1/n - A slightly more technical take on funding. TLDR: High funding doesnt mean we will nuke
2/n - Past cycle survivors will probably remember - every single month, high funding was a direct sign of an incoming nuke. Yet this cycle, we have not seen the same. What changed?
Feb 16 • 15 tweets • 3 min read
1/n - A short compilation of my thoughts on the differences between this cycle and previous cycles
2/n - Draw downs of the previous cycle in BTC have exceeded 40% on multiple occasions - whereas in this cycle we saw max 20%+ draw downs.
Sep 15, 2023 • 22 tweets • 4 min read
1/n - Crazy hypothesis - but is @DWFLabs working tightly together with @binance to squeeze out the last remaining bits of money from retail? 2/n - First, some context on what @DWFLabs has been doing. They allegedly market-make, but behave much more like pump and dumpsters - with so called "market ignition tactics"
Aug 4, 2023 • 21 tweets • 4 min read
1/n - Why i think that $BTC will go up to 40k over the next crisis in tradfi - LFG
2/n - The current crisis in tradfi - is because of US long rates rising. You had Ackman coming out to talk about it...Notice the other period in Oct - we essentially had Fed intervention when yields went too high and that U-Turned the stock market
Jun 7, 2023 • 9 tweets • 3 min read
1/n - Facts - the US Government has ONLY harmed consumers through its actions in crypto, this was done either out of malice or just pure stupidity.
2/n - The first instance was USG blocking the sale of Voyager to Binance US - the deal would have given the poor depositors 73% of what they would have been owed. Instead now they have to accept just 35%.... cointelegraph.com/news/voyager-s…
Jun 5, 2023 • 15 tweets • 3 min read
1/n - Is $RDNT going to noom down -50%? 2/n - First off, what is this $RDNT? - it's a borrowing lending defu app - much like $AAVE
May 3, 2023 • 11 tweets • 2 min read
1/n - $SUI tokenomics are extremely predatory. This is NOT your normal airdrop playbook
2/n - Usually i love bidding the airdrop dump and pump. However for $SUI, this is unlikely to happen as their tokenomics looks set to be extremely predatory for initial retail.
Mar 14, 2023 • 25 tweets • 4 min read
1/n - WTF happened at the banks? Contagion continued
2/n - Alot of people have talked about what went wrong. I'll do a very simple and brief walkthrough and my own thoughts on whats next from here. Obviously i am just a sloth who works at maccas so take it w a pinch of salt
Mar 11, 2023 • 13 tweets • 3 min read
1/n - The real price of USDC - brought to you from the animal who sussed out the collapse of the lenders
2/n - spoke v briefly about strange numbers from @circle - which suggests to me that they were prolly engaged in some circular growth hacks
1/n - Why did i just yeet 50k into $ARC 2/n - Obviously it's because i'm half retarded
Mar 4, 2023 • 6 tweets • 1 min read
Loaded an account with a 100k. Only the most degen Arbi plays.
First purchase was 50k of $ARC token - Please DYOR. It's super illiquid with only 1M of liquidity in USDC and WETH.
Feb 28, 2023 • 19 tweets • 4 min read
1/n - @circle is either incompetently run or engaged in financial gimmicks
2/n - I have a thing against incompetent businesses in crypto. Usually these businesses are unable to withstand the bear market and collapse - like @BlockFi
Nov 28, 2022 • 18 tweets • 4 min read
1/n - Why @GMX_IO will fail
2/n - I called the collapse of BlockFi, Genesis - because of clear problems in how they managed risks. @GMX_IO will fail because of the same reason. Poor risk management
Jun 17, 2022 • 23 tweets • 4 min read
Why the lenders are in trouble and you should be worried.
1/x2/x - First of all, if you have funds with a third party anywhere - get out while you can. Some will survive, some wont but best to wait till the dust has cleared.