Mind Clarity:
- hard with so much happening, some thoughts for consideration
- First and foremost, what could drive the market higher? More fundamental leaders from earnings. All EPs are risk on for me
- There's a scenario where underlying stocks get above 50ma on earnings - This also means that Breakouts take a backseat BUT there a TON of themes most to do with Trump. Minerals Deep sea mining EO, China, EV parts/robots/defence/ai "mega"theme 😅, IPO, AI drug simulation, Crypto, RS non tarrif names. Shitcos like solar Quantum etc

Good to ocassioaly zoom out to see where we are in the cycle
- Around Nov/Dec Quantums went parbolic, then para futher
- Up until that point the market had a normal run in what i would concider the 4th leg in the bull run
- what happened in spec names after that was a blow off - the top of third leg coincided with the semi top and did not participate in leg 4 during blowoff
- its fairly unusualy for us to have so many bears so frequently (2018, 2020, 2022, 2025)
- (also concerning how steep market moves, almost like a stock going into late stage)

Watch For RS
- Most important skill now is watchlist management
- Keep list of stocks that are strong
- Conserve mental energy
- not just list of random stocks strong on any day
- strong on important days like inflection points - keep mental image of where we are relative to indexes
- exercise: do a quick scan now, and only focus on seeing if stocks are making higher lows or lower lows than index
- Stressing over RS each day is a quick way to get mentally chopped up with things changing every day

11/05/2023 Thursday
- EPs have lit a spark in markets!
- We haven't seen this type of action in years i.e multiple days of follow-through off lows AND highs!
- Updating my post from last October, we could be ready to leave Stage 1!
- Can we get out?

https://twitter.com/thebadtrader/status/1580084818255437824?s=20

This post from last September still applies
- That is to say that we are definitely due for a pull back...if we go back into choppy markets
- But if we want momentum markets, we want to see things get EXTENDED and HOLD
- We want big FOMO

https://twitter.com/thebadtrader/status/1575496514662961160?s=20

14/10/2022 Friday: Recent learnings
- I've been studying a lot of alternative trading strategies like short, daytrading etc
- It has largely been a waste of time, but I have defined the edges of my Bull Flag strategy
- Some findings recently that you may like 1. Mean Reversion Long
- Big move, Big sell off, long
- T+2 rule says that if you sell a stock, you have to deliver in 2 days.
- To make things worse, brokers can force you to cover position
- This is a good thread that has multiple examples

https://twitter.com/jordipamiest/status/1467438112259325953?s=20&t=2hs5LXT5Y6YCblifokB86A

5/10/2022 Wednesday
Recap
- Things moving in the right direction
- Strong Breadth yesterday
- about half the breakouts in my wl held (flags)
- strength came more from large caps/bottom bounces
- Leaders like FSLR BO
- Multiday runners coming back in pump/speculation land

https://twitter.com/thebadtrader/status/1576839734399500288

What I need to see
- Continuation in these POS pumpers then hold up for continuation move out of flag
- Setups in leaders, sectors

3/10/2022 Monday: Breadth Indicator Example
- Lots of ppl posting something like this chart below
- When I see something like this, I don't think "rad, lets buy"
- This is how I think...

https://twitter.com/thebadtrader/status/1576826977671348224

1. Indicator first principles: The purpose of the breadth indicator is to show how the average market stock is performing
2. Implication: This means that the average stock is showing Relative Strength against the index

3/10/2022 Monday: How to use Twitter
- It's a mindset change
- You want to be the guy above, looking down on noise. Not be sloshing around in amongst the herd Examples: Guys who post charts/watchlists
- The most useful guys IMO
- Even better if they don't provide opinions/pnl, only tickers/images

26/09/2022 Monday: Darvas
- Man this was a good book
- 3k to 2mill in 2.5 years
- Super concentrated, often had 1 stock in his port + margin
- Few trades made up the majority of performance

- His biggest winners were
Lorillard
Diners' Club
E.L. Bruce
Universal Controls

23/08/2022: Tuesday
- Don't plan to succeed, plan to NOT FAIL
- There's only a handful of ways to fail
- If you can build your process to exclude as many as possible, then energy is focused on the highest ROI things & profitability comes quicker - If you experience each of these mistakes before learning the lesson, you may very well blow up 8 accounts (or give up before then)
- The beauty of what Qullamaggie teaches is that a lot of these are taken off the table from the get go

17/08/2022 - Wednesday: 1st-Yr Trading Review
- Formally requesting more capital from myself in an attempt to treat my trading like a business
- As always, trying to boil it down to 1 or 2 key focuses going forward

dropbox.com/s/dows6ch7ent5… - Key focus: Overtrading
- Key solution: 1 trade per day rule with a 3 trade hard stop where screens are shut off.

