Lebanon Update: Notable changes across most axes over the past few days have now been confirmed

> 810th Mountain Brigade occupied sections of the Daf esh-Sheikh mountain peak on the Lebanese side of the border. From there they advanced towards the eastern outskirts of Chebaa and started demolishing chalets.

> The Lebanese Army advanced from its border positions around en-Nouqar (south of Chebaa). They regrouped around the town's entrance, the local pharmacy, and the municipal building.

> IDF continues pushing deeper into al-Khiam through the eastern part of the town and local roads on the far-eastern perimeter. The IDF is pushing into Khiam's northernmost neighborhood, Jlahiye, in an effort to sever the connection between the Radwan cells serving as a vanguard force and Ebel el-Saqi on the rear.

> An IDF compilation of air/drone strikes proved that the 869th Field Intelligence Battalion is involved in surveying Khiam. The 869th Battalion is subordinate to the 91st Territorial Division. This indicates that the 91st Division is still involved in some operations in Khiam, while the headquarters and most of the manpower has been moved to the Bint Jbeil region.

> The same IDF footage geolocated by @Me1Ray shows a tank firing at a Hezbollah cell hiding in a house in center of al-Khiam. This portion of the town very dense and contains winding alleyways and highly-elevated ATGM positions.

> Given the use of tanks it's possible elements of the 7th Armored Brigade of the 36th Division are involved in the advance. The only other option is that the 401st Armored Brigade of the 162nd Division is split between al-Khiam and Ayta ash-Shab.

> Hezbollah also acknowledges the Israeli presence in al-Khiam. They claim to have repelled an Israeli advance past the detention center.


> 36th Armored Brigade is clearing southern Kfar Kela. The advances originate from staging points in Metula and Odaisseh. There's still a small pocket of Hezbollah resistance in the far western part of the town, in the Qaitoule neighborhood.

> Forward Radwan cells are dragging out the fighting there in order to deny the IDF unabated access to Al-Awaida Hill, which would connect Taybeh to Kfar Kela. It would also open the gateways to the southern bank of the Litani River.

> IDF has taken over the majority of Taybeh via local routes originating from Odaisseh. IDF took over the Jabal Amel Project in southern Taybeh, and from there they're pushing the Al-Rihani area and the town's western outskirts. The town center is contested. Hezbollah claims they targeted Israeli forces in Taybeh 4 times today.

Really important thread🧵👇
Israel appears to be setting conditions for a revolt in Tehran. UAVs have struck targets since day one, but tonight they reached a new zenith. There is a particular emphasis on monitoring and striking checkpoints set up in Tehran, Karaj, and Varamin.
The roadblocks, checkpoints, and newly formed military deployment points were set up by the following Iranian security organs:
- Basij
1. Imam Ali Battalions (meant to counter street protests)
2. University Basij Cadets
- FARAJA
1. Iranian Prevention Police
2. Iranian Public Security Police
3. Iranian Police Special Units
4. Greater Tehran Police Command
5. Traffic Police
IRGC
1. IRGC Intelligence Organization
2. IRGC Ground Forces

Hezbollah's large-scale rocket salvo on Northern Israel pushed a strategic crossroads to the forefront. Short thread on Hezbollah's capabilities and Israel's changing security conception. 🧵👇 Hezbollah still possesses over 23,000 missiles/rockets/mortars of all kinds. Many thousands can reach Israeli towns along the border with Lebanon, and several thousand can penetrate all the way to the Lower Galilee and Haifa. And that's keeping in mind the fact that most Hezbollah rocket launches are now occuring north of the Litani River, largely east and south of Nabatieh.

Summary of day one of Israel's invasion of Lebanon🧵

Israeli operations are still nascent, with the focus being on slow, methodical advances along similar routes as the 2024 invasion. There is a focus on flanking border towns by assuming positions on nearby dominant heights. The most eventful section of the border is the east. At 2:45pm Hezbollah claimed they scored a direct hit on a Merkava tank in the Al-Samakah position, located on the hills east of Kfar Chouba. This Israeli attack vector is favorable as they're occupying positions 1400m above sea level while the village itself is at 1150m.

The largest attacks occured south of al-Khiam. Israeli forces occupied the salient between Metula and Ghajar that was essentially unpopulated. Israeli tanks and armored vehicles are advancing south of al-Khiam along the Hamametz Ridge (600m). Heavy tank and artillery fire was recorded in al-Khiam throughout the night of March 2nd.

Israel is trying to drive a wedge between the al-Khiam and Kfar Kela garrisons by advancing along the vertical portion of the Marjayoun-Bint Jbeil road. Hezbollah shelled Israeli gathering points in the Galilee Panhandle such as Kfar Yuval and Metula (where they claimed they direct hit a Merkava tank).

Israeli tanks advanced along the Tel Nahas height (600m) in order to flank Kfar Kela from the north. At 3pm Hezbollah claims they directly hit a Merkava tank on this hill. At 3:30 apparently two additional tanks were sent to assist in evacuating the first tank that was hit. Hezbollah claims they targeted these tanks with ATGMs, foricng them to withdraw under the cover of smoke.

