Trading Options – Here’s the Secret

To trade options, everyone needs to spend some time learning the basic strategies. There are plenty of books out there, and I’m not going to recommend a specific one.

🧵 What matters is understanding the core logic—”addition and subtraction”—not the “calculus.”

The complicated jargon and math is mostly used by X users who can’t make money and try to sell subscriptions by hiding bad market calls behind fancy language.

The Silent Companion

A man and a woman were deeply in love. They built a life together, filled with happiness, and had a young daughter. But one day, duty called—the man was sent to war, leaving his wife and child behind. With a heavy heart, he promised to return, and his wife vowed to wait for him. Two years passed before he finally came home. His family was overjoyed. His wife, overwhelmed with happiness, rushed to the market to buy food, eager to prepare a great feast to celebrate his return. In the meantime, the man sat down with his daughter, eager to reconnect with her.

The Trade $VIX
In a world with a 5% interest rate and macro challenges, there are many events that could push $VIX above 15 given enough time.

Position Risk
Spike: $VIX doesn't go from zero to one directly, so ANY bad event should lead to a profitable outcome if you exit early.

https://twitter.com/zeecontrarian1/status/1788629977740800098

VIX stays below 13: The true risk lies in $VIX staying low. While I can't guarantee a spike in the next 30-60 days, it's a reasonable assumption that it will happen eventually. Even a modest increase to 15 within that timeframe would suffice.

Hedging $UVXY short option positions with $VIX spreads.

Imagine a scenario where the $VIX stays low for most of the month. $UVXY loses money due to contango, and its potential risk also diminishes as it rolls contracts forward to the next month with each passing day. VIX Spreads Option Advantage: $VIX options grant you the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell the VIX at a specific price by a certain date (expiration). If the VIX suddenly jumps near expiration, your options will benefit from the full increase in the VIX.

A story tells that two friends were walking through the desert. During some point of the journey, they had an argument, and one friend slapped the other one in the face. The one who got slapped was hurt, but without saying anything, wrote in the sand “Today my best friend slapped me in the face”.

They kept on walking until they found an oasis, where they decided to take a bath.

The current 1.04% $VIX contango reflects the monthly loss incurred by $VIX products, making it unwise to short $UVXY and $VXX or to go long on $SVIX due to the unfavorable contango conditions. BUT, the higher the $VIX goes the greater the opportunity to short it will be. If you are wondering why I referenced the second and third $VIX futures contango and not the first and second, it's because, as a general rule, $VIX products roll over one $VIX contract every day from the front month to the second month,

"The Chinese Farmer"

🧵📖

#storytime
#parable
#alanwatts
#philosophy
#TrustGod Once upon a time,
there was a Chinese farmer
living in a small village.
He had a horse that
was his most valuable possession.
One day, his horse ran away,
leaving the farmer without
any means of transportation.
The villagers sympathized,
but the farmer simply said,
"We'll see."

THE PATH TO ATTAINING INNER PEACE has been a interesting journey for me as I cannot recall the last time I felt sad, angry, frustrated, or envious. Although negative emotions do surface every once in a while, their presence is fleeting.
But how did I achieve this state?
🧵 Minimalism: this does not imply becoming a monk. Rather, it means removing everything from your life which you do not need and keeping only what is necessary for your happiness, be it possessions or social circles. This frees up extra time and money which can be utilised better.

The Story of the Mexican Fisherman

An American investment banker was at the pier of a small coastal Mexican village when a small boat with just one fisherman docked.  Inside the small boat were several large yellowfin tuna. The American complimented the Mexican on the quality of his fish and asked how long it took to catch them. The Mexican replied, “only a little while. The American then asked why didn’t he stay out longer and catch more fish? The Mexican said he had enough to support his family.

Volatility on Wall Street raised its head yesterday, with an increase of 1.4 points in the $VIX index to 22.16 points. This level is still relatively low compared to what we saw from the "fear index" from the beginning of the year,

🧵 but additional movements behind the scenes present a different picture. Most of you are familiar with the $VIX, which is calculated from the implied standard deviation of the options on the S&P 500 index. When this index rises, it reflects an increase in the risk perception

What is the formula for a good life?

I am sure we all agree that many possessions do not equal happiness; most of the wealthiest people I know are emotionally dysfunctional at best and miserable at worst.

So what kind of life one should pursue to have a meaningful life?

🧵 So maybe experiences bring happiness? Well, would a fifty-year-old successful man that had countless parties, expensive vacations, sex, money, and possessions define his life as great if he just had everything taken away in a financial crisis or an accident? probably not.

“We suffer more often in imagination than in reality.”
-Seneca

Market crash this week? 😰
New Covid strain, we are doomed😰
That earning report next week..😰
Dentist on Tuesday, this will hurt 😰

Overthinking and being anxious about upcoming things is completely normal, everyone does it but a lot of the times those things are more in our head than in reality, they very rarely materialise.

Think about it for a second, how many of your worries actually played out to be as bad as you thought they would?

The Path of Least Resistance to Become a Multi Millionaire - 15 tips from 8 self made multi millionaires.

1.Fundamentals matter: choose a degree that gives you a skill: Law, engineering and tech degrees are preferable but not a must. 2.Soft skills: Sales, business & psychology are skills you will learn as you go, don’t waste a 3 years degree on them.

The Contrarian Case for HostelWorld ( $HSW.L) ( $HSWLF), A Beautiful Turnaround Story in the Making.
MCAP: € 97MM
CASH: ~ € 20MM + € 30MM loan
CASH BURN: ~1.6MM per month.
Price: £78
Price Target: £410
Catalyst:-
Buy urgency: low
Holding period: ~2.5 years.
Thread Below 👇 Hostel world is a platform like Booking.com and Expedia, however it specializes in the hostel niche in which 𝐢𝐭 𝐢𝐬 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐝𝐨𝐦𝐢𝐧𝐚𝐧𝐭 𝐩𝐥𝐚𝐲𝐞𝐫 and caters to a global customer base with an extensive inventory of hostels for booking.

HOW TO USE TWITTER TO BECOME A GREAT INVESTOR:
I’ll start by saying that learning from Twitter, if used correctly, is better than books. Twitter is full of good mentors, even if you don’t speak directly with the investor, Twitter offers a form of mentorship. So let’s begin: 1-Becoming a great investor requires to READ A LOT, so find a space or a few spaces that interest you, avoid becoming a jack of all trades and a master of none-this will get you nowhere.
As a master in a niche field even the smartest people in the world..

1/2 Meeting with $KMDA summary:
COVID-19:
*Vaccine will work for most, not for all, Corona here to stay for a long while.
*Won the lottery with Corona, very similar to Ebola that was treated with Plasma, this is what Kamada does best. Various reports from China suggest Plasma 2/2 positive effect.
*High probability of success, level of efficiency still unknown.
*Phase 1 & 2 for covid to begin in the next few weeks(catalyst).
*Expedited Phase 1&2 (no need to check for side effects-not a synthetic drug.)

1.FarFetch , the #1 platform for online luxury fashion is a conviction pick for 2020, reasons:
*Positive headwinds as online luxury consumption grows from 12% today to 25% of the overall luxury market in 2025 (per Bain).
*No Amazon as luxury brands prefer to stay away. *Attractive platform economics, margins should settle at 25%.
*JD.COM, the Chinese behemoth, is a big investor & strategic partner.
*The market is missing the possible NGG acquisition synergies.
*NGG is the parent company of OFF WHITE, the #1 luxury brand