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Cornell Belcher Profile picture
Cornell Belcher
@cornellbelcher
Pres of brilliant corners Research & Strategies, Pollster, NBC/MSNBC political analyst,& author: A Black Man in the White House. IG @cornell_belcher
Nov 27, 2024 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
Many of the hot quick takes about the 2024 election prescribes remedies for Dems that don't actually match up with what happened - they don't address the composition of the electorate which is determinative The Southern Strategy still unfortunately works
Aug 2, 2023 • 5 tweets • 1 min read
So recent story on Black turnout in 2022 has been getting a lot of traction, but unfortunately it shows the complication of talking about math. It’s kinda playing with math in a way to drive 1 small part of a story about AA turnout in a negative way. A short thread to unpack this So AA turnout(-9.8 points) did notable drop frm 18,however (context) 18 is crazy outlier tht was more like Presidential year thn a midterm & AA turnout was only 4 points off the overall & importantly it was +5 points higher in 22 thn the last normal midterm (2014) not an outlier!