Starting a new Iran war thread as the last one is cluttered. Footage is trickling in from US/Israeli attacks on western Iran, including significant explosions at the Zanjan ballistic missile storage and launch base. This site suffered moderate damage during the last war. At least 12 simultaneous ballistic missile launches from Iran, the largest single wave I've seen all day.

Starting a thread of footage of the strikes on Iran, all of this is from Tehran at the moment.


"Regime targets" were struck near the Milad Tower. Nitzan Shapira of N12 says this is a joint attack with the US. A number assassinations were reported in the center of Tehran.

MEGA THREAD🧵Hamas Governor of Khan Younis KIDNAPPED? This is the full story of Osama Abu Anza, the local leadership in Southern Gaza, and the link to Nasser Hosptial.

During Hamas's 2007 takeover of the Gaza Strip, head of the Khan Younis Governorate, Osama Abu Anza, was allegedly involved in bombing the Palestinian Authority's Preventive Security headquarters in Khan Younis. Hamas fighters dug a large tunnel under the building and detonated explosives, killing 5 people. More generally he was accused of killing 15 members of the Palestinian Authority and Fatah during the June 2007 clashes. He led the October 2025 raid on the Al-Mujaida clan in western Khan Younis and al-Mawasi.
Anti-Hamas sources claimed that Osama Abu Anza was appointed governor in June 2025 with his deputy being Abu Khalid Abu Shamala. They say Abu Anza ordered Tamer Abu Dabousa, a prominent Sahm operative, to hijack aid trucks and store the profits in the College of Applied Sciences of Khan Younis. Popular Forces leader Ghassan al-Dahini accused Abu Anza of killing employees of the Al-Khazindar Company, which worked with the Gaza Humanitarian Foundation.

Who is Hussam al-Astal, the leader of a new Israel-backed anti-Hamas gang burgeoning in Qizan al-Najjar? In this MEGA THREAD we'll go through all publicly available information on this man. 🧵 First let's begin with the elephant in the room. His tactical vest has the IMI Defense logo plastered on it. IMI is an Israeli company that manufactures firearm accessories and components. So Hussam isn't even attempting to conceal his collaboration with Israel.

This was further proven in an interview he had with the Times of Israel, wherein he said there is "coordination" with Israel. He also admitted to receiving funding from the US, Europe, and certain Arab states (I'd posit UAE given the Dahlan link I'll discuss later).

🚨Gazan sources falsely reported that Hamas captured Issam al-Nabahin, a senior commander in Yasser Abu Shabab's Popular Forces. Issam has a long history of ISIS affiliations. In this thread we'll go through the full story of al-Nabahin. 🧵 In mid-2015 a Salafi-Jihadist cell in Gaza was behind 6 car bombings of 4 Hamas and 2 Palestinian Islamic Jihad members in the Sheikh Radwan and al-Naqaf neighborhoods in Gaza City. 2 people were injured in the attacks but nobody was killed. It was their first attack on al-Qassam, Hamas's military wing. Previous attacks focused on government buildings.

UPDATE🚨: We now have far more information on origins of Yasser Abu Shabab, his militia, and their ties to Israel and secret third parties. In this thread we'll go through the latest developments, leaving no stone unturned. As a reminder, this was my introductory thread to Shabab, mainly covering the recent history of the Tarabin tribe & the functions of Shabab's militia, the Counter-Terrorism Apparatus (or Popular Forces). I'll be using all three monikers interchangeably.

https://x.com/ThetiMapping/status/1927683625841033292

Who is Yasser Abu Shabab? In this detailed thread, we'll look at the rise of a potential opposition figure to Hamas's rule, and his role in the new Gaza humanitarian aid mechanism. 🧵 Shabab is a notable clan leader of the Tarabin Tribe in Rafah. The Tarabin is one of the largest Bedouin tribes spanning the northern Sinai Peninsula, southern Gaza, the Negev Desert, southern Jordan, and even NW Saudi Arabia. The tribe consists of 21 clans & I believe Shabab is a member of the Al-Sanea Clan. Each clan consists of several smaller factions, including the Al-Shabiba Faction within Al-Sanea. Yasser is likely a leader within this particular faction.

This thread has renewed importance now that Bakhmut has been fully taken. But since early May the Ukrainians have been conducting localized counterattacks on Bakhmut's flanks (around Donbass canal, Ivanivske, Khromove, Bohdanivka, & Sacco and Vanzetti).

https://twitter.com/ThetiMapping/status/1647733243305680897

This counterattacks aimed to divert resources from Russia's last push on Bakhmut, prolong fighting on the current frontline, and gave Ukraine more favorable positions for when the Russians eventually decide they want to advance on the towns on Bakhmut's flanks.

Given Russia's recent gains in western Bakhmut, there is a heightened importance on UA defensive capabilities in the nearby city of Chasiv Yar. 1/31

https://twitter.com/ThetiMapping/status/1643686701657669632

Chasiv Yar entered the "danger zone" in late January when Russia took Soledar (Jan 16) and Klishchiivka (Jan 20). The fall of these two towns gave Russia important forward positions to flank Bakhmut and by extension Chasiv Yar, and put it within the range of close range mortars.