L/S equity in tech and energy. ISO convexity. Factor aware. Path independence matters. Results never lie. Not financial advice. Creator: CRAVE Thesis of GAI.
Jan 8 • 8 tweets • 7 min read
$HXL Hexcel: Aerospace Materials, Leadership Strategy, and Investment Thesis.
Jan 3 • 8 tweets • 7 min read
$CRS Carpenter Technology Strategic Outlook and Executive Performance Analysis
Jan 2 • 8 tweets • 7 min read
$BIDU Baidu’s Kunlunxin Spin-Off: A Strategic AI Compute Evolution
Dec 25, 2025 • 8 tweets • 7 min read
$LITE $COHR Indium Phosphide: Strategic Chokepoints in AI Photonic Supply Chains
Indium phosphide (InP) serves as a critical backbone for high-speed AI networking, acting as a specialized semiconductor essential for generating the infrared light used in fiber-optic data centers. While the raw material indium is technically available, the supply chain faces significant geopolitical and industrial bottlenecks, particularly due to China’s dominance in refining and recent export licensing restrictions. The primary risks to production are not physical shortages of the metal, but rather the technical difficulty of manufacturing high-quality wafers and the dangerous logistics involved in handling toxic chemical precursors. To mitigate these vulnerabilities, major firms and government initiatives, such as the CHIPS Act, are pushing to expand domestic manufacturing and transition to larger, more efficient wafer formats. Ultimately, the stability of AI infrastructure depends on a narrow ecosystem of specialized suppliers capable of navigating these complex manufacturing and regulatory hurdles. Regardless of emerging technologies, InP remains a foundational material that is difficult to replace in the demanding world of high-bandwidth optical communications.
Dec 19, 2025 • 9 tweets • 7 min read
$CEG $VST $TLN $NRG PJM Market Scarcity and the New Co-location Regulatory Regime - A Comprehensive Analysis
Recent power auctions and federal directives indicate that the PJM energy market has entered a period of structural scarcity, characterized by a significant shortfall in electricity reserves. Prices have hit administrative ceilings as the grid struggles to balance aging generation fleets with the rapid power demands of AI data centers. In response, new federal policies are standardizing co-location frameworks, allowing massive industrial loads to connect directly to power plants to speed up energization. While this shift provides incumbent power generators with predictable, high-revenue streams through 2028, it also intensifies political pressure to reform market rules. Ultimately, the sources highlight a growing tension between the need to incentivize grid reliability and the urgent demand to protect consumers from skyrocketing utility costs.
Dec 14, 2025 • 6 tweets • 5 min read
$TSMC $AMKR $NVDA $AMD Advanced Packaging: AI Accelerator Bottlenecks and TSMC CoWoS Evolution
