1/ And I’m back with another thread! A lot of people have been asking: Could Europe arm Ukrainian units without U.S. support? To answer, I’ve analyzed the largest European storage bases—and here’s what I found. 2/ Important note: All the storage sites mentioned here are publicly known, widely discussed, and covered in media reports. Nothing in this thread reveals classified or sensitive information.

1/ And I’m back with another thread. If you’re following research on Russian losses and storage bases, this one is probably one of the most important, as I see a lot of misconceptions people have. So let’s roll. 2/ "Did Russia run out of things? Will they? When? Why hasn’t Russia run out yet?" — these are the most common questions, and I’ll try to answer them.

1/ As stated by the media, only 30% of the shells Russia is currently using are manufactured domestically. If this is accurate, Russian Soviet-era ammo arsenals should be empty by now. To prove or refute this claim, I’ve reviewed Russian arsenals, and here are my observations. 2/ Reported Russian shell usage ranged from 50,000 to 10,000 per day in Spring 2024. Given the numerous ammo dumps destroyed in 2022 following the deployment of HIMARS, the sheer number of shells used is enormous, which should have strained the Soviet-era ammunition supply.

1/ Russian BMP refurbishment rate has peaked and is now slowing down. In today’s thread, we’ll explore repair plants and major BMP storage bases to uncover some trends. 2/ First, let’s look at how many BMPs were taken from storage. Referring to Jompy’s spreadsheet on BMP-1/2/3: by mid-2024, 2,565 vehicles were taken from storage. docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…

1/ From storage base to battlefield: Part 2. Back with another thread on T-80s tanks in Russian storage. This time, I’ll dig deeper into what’s been missed and what’s been scrapped. Grab a coffe before reading! :) 2/ The main question is: how many T-80s were actually in storage? You might’ve heard about 3,000 T-80s stored, but let’s dig deeper to find them. I recommend reading part one of the research before continuing here.

https://x.com/a_from_s/status/1846957984330797077

1/ From storage base to the battlefield - I’m back with a big research/investigation on Russian T-80 tanks. I’ve tracked the movement of these tanks and am going to uncover refurbishment rates and look closely at storage bases for more insights. Grab a coffee before we start :) 2/ I’ll start with refurbishment at the Omsktransmash plant in chronological order to understand what’s been going on there. So, in the summer of 2022, Russian cowboy moves in northern Ukraine didn’t go as planned, and it became clear that the sprint had turned into a marathon.

It’s time for another thread! Today, we’re exploring spare SPG and towed gun barrels in Russian storage bases and looking into what’s been happening there since the beginning of the war. I would like to share with you my observations. To start, Russian storage bases became flooded with equipment after military reforms in the 2010s. Vehicles had to be stored and organized. During this period, many SPGs and towed guns were disassembled for spare parts that remained in storage bases.

A thread on a German storage base and facility for dismantling tanks and IFVs. Has anything changed since the beginning of the war in Ukraine? Let’s find out!

Disclaimer: this thread contains sensitive content for German vatniks.

1/12 Let’s start with what this is all about. The Koch Battle Tank Dismantling firm is located in the village of Rockensußra. The company specializes in dismantling battle tanks and armored vehicles from the German armed forces and others.

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A thread on what’s been happening at the 75th arsenal in Russia this year and what they’ve been working on. I've noticed some interesting things and want to share my observations with you.

1/13 Let’s start with the section closest to the repair facility. The number of 2S6 SAMs has increased slightly. Fella @Ath3neN0ctu4 counted 55 pieces of equipment in last year’s imagery.

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A thread on the 140th Belorussian Repair Plant's efforts to support Russia’s invasion by dealing with their armored losses 🧵👇 Recent satellite imagery reveals a significant increase in the number of military vehicles at the plant, especially tanks. The scale of this activity suggests a crucial role for the plant.