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Wilkman Profile picture
Wilkman
@Wilkmans
Tweets militärt. Bakgrund: Pansarvärnspluton, 9cm PVpjäs 1110, Rb56 BILL. Militär litteratur sedan 2006.
Sep 9, 2023 • 27 tweets • 4 min read
Estimating the number of Russian soldiers killed in the Ukraine war
A) Applying HISTORICAL RATIOS between killed officers compared to the number of killed soldiers
B) Using CONFIRMED killed Russian officers to make the estimate

A thread: 1/ Image A thread 2/

Some of my previous statistical analysis:
May 24, 2023 • 19 tweets • 6 min read
Withstanding an Impact: NATO vs. Soviet made APCs
Risk of Catastrophic Fire in APC - Statistical Analysis of Ukraine's APC Losses
1/ Image Previous statistical analysis from the Ukraine war, explosion risk in Russian tanks:
2/
May 22, 2023 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
This is the Swedish IFV CV9040 seen in Germany, heading to Ukraine. Hm, the CV90 has the camouflage net on them.
Probably Saab Barracuda camouflage.
Its very effective at blocking infrared signature.
Feb 16, 2023 • 6 tweets • 2 min read
A thread with images and videos of Russian T-62 in Ukraine.
This tank had a larger explosion on the engine deck (not a small 30-40mm grenade) . The fragment damaged the turrets backside.  
Captured Russian basic T-62 tank. (Not T-62M or MV)
Feb 13, 2023 • 9 tweets • 3 min read
We may start seeing Ukraine tank crews fighting with hatches open like in this video.
Situation awareness increase.
Here we see the head at 3 minutes.
Jan 31, 2023 • 67 tweets • 16 min read
Explosion Risk in Russian Tanks that have been Damaged or Destroyed 
Statistical analysis of ammunition explosions in 766 tanks used by Russia in Ukraine between February 2022 and January 31, 2023. Image The models and versions we have included are as follows: 
T62 & M/MV (the oldest tank, in service from 1961)
A T-64A/BV (1966-) (captured in Russian service)
A T-72A 
A T-72B (1980th) 
A T-72B3 Obr 2016 (newest version) 
T-80U
T-80BVM (2018, newest version) 
T-90A
Jan 27, 2023 • 29 tweets • 6 min read
T-72 ammunition explosions, a statistical analysis.

A thread 1/n.

A) Conclusion
B) Results
C) Methodology and selection of data
D) Detailed statistics
E) Basic facts T72 and T62
F) Images of the individual tanks (ammo explosion) CONCLUSION

Compared to the old T-62, the most modern T-72B3 Obr 2016 is 3,5 times more likely to have a catastrophic ammunition explosion. This is in a war where both tank models are exposed to the same enemy weapons and tactics and are in the same environment.

2/n
Jul 28, 2022 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
Kherson bridge no 2, Daryevsky bridge over the Ingulets (the one with 6 holes in a nice row).
---- It has at least one more hit. Se image and video in next tweet. From this new video:
Jul 21, 2022 • 12 tweets • 4 min read
Om den skadade Antonovskybron i Kherson.
Jag funderade lite över om det verkligen kunde vara gMLRS missiler som förorsakat skadorna vi ser på bilderna. En gMLRS har 90kg HE. Här testas den mot en mindre bro. Men vägbanan borde vara av likvärdiga dimensioner.
Mar 6, 2022 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
@andreivkozyrev The question is, has Putin understood that we are in a new world now since 24 feb? The shift of the wests perception of the world is in new phase. The shift is greater than 1989-91 or 1945. There will be no Russian walking back a bit or concession that will make us go back. 1/ @andreivkozyrev All BS Russia has pulled on us over 20 years has now boiled over. Troll factory, RT et al, supporting extreme parties in west, the constant threats, the flexing of military, poisoning in UK, murder on open street in Berlin etc. Georgia, Moldova, Syria and Ukraine. 2/