Peter Ryan Profile picture
Research on economics, history, and tech @Ryan_Research | Also: @Griptmedia @UnHerd @AmericanAffrs Prev: @AmerCompass @beckandstone @KnowYourMeme @CoinDesk
Sep 17 35 tweets 16 min read
1/ Should China and Ireland Trade More?

Semiconductor chips are a high demand industry. Ireland is the 2nd largest exporter of chips with China as Ireland's largest buyer.

In order to win the global economy game, should Ireland form stronger trade ties with China?

(A thread) Image 2/ In 2015, China opened the National Exhibition and Convention Center. It is the largest convention complex of its kind in the world. It hosts China’s International Import Expo which seeks to encourage foreign countries to export more to China.

ryanresearch.substack.com/p/should-china…
Jun 19 12 tweets 4 min read
1/ BONUS:

Let's estimate future Irish crime based on the Danish/Swedish data.

We’ll take the average yearly growth rates for the totals of native Irish and immigrants and linearly project them to 2050. We will assume 2022’s crime rate as constant for native Irish. 2/ Also, the more recent immigrants will mirror their counterparts in Denmark and Sweden for an average multiple of 2.18 times the native rate.

Then we can estimate overall crime will increase by 118% and the overall crime rate per 100,000 will increase by 34% in 2050. Image
Jun 19 79 tweets 28 min read
1/ HOW SOARING CRIME CHANGED IMMIGRATION POLICY IN DENMARK AND SWEDEN

My latest for @griptmedia where I explore:

> Denmark's and Sweden's data on crime
> Its connection to immigration
> How Denmark and Sweden changed course
> Is Ireland next?

gript.ie/how-soaring-cr…
Image 2/ Irish citizens are concerned with the unprecedented scale of immigration into Ireland and the consequences of it. Denmark and Sweden are similar.

Denmark’s population increased by 12% from 5.3m in 2000 to 5.9m in 2023 – while Sweden’s grew from 8.9m to 10.5m (19% increase). Image
Oct 29, 2023 7 tweets 6 min read
My latest in @eriugenareview:

1/ Brian Boru: Ireland’s Charlemagne

There is a popular perception that, before English colonization, Ireland was a backwards land of barbarism. This perception is chauvinistic among conservatives and paternalistic among liberals. Even proud Irish nationalists can’t help but feel a sneaking suspicion. That perception is wrong. This is not to suggest that the Irish of that earlier era built spaceships, but that a great high civilization and great men of history existed in Ireland. One such great man was Brian Boru.


Image 2/ Brian Boru was born in southern Ireland in 941 AD to one of the leading clans. His father was the King of Dál gCais and King of Tuadmumu which is approximate to the modern day counties of Clare and Limerick. As a younger son, it was assumed that he would go into the Catholic priesthood and was sent away to learn under monks. “He learned to read Greek and Latin. He memorized the careers of Caesar and Charlemagne, studied the tactics of Xenophon's calvary and the deployment of the naval fleet of Xerxes."[1]

Boru’s education was no paltry experience. Irish Catholic monasteries were the most sophisticated centers of knowledge in all over Europe at this time. German historian Keno Meyer, noted, “Ireland had become the heiress to the classical and theological learning of the western empire…[the Irish] became the teachers of the whole nations, the counselors of kings and emperors...The Celtic spirit dominated the larger part of the western world and its Christian ideals imparted new life.”[2]

Boru became one of the most educated men not just in all of Ireland but perhaps all of Europe. His path to the priesthood was cut short when tragedy struck his family. Vicious hordes of marauding Norse vikings — that were disturbing all of Ireland — turned their eyes towards Boru’s home. His father, mother, siblings, and neighbors were killed in a viking raid.


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Oct 29, 2023 9 tweets 7 min read
My latest in @griptmedia:

1/ IN IRELAND, COLONISATION WAS THE OPPOSITE OF A “CIVILIZING FORCE”

Recently, Daily Wire commentator @MattWalshBlog wrote, “colonization has largely been a civilizing force in the world. A force for good. Most of the world would still be living in the Stone Age without it. Don’t buy into the leftist “decolonizing” propaganda.”

