Toby MG Profile picture
Politics obsessed Wisconsinite, digging into the data. A progressive, punster patriot defeating bad guys in 15 of the last 18 elections. he/him
Nov 4, 2024 13 tweets 3 min read
Wisconsin Absentee Report 11/4- Election Eve

645,477 mail requests
(Deadline passed for requests)

561,616 mail returns (87.33%)
(+2,584 over yesterday)

949,157 in-person "early votes"
(+9,025 over yesterday)

Some returns processed yesterday but not many since no mail is delivered on Sundays and most clerks were not working. The ones that were saw a pretty robust 9k early votes cast in the handful of municipalities offering Sunday voting. More than I expected, but not quite enough to break 950k total in-person votes.

That said, we did break 1.5m
Nov 1, 2024 22 tweets 4 min read
Wisconsin Absentee AND Registration Report 11/1

645,190 mail requests
(+1,179 over yesterday- requests are now closed)

537,645 mail returns (83.69%)
(+18,192 over yesterday)

801,083 in-person "early votes"
(+95,757 over yesterday)

3,655,669 reg. voters
(+100,124 over 10/1) Wow. A lot to cover today- we've passed the request deadline. There will be small shifts in subsequent reports due to reporting errors/lags but 645k is about where we're ending up for requests. We're on track to exceed a 90% return rate (we only need 43k more ballots to hit it)
Oct 30, 2024 13 tweets 3 min read
Wisconsin Absentee Report 10/30

611,774 mail requests
(+2,936 over yesterday)

499,576 mail returns (78.3%)
(+21,039 over yesterday)

609,576 in person "early votes"
(+99,320 over yesterday)

A big day for returns with a 3% jump in the rate but JUST missed 500k. The return rate is about 6% and 3 days ahead of 2022. We remain at a slightly higher return rate than 2020 at this point (which was 77.45%).
We are definitely on track to meet or exceed the 90% return rate originally estimated but the real story
Oct 29, 2024 12 tweets 3 min read
Wisconsin Absentee Report 10/29

638,838 requests
(+4,302 over yesterday)

478,537 returns (75.39%)
(+32,393 over yesterday)

511,141 in-person "early votes"
(+99,119 over yesterday)

More requests than I'd like to see at this point (these folks might not even get their ballot in time, let alone have time to return it) but it has slowed a lot since a week and half ago.
Big day of returns, and, as hoped/expected we pass a 75% mail return rate, passing 475k mail votes cast. This is about two days ahead of 2022's return pace and has caught up (and slightly
Oct 24, 2024 13 tweets 3 min read
Wisconsin Absentee Report 10/24

624,610 requests
(+6,043 over yesterday)

401,033 returns (64.81%)
(+23,009 over yesterday)

191,869 in-person "early votes"
(+94,433 over yesterday)

Big day, passing 400k mail returns and almost doubling the number of early votes. The second day of in-person absentee voting usually has a pretty significant dropoff but this year there was almost none while yesterday was also a big day for mail returns, with the return rate jumping over 3% to hit 2/3 of all ballots returned(as the request rate thankfully continues to drop)
Oct 23, 2024 12 tweets 3 min read
Wisconsin Absentee Report 10/23

618,567 requests
(+7,038 over yesterday)

378,074 returns (61.73%)
(+18,016 over yesterday)

97,436 in-person "early votes"
(first day)

The obvious headline here is the massive early vote turnout. This is almost triple what we saw in 2022 and 20k higher than we saw in 2020. Another possible sign of high turnout/enthusiasm.
The return rate jumped by over 2%, breaking 60%, and mail ballots currently make up 79.51% of all ballots cast so far.

At the municipal level, Milwaukee continues its boom and bust processing of
Oct 21, 2024 16 tweets 3 min read
Wisconsin Absentee Report 10/21/24

603,267 requests
(+9,717 over Friday)

326,123 returns (54.92%)
(+20,779 over Friday)

The state released numbers very late today and I had real life stuff going on, so apologies for the late report.
A very strong weekend leading into what is likely to be a very strong report tomorrow. It looks like reports are starting to peter out a bit which is good because the window for a ballot to get to a voter and get mailed back is closing more rapidly than folks might think. If you have a ballot in your hand, please mail it
Oct 17, 2024 7 tweets 2 min read
Wisconsin Absentee Report 10/17

585,515 ballots requested
(+11,765 over yesterday)

283,123 ballots returned (49.09%)
(+15,599 over yesterday)

Another solid day of returns puts us on track to pass 50% return rate tomorrow, as expected. We'll also pass my benchmark for 3.325m turnout based on absentee requests tomorrow (we're just under 6k short right now) so it looks like we're in for another big turnout Wisconsin election.
At the municipal level, Milwaukee continues to creep up on the statewide rate, now just a hair over 7% behind at 42.00%.