Ty Keynes Profile picture
#SystemDynamics practitioner. Showing how #systemsthinking can be applied to #economics. Support my research at https://t.co/ORblGK2opF
Sep 10, 2023 8 tweets 3 min read
Macroeconomic Price Level Theories.

I've been trying to develop a coherent set of equations for the price level in my #systemdynamics model.

My conclusion on the matter: Its important to understand that these theories are not mutually exclusive. 🧵Thread 1/8 Current price level equations for the draft Economics Biophysical Dynamic Model. Quantity Theory of Money (QTM):

QTM suggests that the price level is directly linked to the money supply. More money = higher prices (assuming other factors remain constant). It's a fundamental idea in monetary economics.🧵Thread 2/8 Nicolaus Copernicus
Sep 7, 2023 16 tweets 5 min read
I'm about 80% done my National Economic #systemdynamics model, Still have some subsystems that need to be added.

Should have a beta version for download (Using Minsky software) sometime in the next week on my Patreon page. 🧵Thread 1/16 It's stock flow consistent with a foreign sector. There is over 300 variables and parameters at this point. and about 90 feedback loops. I have 17 units of measure including time. 🧵2/16
May 8, 2023 4 tweets 2 min read
Can we spend our way to a greener future? The World models demonstrate we can't. GDP and CO2 (and other pollutants) fit pretty tightly. We might just spend our way into a climate disaster. Let's be clear were sacrificing our existence for a material standard of living.🧵1/4 Image In the world model, if I increase capital investment in the aggregate by 25% in 2025, I am able to maintain the material standard of living at the cost of the biosphere. Notice the food ratio does not increase with the additional capital investments. 🧵2/4 Image
May 8, 2023 14 tweets 2 min read
A little message for "some of you economists out there". Let’s say you borrow $100,000 to build a home and the homebuilder banks at your bank. The bank ends up with a $100,000 asset and a $100,000 liability (the loan and the deposit – loans create deposits). 🧵 Thread 1/14 The homebuilder will end up with $100,000 in retained earnings and you will end up with $100,000 in debt. If you net out the investment then the private sector has no change in financial assets and you might presume the private sector is no better off than it was before. 🧵 2/14
Feb 5, 2023 13 tweets 7 min read
Bonds always finance government spending, which is beyond what the balance is in the "Treasury Account" at the Central Bank. Governments DO NOT create reserves, and Governments DO NOT create deposits. #Page1 #MMT Let’s start with the assumption that the Gov wants to spend $60 billion, but the treasury account only has a $50 billion balance in it. I will also assume by law the treasury account cannot go negative to adhere to some self-imposed law. #Page2
Jan 4, 2023 16 tweets 4 min read
Loanable Fund vs Endogenous Money.

A short film stylized in an old fashion silent movie-type format and utilizing the #Minsky #systemdynamics software.

Download Minsky for free: sourceforge.net/projects/minsk… (1/16) Let's start with what you learn in the textbooks and hear on the news. It's the loanable fund's fallacy. (2/16)
Dec 20, 2022 6 tweets 2 min read
I have been reading some comments from the #MMT community about @AnnPettifor latest blog in relation to taxes that don't fund government spending but bonds do. I think I can reconcile both Ann's position and MMTs. It is true taxes are collected after gov spending (1/6) Even coming from a non MMT position, it is obvious the tax collection and spending never match, as spending bills are announced and some plan of tax rates are proposed to balance the gov spending after the fact. (2/6)
Dec 19, 2022 4 tweets 13 min read
Thanks for all the support in my first year on Twitter. The likes and retweets really helped and I'm forever grateful. Look forward to all the interactions next year!
@ProfSteveKeen, @systemdynamics_, @WPISDclub, @JoYohana, @planksip, @samvega, @adeelecon, (1/4) @CheeseMacro, @cchristinektang, @BokcvO_ok, @sdgrumbine, @StevenHailAus, @banjopaddler, @paradigms_new, @BrianDRPM, @RobinOfBroccoli, @DarrellKwei, @MarkFabian21, @FancyandTheCity, @thwittig, @JonathanKadmon, @WilesWj, @AvisM, @rick_carmody, @robjpearce, @tomfoster66 (2/4)