Simplifying the financial markets, one thread at a time.
Jun 13 • 24 tweets • 4 min read
🚨 A single stretch of ocean could send gas prices soaring.
If Israel and Iran go to war, it won't just be their problem.
The whole world gets hit especially the US.
Here’s how the next oil shock starts.
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Let’s start with this: The entire global oil system runs through a tiny gap of water.
It’s called the Strait of Hormuz, and it moves 20% of the world’s oil supply.
If it’s blocked, the world doesn’t just lose oil, it loses control.
Jun 11 • 21 tweets • 4 min read
🚨 Trump might put a hedge fund veteran in charge of the Fed.
Scott Bessent made billions shorting currencies.
Now he wants to set U.S. interest rates.
This could flip the Fed upside down.
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Scott Bessent isn’t coming from academia. He’s not a career bureaucrat.
He made billions betting on bond markets and currencies including Soros’s legendary 1992 short of the British pound.
Now he might oversee the very system he once bet against.
Jun 10 • 24 tweets • 4 min read
🚨 The U.S. stock market is now 50% bigger than the bond market.
That’s a record-low ratio and it hasn’t ended well in the past.
When this happened in the '70s, both stocks and bonds got wrecked.
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The market value of U.S. bonds has plunged to just 68% of the stock market's value a level we haven't seen in over half a century.
That number used to be over 150%.
Now it’s barely half.
Jun 10 • 24 tweets • 4 min read
🚨 China controls 69% of the world’s rare earths.
Without them? No EVs. No missiles. No iPhones.
Now the U.S. is negotiating for a deal in London to avoid total tech collapse.
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Rare earth elements (REEs) are a group of 17 metallic elements like neodymium, dysprosium, terbium, and scandium.
They have unique magnetic, conductive, and fluorescent properties that make them essential for high-tech systems.
They're not rare in the Earth's crust but they’re hard, dirty, and expensive to process.
Jun 10 • 21 tweets • 4 min read
🚨 America is playing economic tug-of-war.
One hand is writing trillion-dollar checks.
The other is choking credit with sky-high rates.
This is the most dangerous policy divergence in a generation.
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This clash is already distorting the economy.
Strong headline GDP numbers hide growing microeconomic damage especially to small and medium-sized businesses (SMBs).
This is what economists are now calling “distorted prosperity”growth that looks healthy, but is built on cracks.
Jun 9 • 23 tweets • 5 min read
🚨 Mortgage rates are exploding. The housing market is paralyzed.
It’s not just the Fed.
A hidden domino effect is quietly destroying affordability.
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Mortgage rates haven’t just drifted higher, they’ve exploded.
The average 30-year mortgage rate more than doubled since 2020, hovering near 7.25% today.
But this didn’t happen in a vacuum. It’s the domino effect of one number: the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield. Here’s why 👇
Jun 9 • 20 tweets • 4 min read
🚨 Hedge funds just made their boldest bet in years.
Buying global stocks at record levels after months of selling.
It’s the blueprint for where the money’s going next.
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In May 2025, hedge funds staged a record-breaking comeback.
According to Goldman Sachs, they went from dumping stocks at historic levels in April to buying global equities at the fastest pace on record.
A complete 180° flip. But why?
Jun 9 • 21 tweets • 4 min read
🚨 The global economy is drowning in debt.
$18 TRILLION in government bonds were issued in 2024 alone.
The U.S. debt crossed $36 TRILLION.
And no one has a real plan to stop it.
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Since 2019, global sovereign debt issuance has nearly doubled. We’ve gone from ~$9T to $18T annually.
That means governments are borrowing twice as fast as they were before COVID and it's not slowing down.
This is no longer about crisis response. It’s structural.
Jun 5 • 28 tweets • 5 min read
🚨 The U.S. Treasury just spent $10B buying back its own debt.
One of the biggest buybacks in modern history.
The bond market is in trouble and Washington is stepping in quietly.
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So what is a debt buyback?
Simple: the government repurchases its own outstanding bonds from the market usually older ones that aren’t traded much anymore.
It’s like cleaning out cluttered inventory so the market keeps running smoothly but this time, it's different.
Jun 4 • 22 tweets • 5 min read
🚨 The dollar is collapsing, commodities are exploding.
Gold, oil, copper, even corn are ripping.
This could be the start of a super-cycle.
Here’s how to get ahead before it’s too late:
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First, understand this: nearly every major commodity in the world is priced in U.S. dollars.
That means whether someone’s buying wheat in Egypt or oil in China, they’re paying in USD.
So when the dollar weakens, those goods get cheaper for everyone else.
Jun 4 • 26 tweets • 6 min read
🚨 95% of investors lose money on options.
Because they’re playing a game they don’t understand.
Calls. Puts. Premiums. Profits. Risks. All broken down.
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Let’s start with what an option is.
An option is a contract that gives you the right to buy or sell a stock at a specific price by a certain date.
You don’t have to do it, you just can. It’s like reserving a concert ticket: you’re not forced to go, but you’ve got a seat saved.
