Prof. Bonk 🇺🇦 Perverse & Unintended Consequences Profile picture
#NAFO #FELLA #Ukrainian 🇺🇦. Daddy to a naughty German Shepherd 🐺.
Jul 27 15 tweets 3 min read
🧵The US Army Secretary visited Kyiv, watched Ukraine's Delta software link every drone, sensor, and missile in real time, and admitted: "Ours does not."

While Western militaries race to copy Ukrainian tech, Russia is begging North Korea for 30,000 more troops. 1/🇺🇦⬇️🧵 Putin's math in Pyongyang is pure desperation.

Russia recruited 221,000 soldiers in the first seven months of 2026. Over that exact same period, they suffered 225,500 casualties. Losses are outstripping recruitment, which is why Moscow is buying 30 days of filler. 2/
Jul 26 14 tweets 3 min read
🧵Russia brought nine tanks and a high-tech active defense shield to break the Ukrainian line at Dobropillya.

Ukraine destroyed all nine tanks, bypassed the shield, and forced the surviving Russian infantry to flee the battlefield on motorcycles. 1/🇺🇦🦩⬇️🧵 The Russian active defense shield, Arena-M, was supposed to swat incoming drones out of the sky. It worked exactly once.

It stopped the first FPV drone. The depleted shield left the tank completely naked for the second drone, which blew it apart. 2/
Jul 25 15 tweets 3 min read
🧵Sergei Lavrov flew to Manila demanding the U.S. honor a peace treaty from last summer.

Marco Rubio reminded him in public: the treaty was never actually signed. Russian war channels immediately melted down: "We were dumped. Openly and brazenly." 1/🇺🇦🦩⬇️🧵 Lavrov arrived at the summit with two demands: lock in the fake territory split, and stop arming Ukraine.

Rubio rejected both. He declared the Anchorage proposals dead and confirmed the weapons pipeline remains wide open. 2/
Jul 24 15 tweets 3 min read
🧵Russia just released official video proof that it captured a new Ukrainian town.

Analysts checked the coordinates and found a minor detail: The flag-waving soldier was generated by AI, and actual Russian troops were 11 kilometers away. 1/🇺🇦🦩⬇️🇷🇺🧵 Blahodatne was not an isolated incident. At Hrafske, another Russian channel posted footage of flags going up, which analysts also identified as AI-generated imagery.

The military is manufacturing virtual victories on video to feed Putin a false picture of progress. 2/
Jul 23 15 tweets 3 min read
🧵Before Ukraine replaced its top general, Russian state media made a bizarre public plea to Kyiv:

"It is difficult to find someone worse... So, let him stay."

Ukraine fired him anyway. The revised Russian review came in five words: "And this is bad for us." 1/🇺🇦⬇️🇷🇺🦩🧵 The general Moscow wanted to keep was Gen. Oleksandr Syrskyi. Russian war bloggers openly celebrated him as the Ukrainian equivalent of Gerasimov.

But a cardboard sign rebellion in the streets of Kyiv demanded the military stop protecting old careers. 2/
Jul 22 15 tweets 3 min read
🧵Russia decreed a massive, high-tech new Unmanned Systems Force.

There is just one problem: the students they want are refusing to sign, so the Kremlin is filling its elite drone branch with men over 50 who physically cannot hold a controller. 1/🇷🇺⬇️🇺🇦🦩🧵 The scale of the failure is staggering. According to internal Ministry of Defense documents, the state planned to recruit 78,800 drone specialists by the end of 2026, relying on universities and technical pools to provide 58,000 of them. 2/
Jul 21 13 tweets 3 min read
🧵When Ukrainian drones ripped the tail off a Russian Tu-95 strategic bomber, the concrete shelters built to protect it were still under construction.

Ukraine is not just striking targets. It is putting its adversaries on a relentless clock. 🇺🇦🦩🇷🇺⬇️1/🧵 Concrete hardens according to chemistry, not urgency. Russia knew leaving its nuclear-capable bombers in the open was unacceptable, but Ukraine arrived before the slab cured.

That Tu-95 cannot be replaced. The tail was gone; the shelter was still becoming a shelter. 2/
Jul 20 13 tweets 3 min read
🧵🇷🇺 Russia built an elite drone unit to hunt Ukrainian logistics. Today, Ukraine is forcing those exact same crews to sit on folding chairs and babysit civilian cargo ships.

The empire has a new problem. It has to guard everything it cannot afford to lose. 1/🧵 Ukraine has reportedly hit so many vessels that Russia is redeploying up to 200 crews from its advanced Rubikon drone center.

These are specialists meant to be hunting infantry and mining roads. Now they are squinting at the sky over a floating crane. 2/
Jul 19 13 tweets 3 min read
🧵A leaked military directive reveals the Russian garrison in Crimea is quietly compiling evacuation lists.

They are not fleeing today. But after months of systematic Ukrainian strikes, the empire has officially reached the meeting about the exits. ⬇️🇺🇦🇷🇺🧵 1/ The unraveling starts at the grid. In Sevastopol, electricity shortages have become official policy. The schedule is two hours on, six hours off.

Russia promised the peninsula forever. Today, a local dispatcher has to pick which hospital gets to keep the lights on. 2/
Jul 18 14 tweets 3 min read
🧵 If you want to understand the tragedy of Ukraine firing its Defense Minister, do not read the press releases. Look at the witnesses.

Listen to the soldiers in the trenches, the protesters in the streets, and the Russian war channels celebrating online. 🇺🇦⬇️🧵 1/ The streets delivered their verdict first.

