis I've been discussing here for the past 6 months.

Thoughts laid out below. Image Don't worry, I didn't invest in $BLAST

As the founder of @HFAresearch, I have a personal mandate to not participate in seed/angel deals (private markets).

If I'm posting research about the liquid markets, there is a conflict of interest if I'm getting rich on private deals.
Aug 8, 2023 17 tweets 5 min read
PayPal's Stablecoin Strategy REVEALED (and how I plan to profit from it)

A THREAD on $pyUSD $PYPL 🧵 Image $pyUSD is meant to be used as a medium of exchange to buy goods and send & receive dollars to anyone in the United States.

But why is $pyUSD needed, when Venmo/PayPal functions perfectly fine without a token? Image
Jul 26, 2023 25 tweets 7 min read
The end of the DeFi bear market is upon us.

As a full-time DeFi analyst who's experienced pain for far too long, here's why I believe DeFi is finally in the VERY EARLY stages of a bull market 🧵 To understand why, let's understand what catalyzed and ended the DeFi bull market in the first place: zero interest rates.

TradFi yields in 2020 were so low that capital found their way on-chain to seek higher yield opportunities.
Dec 2, 2022 7 tweets 2 min read
People shitting on $UNI fee switch proposal

I get that none of the fees goes to tokenholders (yet) but you have to admit that it won't be long until these "DeFi Dinos" to one day have value accrual...

And that means it will have demand in the future. 🧵 $UNI/ETH and $AAVE/ETH was literally down only in 2021, which is why the meme exists.

But 2022 seems like it's starting to bottom out... or at least base against ETH??? ImageImage