in december, i proposed a new method for measuring electoral strength (see quoted tweet). now here is the data, updated with new york final results and corrected new mexico results, with analysis and highlights:

https://twitter.com/burningpalefire/status/1342159965692129280

the data:
docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…

16 members of the majority coalition have received chairmanships. this includes seat-flippers schrage (25, community+regional affairs) and snyder (27, HSS). of the 16, ivy sponholz holds two chairmanships; map of chairs below

https://twitter.com/aklegislature/status/1362491545979510784

red--1 chair
blue--2 chairs

there's a lot of punditry about the relative strength of progs/mods in swing districts floating around the tl, so here's some data i collated to help center the discussion around data instead of preexisting ideology. the greater the ideology score, the more conservative (1/2) this sample is of dem incumbents in districts r+5 to d+5, with a three extra inclusions of incumbents targeted not in that range (mn-7, me-2, ok-5)

janet yellen should have a more difficult confirmation, but should be fine, getting at least, i think, 53 yeas;
R-yea:
collins, murkowski, young

R-can't tell:
sasse, burr, grassley, romney, lankford update: grassley said that he'll vote yea, which leads me to believe that yellen will probably get 8+ r votes. still relatively narrow, but nothing we won't see with neera tanden

it's unfortunate to see that the jones act enjoys substantial support in congress; sen. cantwell confirmed buttgieg's support for it this morning; pete defazio supports it too

perhaps once puerto rico is enfranchised, they can unite with alaska and hawaii to protest it it's like the most prescient example of protectionism fucking ourselves over, but it's not like puerto rico or distant territories are truly american anyways lol

riqui puig is already tearing shit up -lenglet is getting beaten by third division attackers
-this commentator on premier sports 2 is incompetent