alaskanrobby📍 Profile picture
enjoy my derivative takes and Alaska election maps 👉👈
Nov 21, 2022 5 tweets 2 min read
In Alaska, we likely know 3 things going into Wednesday's RCV count:

Rep. Peltola (D), Sen. Murkowski (D), and Gov. Dunleavy (R) will be re-elected

House stands at 20 D/I - 19 R, with 1 race likely in the air til RCV

Senate is 9D - 11R with a VERY likely Bipartisan Coalition. RE: House, two candidates lead with two R's splitting the vote: Featherly (I) & Wells (D).

Only Wells has a reasonable chance. In each race, assuming 5% of the 3rd place R goes to the D/I: Wells needs Eibeck to exhaust 25% of his votes. Featherly needs Bieling to exhaust 50%!