This was in response to the trend across western universities to critique European histories of colonialism across non-European lands. Admittedly, these critiques often overly stigmatized Europeans as being exclusively colonizing and brutal. However, those like Walsh fail to realize the proper reaction to these critiques is not to embrace the cartoonish villain colonizer that his opposition has portrayed.


Image 2/ The connotation of colonization today is not simply one group of people moving from one place to another. It is, instead, focused on a native people being displaced and subjugated by a foreign people justified through force. It would be incredible for any right thinking person to endorse such an activity.

It is even more incredible that Walsh – being an Irish Catholic American – can endorse colonization given his heritage. Irish Catholics were brutalized over centuries and only fled Ireland to get away from such a terrible system. Irish Catholics in America are there, for the most part, because their ancestors fled colonization in Ireland.

Walsh claims colonization was civilizing and good. He also claims countries were in the Stone Age before colonization. Let’s inspect those claims using his ancestral Ireland.


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Sep 6, 2023 32 tweets 20 min read
1/ My latest for @griptmedia

DRILL BOYO DRILL: THE CASE FOR IRELAND’S OIL AND GAS POTENTIAL

> Ireland's looming energy crisis
> Why green extremism increases energy risk
> How Ireland could tap into a $1 trillion+ opportunity in offshore oil and gas

gript.ie/drill-boyo-dri…
Image 2/ Ireland pays the highest electricity bills in all of Europe, and the country’s diesel and petrol prices are also rising.

Ireland has suffered some of the worst consequences of the global energy crisis caused by the disruption of Russian energy exports due to the Ukrainian conflict. This is compounded by the developing world’s rapidly increasing global demand for energy. Ireland is faced with a situation of dwindling available supply and expanding competition for that supply.

Energy is everything. It’s the basic input that keeps society running. You don’t fool around with it. Ireland could ensure its national security needs and even expand its commercial horizons by drilling for oil and gas in its offshore territorial waters.


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Jun 26, 2023 8 tweets 3 min read
Yoga was created by this Swedish man in the 19th century that was exported to India through English military and English YMCA . YMCA provided more philosophical addendums to it. Then Indian nationalists appropriated it in their effort to build a distinct national culture of… https://t.co/459hNy7Cq3 https://t.co/jBp5RCmOSgtwitter.com/i/web/status/1…

Yoga doesn’t have to be about anything. Look at the average army handbook for warm ups. There is a direct line from that to the 19th Swedish guy that excludes India yet has 80% the same movements maybe with more rigidity
Jun 19, 2023 23 tweets 15 min read
ANNOUNCEMENT:

I'm launching "The Carey Project" where I have partnered with @AmericanAffrs & @AmerCompass to uncover the hidden history of protectionism and its two most interesting economists: Mathew and Henry C. Carey.

ryanresearch.substack.com/p/the-carey-pr… Image 2/ Adam Smith. Karl Marx. Two economists that tower above all. The former represents capitalism and the latter socialism. Their writings are continuously poured over and examined. One cannot talk about mainstream economics without being derivative of these avatars. However, their… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… Image
May 8, 2023 319 tweets >60 min read
1/ The End of Irish History and the Last Irishman:

Published in Notre Dame's new @eriugenareview journal, I wrote the definitive guide to Irish history in response to @philippilk's essay "Is Ireland Still Ireland?"

Learn about the origins of the Irish, their pre-modern… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… Image 2/ Irish nationalism is inherently linked to history. It requires a historical understanding to define identities and evaluate events. It is primarily concerned with the native Irish Catholic nation’s struggle against foreign English Protestant empire on the geographic island of… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
Mar 27, 2023 4 tweets 1 min read
The United States Post Office to my knowledge is the oldest and largest centralized govt run communication and value transfer system with no significant history of censoring users of it I know many examples of free market banks and payment processors censoring and banning users yet we don’t consider those oppressive
Mar 6, 2023 4 tweets 3 min read
Interesting history of how institutional America through Hoover's FBI pivoted to embrace and recruit heavily from (Irish) Catholic colleges which would go on to become the rank and file stereotype ImageImageImage Very interesting to read up on in light of this showing the culmination of a transition away from this Image
Mar 5, 2023 7 tweets 1 min read
Everything in blue was outsourced and everything in red was bid up by extra profit boomers received from managing the outsourcing Image The demand for all medical services and products has gone up because are population is older, fatter, and sicker than ever and willing to use all medical interventions with major revenue happening in 75+ cohort. High demand low supply... you know the rest
Feb 22, 2023 25 tweets 4 min read
Thinking about the debates b/w Nietzschianism and Christianity, and one of the things that seems forgotten but boringly in front of our faces all the time is:

