Applied science for football markets. We don't predict matches. We measure mispricings, market by market.
Jul 6 • 6 tweets • 3 min read
[ λ ]🟠⚫️
Cristiano Ronaldo 🇵🇹's stage is running out. Spain 🇪🇸 haven't conceded all tournament.
The system doesn't split this into favorite and underdog -> it splits it into thirds.
The alphλ Read on Portugal vs Spain 👇
Spain gains ground here, Portugal loses it -> both move away from a coin flip in the same direction the market already sees.
No disagreement on the lean. The question is how far it goes.