David Chapman Profile picture
Author & Historian. Worked in College Sports 7 years. Augustana Baseball alum. QC Storm Hockey Season Ticket Holder. Seen 80+ Classic Rock Acts.
Leta Schulz #MAGA Profile picture Kim Profile picture 2 added to My Authors
Aug 24, 2021 13 tweets 3 min read
THREAD: Why history says Trump will be the 2024 GOP nominee.

There are a few historical trends in play here that point to Trump being the nominee. The populist disrupter candidate trend. And the stolen election trend to name a couple.

Let's start with the populist disruptor style candidate trend.
Andrew Jackson, Grover Cleveland, William J. Bryan, Teddy Roosevelt, Richard Nixon, and Ronald Reagan all fit this description in many ways.

Jackson, Cleveland, Bryan, and Nixon all were their

Aug 24, 2021 10 tweets 2 min read
THREAD: Trump's strength is historic.

Trump is polling at 55-60% in primary polls for 2024.

What does history say about that level of support for a 1 term president 7 months removed from office?

7 months after Ford left office, Gallup had him with 20% support for the 1980 nomination, 13 pts behind Reagan.

7 months after Carter left office, Gallup had Jimmy with 11% support for the 1984 nomination.

Bush 41 was not included in the 1996 primary polling.

Feb 5, 2021 8 tweets 2 min read
Donald Trump donated his salary and lost $2 Billion of his wealth while in office.

He served for free & didn't use the office to enrich himself.

Donald Trump was the first true public servant in a very long time. Watch the weekly report with our guest @KurtSchlichter
Jan 10, 2021 11 tweets 2 min read
Donald Trump's Historic Presidency -
The Economy
Donald Trump was the first President since LBJ to oversee 2 or more years with a sub-4% unemployment rate.
In 2018, the unemployment rate fell below 4% for the first since 2000 (Clinton Admin.). The Economy -
Donald Trump is only the 5th president to oversee 2 or more years of a sub-4% unemployment rate since 1929.
Foreign Policy -
Donald Trump is the first President since Dwight Eisenhower to not start a new war.
Dec 21, 2020 19 tweets 5 min read
This Thread is a record of election fraud evidence.

Georgia report on the Election.

"There appears to be coordinated illegal activities by election workers themselves who purposely placed fraudulent ballots into the final election results."

senatorligon.com/THE_FINAL%20RE… Peter Navarro Report
Oct 25, 2020 10 tweets 8 min read
Comparing crowd sizes from Reagan to Trump.

Ronald Reagan had the ability to draw huge crowds. And often he did. But not every Reagan campaign rally had huge crowds. Bill Clinton had Big crowds. But not huge crowds.
Oct 11, 2020 14 tweets 3 min read
Thread on my election prediction:

My prediction is based solely on history and historical trends.

The biggest issue in the campaign is Covid-19.
There has been 11 Incumbents to face a pandemic during re-election. The incumbent is 11-0 (1820-present). many experts say bad economies end incumbents careers.
This is not true. The incumbent party is 12-11 when facing re-election during a bad economy.

There is a huge correlation to primary performance with this historical trend.
Sep 8, 2020 4 tweets 1 min read
For awhile, we saw the media panic about the riots hurting Biden.
Does everyone remember that? Don Lemon said it was showing up in the polls. Joe Biden came out of the basement because of this.

Now, Washington post has a poll showing Biden is favored on Law & order. So wait? A Washington post poll shows Biden is favored on the riots?

why the hell did Biden condemn them after 3 months? Come out of his basement? Go to Kenosha? Give a Speech on violence?

After all that, everything is fine.

Sep 4, 2020 7 tweets 2 min read
THREAD: signs Biden is losing.
- The DNC. The Democrats were begging people to vote.
- Hillary Clinton Advised Biden not to concede.
- Biden gave an economic Speech back in July that was filed with repackaged Trump phrases. - Biden started campaigning after saying he'd win from the basement.
- Biden started condemning violence after ignoring it for 3 months.
- Biden said he won't go to Kenosha, than did so after Trump.
- Biden recently took questions.
Sep 2, 2020 14 tweets 3 min read
Why should we believe the polls are wrong again?

1. All the polls that were right in 2016 show a different race than the polls that failed in 2016. Democracy Institute, Rasmussen, Trafalgar, Zogby, Emerson, all show a different race than the other polls. 2. The methods of pollsters. It's September and so many polls are registered voter polls. At this time in 2016, many polls were LV polls.
Also, we went through 6 weeks where we had almost no polls. This was also a period where Trump started his comeback.
Aug 13, 2020 12 tweets 3 min read
THREAD: Election analysis based on Historical trends, not polls. Let's start with Incumbent strength. In 1976, Ford's (R) Approval among republicans was 68% (Gallup). In 1980, Carter's (D) Approval among democrats was 50%. In 1992, Bush 41 Approval among republicans was 64%. In 2020, Donald Trump approval among republicans is 91% (all numbers are from Gallup). Ford, Carter, and Bush 41's party had abandoned them and they lost. Trump's party support stands historically strong. Now, Primary performance.