enjoy my derivative takes and Alaska election maps 👉👈
Nov 21, 2022 • 5 tweets • 2 min read
In Alaska, we likely know 3 things going into Wednesday's RCV count:
Rep. Peltola (D), Sen. Murkowski (D), and Gov. Dunleavy (R) will be re-elected
House stands at 20 D/I - 19 R, with 1 race likely in the air til RCV
Senate is 9D - 11R with a VERY likely Bipartisan Coalition.
RE: House, two candidates lead with two R's splitting the vote: Featherly (I) & Wells (D).
Only Wells has a reasonable chance. In each race, assuming 5% of the 3rd place R goes to the D/I: Wells needs Eibeck to exhaust 25% of his votes. Featherly needs Bieling to exhaust 50%!