the YMCA The Young Men's Christian Association (YMCA) was founded by George Williams. He was concerned about the lack of healthy activities for young men in major cities; the options available were usually taverns and brothels.
Feb 22, 2023 18 tweets 11 min read
1/ Introducing: The Full Stack Economist Newsletter

This is for entrepreneurial economists who seek to manage a nation's economy from a holistic framework. It will report info & insights on all verticals necessary to running a healthy economy.

ryanresearch.substack.com/p/introducing-… Image 2/ Rather than myopic theoreticians, this is for practical economists interested in action. Just like the full stack developer — a developer that has mastered all areas of coding — the full stack economist is one that's mastered all areas of the economy.
ryanresearch.substack.com/p/introducing-…
Feb 20, 2023 4 tweets 2 min read
JFK's 1963 speech in Ireland:

"Others...see things and say 'Why?' But I dream things that never were and I say: 'Why not?'" It is that quality of the Irish - that remarkable combination of hope, confidence and imagination - hat is needed more than ever"
jfklibrary.org/archives/other… Image @willobri
Feb 20, 2023 5 tweets 2 min read
Amazing how the Irish latte class revels in the opening up of the Irish economy to free trade in 1958 as an unalloyed good yet we see here in 1975 it wrecked the Irish economy
Ireland's rapid and healthy growth happened from the 1980s-1990s because of gov't investment and direction, focus on increasing returns to scale / high tech exportable sectors, and growth of indigenous firms.
ryanresearch.co/post/the-rise-…
Feb 10, 2023 27 tweets 10 min read
Little known document written by NY Justice Daniel F. Cohalan (and leader of Irish American revolutionary movement) in 1919 called "The Indictment" which called England "the last bulwark of autocracy" in the world.
Feb 9, 2023 5 tweets 1 min read
There are a lot of similarities in the dynamics of American neoliberal Reaganomics and EU/ECB integration.

The early generation of boomers gained a lot per se from these policies but the millenials and zoomers have only seen negatives. If you weren't Germany, you joined the EU/ECB and the trade off was

pros:
> better borrowing rates
> market enlargement

cons:
> stronger currency
> no monetary authority
> no tariff ability
Feb 9, 2023 6 tweets 2 min read
"Why apply the label of right-wing populist to the protests?"

I've seen this come up a few times to my article and let me address that. I'm using a neutral / clinical definition of "right-wing populism", not the hyperbolic pejorative of "far right". This means I’m objectively describing attitudes into a conventional rubric, not calling anyone mean names.

If we review Pew Research Center’s Appendix: Classifying European political parties, what we see is an objective and neutral criteria.
pewresearch.org/global/2020/02…
Feb 9, 2023 41 tweets 22 min read
1/ Just published my 1st article on @unherd where I explain:

The rise of Ireland’s anti-migrant protests

> their causes
> their dynamics
> their future impact

unherd.com/2023/02/the-ri… 2/ Ireland has an immigration problem. Almost a year after refugees started to arrive from Ukraine, leaving state capacity buckled and local communities unnerved, two very different expressions of civic disorder have emerged.
unherd.com/2023/02/the-ri…
Jan 30, 2023 65 tweets 38 min read
1/ The Duality of Sinn Féin: The Past, Present, and Future of Ireland’s Rising Political Party

In this article, I explain
> The deep history of Sinn Féin
> How that history shaped its ideology
> Its popularity and future dominance

ryanresearch.substack.com/p/the-duality-… Image 2/ In a few years, the Republic of Ireland’s next elections will be held. In the 2016 election the up-and-coming Sinn Féin party, headed by Mary Lou McDonald, won 13.8% of votes, in the 2020 election it won 24.5%.
ryanresearch.substack.com/p/the-duality-…