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Brian Carter Profile picture
Brian Carter
@brian_cartr
Middle East Portfolio Manager for @criticalthreats. I cover Islamist movements + irregular military in MENA | Bluesky @briancarter.bsky.social | Usual caveats.
Jun 20 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
My latest contextualizes the silence of Iran's proxy network amid the Israeli strikes in the results of the Oct 7 War. The lack of serious response from the Axis of Resistance shows us how exhausted Iran's proxies & partners are after nearly 2 yrs of fighting the US and Israel. Image The defeat of Hamas, degradation of Hezbollah, collapse of Assad, and Israeli strikes in October 2024 that badly weakened Iranian air defense collectively unraveled Iran's proxy and partner network, as well as Tehran's primary deterrent against an Israeli strike.
Mar 12 • 5 tweets • 1 min read
The Houthis announced yesterday that they will resume attacks on maritime shipping. The US air campaign against the Houthis will not deter the group, as I've previously argued (link below). These attacks drive up the cost of goods due to increased shipping costs. Image The US could deter the Houthis if the air campaign imposed real, long-lasting costs on the group.