In 18 cities, thousands of Ukrainians held cardboard signs reading "Return Fedorov." They chanted "Shame." They understand that a government that fires its best reformer during an existential war is fighting itself. 2/
Jul 17 19 tweets 4 min read
🧵Putin promised everyday Russians they wouldn't feel the war.

Now, flights are grounded, refineries are burning, and a kindergarten in Kazan is literally wishing parents "a full tank of gasoline."

Here is what the collapse of Russian normalcy actually looks like. 🇷🇺🧵 1/ The war reached "Studio Pups" via a parent chat. Families canceled due to a lack of gas. The kindergarten replied: "Now this situation has affected many families... We wish every family a peaceful sky above their heads, tranquility, prosperity, and a full tank." 2/
Jul 16 9 tweets 2 min read
🧵The old guard just struck back. In a massive government reshuffle, Ukraine ousted the tech visionary who built its drone army. The bureaucracy won. Now, the military is threatening to take to the streets. Here is what just happened. 1/🇺🇦🧵Image 2/ The reshuffle, finalized late last night under new PM Serhiy Koretsky, has sparked extraordinary public outrage. It feels like a dark July tradition in Kyiv: exactly one year ago, the government rolled back anti-corruption bodies. Today, they purged the reformers.
Jul 16 11 tweets 2 min read
🧵Russian assault troops breached Kozacha Lopan, but they couldn't assemble. The drones made massing impossible. Putin built an army for a war where quantity equaled control. That battlefield no longer exists. 1/🇷🇺🇺🇦🧵 2/ The front is an absolute kill zone. Russian logistics have deteriorated to using FPV drones to drop tiny supply parcels to stranded men. Ukraine’s answer? Heavy ground robots armed with Browning M2 machine guns.
Jul 14 10 tweets 2 min read
🧵Inside a July war council, Ukraine’s generals had a problem. The drone campaign was succeeding, but they hated the man running it. The new Defense Minister is a 35-year-old tech executive, and he is treating a bleeding army like a startup. 1/🧵🇺🇦🦩Image 2/ Mykhailo Fedorov took over the Defense Ministry in January. He immediately ordered an audit and uncovered $6.6 billion in overspending. He subjected procurement officials to lie detectors. Those who refused or failed were fired on the spot.
Jul 14 12 tweets 3 min read
🧵At the Novoamvrosiivske fuel depot, Ukrainian drones didn't start with the oil tanks. They hit the crane first. Then the locomotive. Then the power. Only when the tools to rebuild the site were destroyed did they burn the fuel. 1/🇷🇺🇺🇦🧵 2/ This is the new doctrine: making Russia fight just to keep fighting. Russia can replace a storage tank, but Ukraine is systematically killing the machines assigned to those verbs. The 1st Azov Corps forced the logistics hub back into Russia.
Jul 13 11 tweets 3 min read
🧵🇷🇺 For 12 years, Russia turned the Sea of Azov into a boring internal lake. Fuel went in, grain went out. In one week, Ukraine broke it.

On July 10, Russian border guards quietly stopped accepting applications to cross the Kerch Strait. 1/🧵 2/ A sea does not close with an admiral's speech. It closes when a clerk stops accepting forms.

Navigation through the Don-Azov Canal was suspended. Russia still holds the coast, the ports, and the bridge, but its own ships cannot cross.
Jul 12 12 tweets 3 min read
🇷🇺 In the Russian army, a healed wound means availability. Disability rarely means release. The most expensive man is the one who lives.

Russian soldiers are realizing that surviving the war is just a temporary clerical error. 1/🧵 2/ A man from Kazan explained the math of his small village. Ten men left. Five came back dead.

Nobody bothers to work out the percentage. The state promises history. The village receives bones.
Jul 11 11 tweets 2 min read
🧵🇷🇺 A Russian general just leaked a devastating trade-off: the Kremlin is prioritizing taking Donbas over protecting the sky above its own occupied land.

Putin is spending Russia to buy ground. Ukraine is making him pay for the choice. 1/🧵 2/ The fuel crisis is so acute that Sber, Russia's largest state bank, built a map tracking 100 million clients just so drivers could hunt for gas.

Another bank found six Russian regions with almost zero publicly listed fuel left at all.
Jul 10 11 tweets 2 min read
🧵🇺🇦 NATO is not in the habit of saying useful things directly. It wrote a declaration instead.

At the Ankara summit, the alliance rolled out a massive tech plan. They didn't call it Ukraine's daily reality. They just described it and signed it. 1/🧵 2/ To counter Russia, European allies and Canada increased defense spending by over $139B in 2025.

NATO announced $50B in new procurement and pledged €70B for 2026. The text added: “Ukraine contributes to transatlantic security.” Not receives.
Jul 9 12 tweets 3 min read
🧵 Vladimir Putin stole Crimea and called it "eternal destiny."

Twelve years later, the entire peninsula is in a total blackout, and residents are hunting for emergency roaming.

The annexation had flags. The occupation has a service notice. Forever has merely lost signal. 1/🧵 2/ Ukrainian strikes knocked out power across 18 districts, forcing operators into emergency roaming.

As the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) assessed, Ukraine's campaign is actively "collapsing logistics in occupied Crimea." Not embarrassing; collapsing.
Jul 7 14 tweets 3 min read
🇷🇺 Russia still has missiles, but its own war camp admits Moscow has lost the strategic initiative.

Hardliner Igor Strelkov notes Russia can now only wait and guess where Ukraine strikes next.

Violence is not initiative; setting fire to the map doesn't move the lines. 1/🧵 2/ Zelenskyy says the next battlefield is the sky, where victory belongs to whoever is smarter.

Strelkov grimly agrees, noting that the enemy, unfortunately, is doing well in the air. One side chooses the target; the other waits to see where the choice lands.