David Adesnik Profile picture
Sr. Fellow & Director of Research @FDD; Previously FPI, AEI, DOD, IDA, McCain 2008, McMullin 2016. Husband, dad, NYC native. Pizza fanatic.
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Jul 9 9 tweets 3 min read
Have you heard that the real death toll in Gaza may be 186,000?

It's the latest and wildest attempt to inflate the casualty numbers, courtesy of @thelancet, a medical journal with a habit of spreading propaganda that suits its political agenda. Let me explain (a long 🧵) 1/ Image So far, the mainstream media haven't picked up on @thelancet letter -- do they just need a bit more time, or does it strain even their credulity?

Israel-bashers on @X are jumping on the bandwagon, however, starting with the chief @UN anti-Semite: 2/
Jun 28 50 tweets 12 min read
For months, we heard famine in Gaza was "imminent." But there has been no famine.

The same UN-backed experts who predicted the famine have confirmed it did not materialize. But the headlines, citing their reports, still say Gaza is starving. What is going on? (A long 🧵) 1/ The top international authority for famine-monitoring is the Integrated Food Security Phase Classification, or IPC. It includes the UN, NGOs, and nat'l aid orgs.

The IPC has a five-phase scale for measuring the severity of food shortages. See here: ipcinfo.org/fileadmin/user…
Jun 7 34 tweets 6 min read
I'd call this a stunning admission from the @AP that they naively treated casualty data from the Gaza Ministry of Health as trustworthy. Let me explain with (a 🧵): 1/ apnews.com/article/israel… Here's the @AP lede: "The proportion of Palestinian women and children being killed in the Israel-Hamas war appears to have declined sharply, an Associated Press analysis of Gaza Health Ministry data has found" 2/
May 18 10 tweets 3 min read
This is a short 🧵about @gcaw's excellent article in @TheAtlantic that looks at the UN casualty data from Gaza. I want to highlight @gcaw's work both because it's so good, and because @TheAtlantic's audience is very different from ours at @FDD. 1/
theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/… .@gcaw's piece begins with a statement of the basic problem: Where did those 11,000+ previously deceased individuals go? 2/ Image
May 15 11 tweets 3 min read
If you want the full backstory (2,500 words!) on how the Gaza Ministry of Health manipulates the casualty numbers, check out my new article (co-authored with intrepid @FDD intern Kevin Chen) in the June issue of @Commentary: 1/
commentary.org/articles/david… I regret there are no links, since its an article from the @commentary print edition, but I'll try to share key sources in the forthcoming thread. Or if you want to know the source for a particular assertion, respond to this tweet with your question. 2/
May 14 26 tweets 5 min read
It's time for another 🧵-- yesterday, the UN tried to explain why it reduced its estimate of the number of women and children killed in Gaza by more than 11,000. But the explanation was misleading in several key respects. 1/ Before I dive in, let me just say thank you to everyone who, read, shared, liked, and quoted my previous threat, which got amazing traction. 2/
May 13 31 tweets 7 min read
This is an important point, so I'd like to address it in detail. What does it mean that the UN switched from reporting >14,500 children and >9,500 women killed in Gaza, to reporting only 7,797 "identified" children and 4,959 "identified" women?

Yes, this is going to be a 🧵 1/ For the past two months, @UNOCHA has cited fatality figures from Gaza's (Hamas-run) Government Media Office (GMO). In its May 6 update on the war, OCHA made clear it was citing the GMO figures of >14,500 children and >9,500. 2/
Sep 29, 2020 20 tweets 9 min read
I'd link to thank @AbuJamajem (Sam Heller) for engaging my arguments thoughtfully in his critique of Syria sanctions in @WarOnTheRocks.

My compliments to @EvansRyan202, @shaneamason, and the WOTR team for creating a forum for this kind of debate. 1/

warontherocks.com/2020/09/what-a… The screen cap here shows how @AbuJamajem frames the issue. Notice the difference between Sam's argument that sanctions can't "stop the atrocities" and my contention that they can stop SOME atrocities: 2/ Image
Jul 20, 2020 4 tweets 3 min read
I spent all of two minutes on Google to (re)locate clear evidence that Alice Walker is an anti-Semite. But you say you didn’t have time for that, so you went ahead and attacked @bariweiss for calling Walker an anti-Semite. 1/ Just Google “Alice Walker anti-semitism”. Or click here: 2/

nytimes.com/2018/12/21/art…
Sep 26, 2019 4 tweets 1 min read
Here's the PDF of the #WhistleblowerComplaint. This story is just beginning.

intelligence.house.gov/uploadedfiles/… Here's what jumps out at me:

1) After the call, White House lawyers allegedly discussed its legal implications

2) There is a word-for-word transcript of the call

3) Senior White House officials allegedly moved to lock down all records of the call
Jul 29, 2019 4 tweets 3 min read
#TawanaBrawley? #UnpaidTaxes? Let's look at some evidence:

NYT: "Evidence Points to Deceit by Brawley"

nytimes.com/1988/09/27/nyr… "Records reviewed by The New York Times show more than $4.5 million in current state and federal tax liens against him and his for-profit businesses."

nytimes.com/2014/11/19/nyr…
Jun 19, 2019 4 tweets 1 min read
As co-author of FDD's new report on Iran's land bridge to the Mediterranean, I would like to acknowledge an important oversight regarding the map on Page 8, which was adapted from the work of Franc Milburn, but for which he did not receive proper credit. fdd.org/wp-content/upl… As noted on Page 12, Mr. Milburn's article from 2017 in Strategic Assessment "specified in detail three potential routes for the land bridge." His article, including the relevant map on Page 39, is available here: inss.org.il/wp-content/upl…
Feb 20, 2019 14 tweets 3 min read
Thanks for the response. The Central America situation was quite complicated, so let me see if I can do it some justice within the constraints of Twitter. 1/ Carter’s initial policy of non-intervention gave key opportunities to both the Sandinistas in Nicaragua and hard right officers in El Salvador.

Nicaraguan revolution, followed by Iranian revolution, made Carter hesitant to cut off El Salvador (ES for short). 2/