Post-doc @SciencesPo | Fellow @Hertie_Security | Data analysis & nuclear weapons & citizens' willingness to fight
Aug 1 • 7 tweets • 2 min read
In a 2022 NYT article on the Pegasus spy software - which I happened to only read recently - it is claimed that countries purchasing it have become more supportive of Israel in the UN. I was curious if it was possible to visualize this relationship: preliminary graphs below⬇️
The graphs show countries in possession of Pegasus. The dotted red line indicates the date of purchase. In the graph below, the y-axis indicates UN vote alignment: How closely do states align their votes with Israel in the General Assembly (ideal points taken from Bailey et al.)
Sep 26, 2022 • 12 tweets • 4 min read
This thread is widely shared at the moment. I disagree quite a bit with some of its points: 1/11
First, the idea that Russian nuclear weapons might be unusable. The evidence mentioned: Copper has been stolen from nuclear command infrastructure (corruption) & missiles malfunction