I am writing a book on immigration policy and the welfare state for @OUPPolitics. Here's a thread on how my own existence is due to immigration policy and the welfare state. Up to the 1960s, Switzerland had satisfied a great deal of its labour needs with immigrant workers from Italy, so that it had become quite dependent on Italian workers. In 1960, 20% of the whole workforce were migrant workers, and two thirds of these were Italian.

A thread of things accused of being the cause of massacres of kids in schools: 1. Doors

https://twitter.com/MollyJongFast/status/1529613341781544960?s=20&t=xBZEOujzrRB8CtOL-RoRRg

2. Kids being in schools

A couple of scatterplots on social class and yesterday's vote in France. This is the relationship between the Le Pen % and the % of manual workers in French departments (R2: .45).

Based on the projection and earlier polls asking about vote transfers, this is how voter flows in the second round of the French presidential election could look like. If this holds Macron should still win with 54%. Source projection: ipsos.com/fr-fr/presiden…
Source expected vote transfers: ipsos.com/sites/default/…

How Putinophile are voters of radical-right parties in Western Europe? A thread alexandreafonso.substack.com/p/1-radical-ri… We know that a number of radical right (RR) parties in Western Europe have developed substantial (ideological; financial) links with the Russian government over the years. bbc.com/news/world-eur…

I guess it had to happen: I started a substack where I'm going to post some short pieces. You can subscribe here: alexandreafonso.substack.com The first post is about radical right voters in Western Europe and Vladimir Putin. We know that Le Pen, Salvini and the AfD are very pro-Putin. Was it the case of their voters? alexandreafonso.substack.com/p/1-radical-ri…

Un fil en français sur l'argent et les connexions russes du Rassemblement National. Les contacts entre la famille Le Pen et la Russie ne datent pas d'hier. Le "partenaire" russe du père Le Pen dans les années 1990 était Vladimir Jirinovski, un ultranationaliste à grande gueule comme lui.

A thread on the Russian money and connections of Marine Le Pen's Rassemblement National. The contacts between the Le Pens and Russia date back a long time. The Russian partner of Le Pen father in the 1990s was Vladimir Jirinovski, a brash ultranationalist like himself.

A historical thread on how repression in Russia and a large flow of refugees from a.o Ukraine triggered the birth of immigration control in Britain. For much of the the 19th century, Britain had no regulation to control immigration flows.This is a quote from Earl Granville, foreign secretary in 1872. Anyone had the "unrestricted right of entrance" into Britain.

C'est absolument lamentable et irresponsable @24heuresch. Les citoyens russes en Suisse ne sont pas responsables des agissements de leur government.

https://twitter.com/Ballymag/status/1500776624597385217

D'autant plus que le gouvernement russe ne va pas se priver d'utiliser ce genre de xénophobie stupide pour se justifier.

A thread about a peculiar interaction about social privilege on Dutch television. Author Joris Luyendijk is invited to one of the biggest talk shows in the country, Buitenhof, to talk about his new book. The book is an exposé of how the Netherlands is dominated by people like him: white, male, straight, highly educated, with privileged parents.

Here's a farce: *80%* of the votes of the Portuguese diaspora in Europe in the last legislative election have eventually been declared invalid. publico.pt/2022/02/10/pol… By default, Portuguese nationals had to vote by mail. The law requires the photocopy of their ID to be sent alongside their vote. This information didn't get through because many did not.

Here are 5 out 7 members of the cantonal government of St-Gallen, Switzerland, plus its chancellor. Via @BorisBusslinger

A thread about social privilege in the Netherlands. J. Luyendijk has a new book in which he argues that Dutch society is dominated by people with 7 characteristics:
1. male
2. white
3. at least one highly educated parent
4. at least one parent born in NL
5. straight
6. had classics education in high school
7. university educated

Een draadje (in het Nederlands ) over @JORISLUIJENDIJK's #7vinkjes met data. Ik vroeg me af of er een manier was om de rol van deze "vinkjes" in Nederland met data te meten. Hoe geprivilegieerd zijn mensen met 7 vinkjes eigenlijk? Hoe groot is dit groep?
nrc.nl/nieuws/2022/02…

A thread on why I think that the lessons to be learned from Portugal and the victory of Antonio Costa for the European left are quite limited (after reading this piece by @jonhenley) theguardian.com/world/2022/feb… In a nutshell, Portuguese social democracy looks more like European social democracy's successful past than its successful future.

A map of the Chega vote in yesterday's 🇵🇹 election, by parish (freguesia). And here a map of the vote for Iniciativa Liberal.

This is what happens when you report on Portugal from New York. Or from Madrid in this case I think.

First projection of the 🇵🇹 legislative election: The latest polls indicated a tie, so it looks really good for the PS, especially since am absolute majority in parliament is possible. It was a fairly distant possibility during the campaign.

Portugal votes tomorrow. The decline in electoral turnout since the establishment of democracy has been spectacular { In fact, Portugal has one of the lowest turnouts in legislative elections of all the countries in the CPDS dataset

Three proxies of the Dutch bible belt (orthodox protestants) :
1. Geographical distribution of Orthodox calvinist schools
2. Measles outbreaks and measles vaccination coverage
3. Whether (male) amateur football matches are mostly played on Saturdays or on Sundays (via @SimonOtjes Source of the schools and measles map: link.springer.com/article/10.114…