Share this page!

Enter URL or ID to Unroll

You can paste full URL like: https://x.com/threadreaderapp/status/1644127596119195649
or just the ID like: 1644127596119195649

How to get URL link on X (Twitter) App

  1. On the Twitter thread, click on or icon on the bottom
  2. Click again on or Share Via icon
  3. Click on Copy Link to Tweet
  4. Paste it above and click "Unroll Thread"!
  5. More info at Twitter Help
Wouter van Amsterdam Profile picture
Wouter van Amsterdam
@WvanAmsterdam
machine learning, causal inference, health care
May 23 • 18 tweets • 3 min read
Great to see the TRIPOD+AI reporting guideline published!

It does medical research a great service, but prognosis models intended to support treatment decisions need more, so we wrote a rapid response in the BMJ: bmj.com/content/385/bm…
Image TRIPOD+AI ensures that researchers report sufficient information for readers to verify whether a published prediction model is fit for purpose, doing the field a tremendous service by improving standards and reducing research waste
Jul 21, 2021 • 14 tweets • 5 min read
Better outcome predictions lead to better treatment decisions, right?

Turns out it’s not that simple. In fact, accurate outcome predictions can in some cases lead to WORSE clinical decisions.

Blog with numerical example here: vanamsterdam.github.io/posts/goodpred…
Thread here 👇:
(1/) For a certain type of cancer there are two treatments: A and B. From randomized trials it is known that A leads to better overall survival. There is no known variation in treatment effect among patient subgroups.
(2/)