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Will Tanner Profile picture
Will Tanner
@Will_Tanner
Director of @ukonward. Formerly 10 Downing Street and Home Office. Occasional columnist at @theipaper Join us at https://t.co/vvQf1CbHxy
Oct 24, 2022 • 15 tweets • 7 min read
We may get a new Prime Minister today. But how, I hear you ask, can @RishiSunak unite the Conservatives and reverse a 36-point deficit by 2024?

With exquisite timing, @jim_blagden and I have a big report out today for @ukonward, based on a 10k @JLPartnersPolls poll. Thread: 1/14 2/14 First things first, how bad is the position he could inherit? Short answer: Very bad.

Excluding the 1992-97 Parliament, the Conservatives are trailing Labour by more than any governing party has trailed the Opposition since the early 1980s. We know how 1992-97 ended.
Oct 23, 2022 • 5 tweets • 2 min read
Really notable that - while Boris/Rishi are statistically tied on winning elections, public services and levelling up - on the key question of stabilising the economy, Rishi Sunak is *27 points* ahead. Reinforced by other pollsters in recent days. YouGov (22 October) - Who would you most trust to manage the British economy?

Rishi: All voters: 32%, Con 19: 40%

Boris: All voters: 12%, Con 19: 23%

Penny: All voters: 3%, Con 19: 4%

docs.cdn.yougov.com/8w0a2xhvy8/The…
Oct 23, 2022 • 9 tweets • 5 min read
NEW: @ukonward / @JLPartnersPolls polling of 1,034 voters on 21 Oct 2022.

Candidate most likely to “restore integrity and honest leadership to British politics”:

Rishi 21%
Penny 9%
Wallace 11%
Boris 12%
Kemi 3%
Suella 1%

1/8 Candidate most likely to “protect the NHS and deliver high quality public services”:

Rishi 16%
Penny 9%
Wallace 5%
Boris 18%
Kemi 2%
Suella 1%

(statistical tie between Boris and Rishi)

@ukonward / @JLPartnersPolls. 1,034 nat rep sample, Fieldwork: 21 Oct 2022

2/8