Benn Stancil Profile picture
benn.substack https://t.co/Mr0tfTbPDw https://t.co/f6QIgfaKSu https://t.co/RNGrnfbOeJ https://t.co/JlGQAcA9KY https://t.co/PPUWbMIeFC
Mar 23, 2019 5 tweets 2 min read
A quick answer to a NCAA tournament question I've always wondered: Do first round blowouts matter? Does it mean anything if a #1 seed beats a #16 seed by 40 vs 10?

Turns out, it does, especially if the game is close. Since 1985, #1 seeds that win their first game by 0 to 9 points lose their second game 35% of the time, and have never won a championship. Top seeds that win by 10 or more are actually more likely to win the entire tournament (18%) than they are to lose in the next round (12%).
Jan 16, 2019 20 tweets 4 min read
We need to talk about coffee cake.

THREAD. When I was 27, I learned that there's no coffee in coffee cake.

Everyone involved in this discovery was shocked. Other people might as well have told me there were no apples in apple pie. I might as well have said that I put motor oil in a cake. 2/