31/05/2022 Monday: How Markets Behave
- Ppl always say that the one thing that helps the most is understanding how the market behaves
- Then they say study the markets for 1000 hours 🚫
- What are you actually looking for?
👇👇👇 - You want a high-level understanding of the inherent market tendency
- eg top 1% of stocks that will likely go higher/lower rather than 99% random stocks that just act randomly. That's our edge

20/04/2022 Wednesday: Trading problems
- One problem I'm having is I buy laggards & get stopped next 1/2 days. Then get frustrated, wait for breakouts (miss the leaders) then buy the laggards again
- Examples are GFI, OXY (day 4 of BRENT/WTI mom burst), KOS yesterday, HCC - Current examples are CLF and X. Leaders are NUE STLD TMST ZEUS RYI. What happened to GFI/HCC likely to happen to CLF & F if they break out

4/04/2022 Monday: Linearity/Orderly + Backwatchlist
- Just because we are trading commods, doesn't mean we should disregard Linearity/Orderly charts
- Linearity/Orderly means that if you were in it, it would have been a good trade Linearity & orderly: traditional definition = "fund accumulation", I prefer:
- Stock acts 'predictable' & smooth, obeying MAs, 3-5 day moves
- MENTAL BACKTEST. Pretend you were in the stock, did it make a substantial move? would I have been chopped up? Did it bounce off MAs?

4/04/2022 Monday: Backwatchlists
- An organized backwatchlist can be the best ideas source (it is for me)
- It's also the best Situational Awareness guide Back Watchlist:
- If a stock have behaved well in the past, it's a perfect candidate for future trades
- That's why backwatchlits should only contain stock you would have traded (good setups)!
- Not just any random stock that had a big up day of no setup

29/03/2022 Tuesday
- Random list today
- Momentum bursts in the market occur 3-5 days in underlying stocks both up & DOWN (If you are looking at indexes, look at the underlying constituents)
- That means, chill the f out if you are a long bias trader
- One exception 👇 - This is the only setup to take but must have extreme RS

https://twitter.com/thebadtrader/status/1508612249660760066?s=20&t=2McDWVt-zFL3FOUzbZ6hMQ

28/03/2022 Monday: Chart Layout Nuances
- Chart Layout is seriously underrated
- If your entire edge starts with pattern recognition, why wouldn't you optimize it?
- After testing a new layout, it re-emphasized the importance of being meticulous/protective of your layout My first layout looked like this
- Then I realized I was looking at a different aspect ratio to my teacher's
- The result is that short bases that "need more time" look really good to me
- Of course, these fail because consolidation hasn't resolved fully
cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/87…

27/03/2022 Sunday: Bull Flag Variants
- Any that I missed?
⬇️⬇️⬇️ Piece Of Shit stock HTF

26/03/2022 Saturday: Situational Awareness Study
- The highest value add study for learning situational awareness for KK style traders is going through the daily summaries, previously by @Dannyl_ee now @StatBear
-docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
-drive.google.com/drive/folders/… - The way to do it is to look at the indexes and look at the notes a few weeks before a bull market starts, and a bull market ends
- What setups are there?
- These periods stuck out to me as tradable markets
- What setups do you see? How do leaders act? When does Kris buy things?

24/03/2022 Thursday
- An important skill for trading is being able to build a 2Dimential mind map by processing many 1D datapoints
- Because I trade at ~12am, my cognitive function is too low to perform at the required rate
- I need to improvise ⬇️⬇️⬇️ Situational Awareness:
-1D data points are individual charts. Going through 300 charts in scans/backwatchlist gives you a 2D map of situational awareness
- What @StatBear does it for you

https://twitter.com/StatBear/status/1506784847070703626?s=20&t=Og18yfv8glbKgiZvcrnRUw

Have gone over my process with a fine-tooth comb with the help of great people around me. Huge changes and I am already a different trader than I was just 2 weeks ago as a result of the outcome-driven review process. Changes below Journal
- Now on a private discord channel
- Have a few people in there who aren't afraid to call me out on shit trades/mentality/etc etc