Share this page!

Enter URL or ID to Unroll

You can paste full URL like: https://x.com/threadreaderapp/status/1644127596119195649
or just the ID like: 1644127596119195649

How to get URL link on X (Twitter) App

  1. On the Twitter thread, click on or icon on the bottom
  2. Click again on or Share Via icon
  3. Click on Copy Link to Tweet
  4. Paste it above and click "Unroll Thread"!
  5. More info at Twitter Help
David Dunning Profile picture
David Dunning
@daviddunning6
Studying the psychology underlying human misbelief. In academic dialect: Walgreen Professor of the Study of Human Understanding, Univ of Michigan he/him
May 30, 2023 • 32 tweets • 6 min read
Just an extended note on that recent @ConversationUS / @sciam piece claiming to debunk the Dunning-Kruger effect. It holds the usual pretense that research on the DKE stopped with our 1999 paper, implicitly suggesting our Study 2 is the only relevant evidence. 1/n Doing so, the piece cherry picks data it wishes to discuss, focusing on one study out of dozens that have been published ever since. This is the typical move of critics from this genre, 2/n
Jun 25, 2021 • 5 tweets • 2 min read
Thread: Spending time this week exploring overconfidence in AI systems doing machine learning. It’s a thing: AI systematically overestimates the chance its judgments are correct. Fascinating. Leading causes: 1/5

forbes.com/sites/kareemsa… 1.Machines have trouble when new stimuli range outside of what was in its training set. A system set up to tell cats from dogs categorized the researcher’s human face as a dog with 98% confidence! 2/5
jramkiss.github.io/2020/07/29/ove…
Apr 20, 2020 • 7 tweets • 2 min read
Are the “rich, powerful, or famous … more likely to fall prey to Dunning-Kruger.” I’d say “no.” We all are vulnerable and just as opinionated, but some of us are more likely to have our opinions broadcast over cable TV, newspapers, and social media. That said… 1/n people with some training that has illusory relevance to public health may misapply that training unwisely into epidemiology. A mathematician will plot growth curves, missing important known facts about disease spread. … 2/n
Jan 18, 2020 • 16 tweets • 10 min read
Reminded today is the 20th anniversary of the NYTimes article that started all the Dunning-Kruger hullaballoo. Apologies for the indulgence of this thread. #DunningKruger 1/n
nytimes.com/2000/01/18/hea… Erica Goode @egoode of the NYT had called me up a month earlier, having read the title of Justin’s and my 1999 paper. Could she call me back after she read it? “Um, sure…” 2/n.
avaresearch.com/files/Unskille…