Jun 3 • 15 tweets • 3 min read
🚨 Gold is going parabolic and central banks aren’t even hiding it anymore.
This isn’t a rally, It’s an escape plan.
Here’s what they’re quietly preparing for.
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Let’s start with the facts: Gold has averaged 10.1% annual returns since 2000.
That’s better than stocks, bonds, and even crypto when adjusted for risk.
Now in 2025, it's moving like we’re in a monetary endgame
Jun 3 • 15 tweets • 3 min read
🚨 Meta just locked in 20 years of nuclear power.
This isn’t just about energy, it's a sign of what's coming.
AI, geopolitics, and power are converging.
The Nuclear Era has begun.
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We’re at the beginning of a major energy transition. One driven not only by the climate crisis, but by surging global demand.
What’s new: renewables alone can’t scale fast enough or reliably enough to meet the future’s energy needs.
This is where nuclear re-enters the picture.
Jun 2 • 19 tweets • 4 min read
🚨 The U.S. dollar is crashing even as bond yields surge.
It’s a rare, dangerous split.
This isn’t normal, it’s a flashing red alert for America’s financial system.
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Normally, when U.S. Treasury yields rise (the interest the government pays to borrow), the dollar strengthens because foreign investors chase those higher returns, needing dollars to buy U.S. bonds.
But in 2025, that relationship has completely broken.
Jun 2 • 18 tweets • 4 min read
🚨 The Bank of Japan just racked up a record ¥28.6 trillion in bond losses
That’s three times bigger than last year!
This isn’t just Japan’s problem.
It’s a screaming red alert for global markets.
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First, what happened? The BOJ (Bank of Japan) holds a mountain of Japanese government bonds (JGBs).
For years, it’s been buying them aggressively as part of its monetary easing program, a fancy way of saying it’s pumped money into the economy by purchasing bonds and keeping borrowing costs dirt cheap.
May 31 • 22 tweets • 4 min read
🚨 Global debt just hit $324 TRILLION.
That’s 3x the size of the world’s entire economy.
This isn’t just a number, it’s a ticking time bomb.
Here’s what no one’s telling you about the biggest financial risk of our lifetime.
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Let’s break this down: The world’s combined GDP (everything every country produces in a year) is ~$110 trillion.
But total global debt is $324 TRILLION — we’ve borrowed more than we create.
That’s a debt-to-GDP ratio over 290%. Historically this is insane.
May 29 • 19 tweets • 4 min read
🚨The $7.5 TRILLION Problem No One Is Talking About
Asian countries are quietly reversing 30 years of investment in U.S. assets.
What happens when the world’s biggest buyers of U.S. debt and stocks start pulling out?
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For decades, Asian economies ran a simple loop:
• Export goods to the U.S.
• Earn dollars
• Recycle them back into U.S. assets (Treasuries, stocks, bonds)
It was a massive dollar flywheel and it’s how they built up $7.5 TRILLION in U.S. investments since 1997. That wheel is now slowing. Fast.
May 29 • 14 tweets • 4 min read
🚨 Federal court just shut down Trump’s biggest economic weapon.
This doesn’t just kill tariffs.
It could rewrite presidential power and disrupt global trade.
Here’s what just happened and why it changes everything.
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Trump’s entire second-term economic plan hinges on one core strategy: using tariffs to force the world to play by U.S. terms.
He dubbed it “Liberation Day”, a dramatic reworking of trade policy meant to bring back American manufacturing jobs and slash the federal deficit.
But a federal court just told him flat-out: You can’t do that.
May 26 • 18 tweets • 4 min read
🚨 U.S. stocks are now more expensive than nearly any time in modern history.
But here’s the real problem: U.S. households are holding more stocks than ever before.
This combo is rare and risky.
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Start with valuations. The Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio tells us how much investors are paying for every $1 of expected profit.
Right now, the S&P 500 trades at 21× forward earnings.
That means investors are paying $21 for $1 of next year’s expected earnings. The 25-year average is closer to 16×.
May 26 • 16 tweets • 4 min read
🚨 A recession has never looked this obvious yet it hasn’t arrived.
The U.S. Leading Economic Index just posted a 17.3% drawdown, the worst since the 2008 crisis.
It’s signaling something rare, and potentially dangerous.
Here’s what the data is warning us.
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Let’s start with the facts: The Conference Board Leading Economic Index (LEI) has never fallen this far without a recession following close behind.
• Now down 17.3% from its peak
• Lower than pre-2001
• Worse than 2020
• Nearly matching 2008
This is not noise. It’s a distress signal.
May 25 • 17 tweets • 4 min read
🚨 You won't believe who owns TRILLIONS in U.S. and Japanese government debt.
This video alone should terrify policymakers but hardly anyone is talking about it.
Let me break down who really owns the world's debt and what it means for your future.
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Let’s start with the United States. As of March 2025, foreign investors hold over $9 TRILLION in U.S. government debt.
And the biggest holder?
• Japan — $1.13 trillion
• UK — $779 billion
• China — $765 billion
• Cayman Islands, Canada, Luxembourg, Belgium follow but here's the catch.