Mark πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡² πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Profile picture
Focused on economy, markets & housing. Looking for a recession, bear market in stocks & housing starting in 2025. Outlook: Short- term pain and long-term pain.
Apr 27, 2023 β€’ 11 tweets β€’ 3 min read
Important for industry experts to provide housing forecasts to the decimal for current year. However, I think these forecasts will be more helpful for individuals making housing decisions:
1) Selection & prices will be better over the next 2 yrs than it is now. Better to wait. 2) It will be cheaper to rent than own for most markets for the next 5-10 yrs.
3) It's not too late to sell & capture equity before it's lost.
4) Hottest pandemic markets likely to see home prices drop 40+% from peak, most others 10%-20%.
5) No boom following this bust.
Feb 15, 2022 β€’ 4 tweets β€’ 1 min read
Hard to believe, but lows may be in:
Most market lows follow this pattern:
1) Spike in volatility & bearish extremes: βœ”οΈ
2) Strong rebound: βœ”οΈ
3) Retest: βœ”οΈ
5) Market shrugging off bad news: Today's PPI βœ”οΈ
6) Strong upside follow through: TBD Upside volume on the nazz at 86%, which is a solid day. Added some $EDZ and $YINN, as well as $X and $AA.